Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This past week, I had an interview with Lee Sanghyun, the founder and CEO of Flashlight Capital Partners (FCP) which is currently an activist investor on KT&amp;G Corporation (033780 KS).</li>
<li>Our interview focused on five key issues including valuation, buyback &amp; dividends, ginseng business spin-off, investment horizon, and aligning management's interests with those of its shareholders.</li>
<li>FCP's shareholder return plan is to 3x higher than the one currently proposed by the company. For further details, see FCP's website https://flashlightcap.com/. </li>
</ul>


This past week, I had an interview with Lee Sanghyun, the founder and CEO of Flashlight Capital Partners (FCP) which is currently an activist investor on KT&amp;G Corporation (033780 KS).
Our interview focused on five key issues including valuation, buyback &amp; dividends, ginseng business spin-off, investment horizon, and aligning management's interests with those of its shareholders.
FCP's shareholder return plan is to 3x higher than the one currently proposed by the company. For further details, see FCP's website https://flashlightcap.com/. 


An Interview with Flashlight Capital Partners CEO Lee Sanghyun on KT&G

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We have seven constituents of KOSPI 200, which are subject to a float rate adjustment due to major shareholder stake sales and lockup release in the upcoming rebalancing in December</li>
<li>In terms of passive impact x ADTV, LG Energy Solution, KT Corp, and Shinhan Financial are expected to receive the most attention from flow traders.</li>
<li>The preemptive setups of flow traders will likely be more inclined toward these float rate changes since this December rebalance will have the lowest number of constituent changes ever.</li>
</ul>


We have seven constituents of KOSPI 200, which are subject to a float rate adjustment due to major shareholder stake sales and lockup release in the upcoming rebalancing in December
In terms of passive impact x ADTV, LG Energy Solution, KT Corp, and Shinhan Financial are expected to receive the most attention from flow traders.
The preemptive setups of flow traders will likely be more inclined toward these float rate changes since this December rebalance will have the lowest number of constituent changes ever.


KOSPI 200 Index Review: Names Subject to Float Rate Adjustment

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bionote-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36446:1" rel="noopener">Bionote (377740 KS)</a> is looking to raise approximately US$200m in its Korean IPO. The IPO would consist of both a primary and secondary selldown.</li>
<li>Bionote is an integrated producer of diagnostics test products and biocontent products. Based on its unique recombinant antigen and antibody manufacturing technology, the firm researches and develops diagnostic reagent products. </li>
<li>In this note, we look at peers and undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Bionote (377740 KS) is looking to raise approximately US$200m in its Korean IPO. The IPO would consist of both a primary and secondary selldown.
Bionote is an integrated producer of diagnostics test products and biocontent products. Based on its unique recombinant antigen and antibody manufacturing technology, the firm researches and develops diagnostic reagent products. 
In this note, we look at peers and undertake a peer comparison.


Bionote Pre-IPO Peer Comp - Larger Segment Leads in Margins, but Trend Could Be Reversing

<ul>
<li>On 25 October, we recommended a pair trade between LG Chem (go long) and LGES (go short). Since then, this trade has resulted in a net gain of 15.7%.</li>
<li>It is very unusual to get this kind of alpha sized gains on Korean large caps in such a short time period. </li>
<li>Given the sharp net appreciation on this pair trade in the past week, we would close out this trade. </li>
</ul>


On 25 October, we recommended a pair trade between LG Chem (go long) and LGES (go short). Since then, this trade has resulted in a net gain of 15.7%.
It is very unusual to get this kind of alpha sized gains on Korean large caps in such a short time period. 
Given the sharp net appreciation on this pair trade in the past week, we would close out this trade. 


Close Out the Pair Trade Between LG Chem & LG Energy Solution

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI EAFE ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to believe that a bearish intermediate-term outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrends remain intact on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).</li>
<li>We would turn bullish only on reversals of those downtrends. With that said, a bear market rally has officially begun, something that we have discussed since our Sept.29 Int'l Compass</li>
<li>We expect to see rallies to their respective YTD downtrends (ACWX, EFA, etc.). We highlight buys that are likely to outperform on this bear market rally.</li>
</ul>


We continue to believe that a bearish intermediate-term outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrends remain intact on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).
We would turn bullish only on reversals of those downtrends. With that said, a bear market rally has officially begun, something that we have discussed since our Sept.29 Int'l Compass
We expect to see rallies to their respective YTD downtrends (ACWX, EFA, etc.). We highlight buys that are likely to outperform on this bear market rally.


Bear Market Rally in Progress as DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Yr Yields Fall; Buy Ideas Within Leaders

South Korea

LG Energy Solution produces and sells batteries. The Company manufactures and sells automobile batteries, small batteries, energy storage system batteries, and other products. LG Energy Solution markets its products worldwide.

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LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)

An Interview with Flashlight Capital Partners CEO Lee Sanghyun on KT&G

This past week, I had an interview with Lee Sanghyun, the founder and CEO of Flashlight Capital Partners (FCP) which is currently an activist...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI 200 Index Review: Names Subject to Float Rate Adjustment

This post investigates the names subject to a free float rate adjustment in the upcoming rebalancing of the KOSPI 200 in December.

Sanghyun Park

Bionote Pre-IPO Peer Comp - Larger Segment Leads in Margins, but Trend Could Be Reversing

Bionote is looking to raise approximately US$200m in its Korean IPO. The IPO would consist of both a primary and secondary selldown. In this note,...

Clarence Chu

Close Out the Pair Trade Between LG Chem & LG Energy Solution

On 25 October, we recommended a pair trade between LG Chem (go long) and LGES (go short). Since then, this trade has resulted in a net gain of...

Douglas Kim

Bear Market Rally in Progress as DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Yr Yields Fall; Buy Ideas Within Leaders

Bear Market Rally in Progress as $DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Year Yields Decline. Italy FTSE MIB with a bullish YTD downtrend reversal, Switzerland...

Vermilion Research

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