Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>.</li>
<li>Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">TWSE INDEX</a> has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.</li>
</ul>


Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX). 
Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the KOSPI2 INDEX and KOSDAQ 150 Index.
Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the TWSE INDEX has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.


Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Naver plans to launch its own Korean version of ChatGPT in 1H 2023.</li>
<li>We believe that this will act as an important catalyst that is likely to further fuel Naver's share price higher. </li>
<li>Naver has been our high conviction call in 2023 and we continue to have a Positive view of Naver. </li>
</ul>


Naver plans to launch its own Korean version of ChatGPT in 1H 2023.
We believe that this will act as an important catalyst that is likely to further fuel Naver's share price higher. 
Naver has been our high conviction call in 2023 and we continue to have a Positive view of Naver. 


Naver (2023 High Conviction Update): Turbo-Charged by Expected Launch of Korean Version of ChatGPT

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.
Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>ChatGPT is a mind boggling advancement in AI-human communication. I recommend EVERY reader of this insight to try out this service.</li>
<li>This insight on ChatGPT has three parts: First, I discuss the basics of ChatGPT and valuations. Second, I provide 13 examples of questions or requests that I made to ChatGPT.</li>
<li>Third, I discuss some key investment opportunities that could capitalize on all the "buzz" surrounding ChatGPT at this moment. </li>
</ul>


ChatGPT is a mind boggling advancement in AI-human communication. I recommend EVERY reader of this insight to try out this service.
This insight on ChatGPT has three parts: First, I discuss the basics of ChatGPT and valuations. Second, I provide 13 examples of questions or requests that I made to ChatGPT.
Third, I discuss some key investment opportunities that could capitalize on all the "buzz" surrounding ChatGPT at this moment. 


ChatGPT: A Mind Boggling Advancement in AI-Human Communication

<ul>
<li>After a disappointing earnings results in 4Q 2022, we believe LG Electronics (066570 KS) is a SELL candidate.</li>
<li>The decline in housing prices in major countries such as the US and South Korea have negatively impacted consumers' purchases of consumer appliances. </li>
<li>With the consensus that is likely to cut their operating profit estimates significantly in 2023, we think that LG Electronics' shares could fall another 20-25% over the next year. </li>
</ul>


After a disappointing earnings results in 4Q 2022, we believe LG Electronics (066570 KS) is a SELL candidate.
The decline in housing prices in major countries such as the US and South Korea have negatively impacted consumers' purchases of consumer appliances. 
With the consensus that is likely to cut their operating profit estimates significantly in 2023, we think that LG Electronics' shares could fall another 20-25% over the next year. 


LG Electronics: A SELL Candidate Amid Difficult Business Condition for Consumer Electronics in 2023

South Korea

Coway Co Ltd develops, manufactures, maintains, and markets environment-related products, such as water purifiers, air cleaners, and water softeners.The Company also provides water testing service.

Hanssem Co., Ltd. manufactures kitchen furniture.  The Company's products include kitchen sinks, kitchen cabinets, dining tables and chairs, and kitchen accessories.  Hanssem also designs and manufactures interior products, such as sofas, bedsteads, closets, drawers, lamps, bathroom and office furniture.

Cuckoo Holdings Co.,Ltd manufactures and distributes electric home appliances. The Company produces electronic pressure cookers, humidifiers, vacuum cleaners, and air purifiers. Cuckoo Holdings markets its products throughout South Korea.

Topfield Co., Ltd. manufactures digital set top boxes.  The Company's products include free to air receivers, personal video recorders, and common interface receivers.  Topfield provides its products mainly to overseas market.

Ace Bed Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets bed mattresses, bed frames, and other wooden furniture.  The Company exports some of its products to Indonesia and China.

Zinus Inc. wholesales and distributes household furniture. The Company wholesales and distributes bed frames, sofas, platform beds, mattresses, and other related products. Zinus markets its products worldwide.

Iriver Ltd. develops, designs, manufactures, and markets audio equipment, such as MP3 players.  The Company's products include CD type, flash memory type, and hard disk type MP3 players.  In addition, Iriver produces and sells accessories for mobile communication devices.

Paseco Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets household appliances, such as oil stoves, electric heaters, dishwashers, dish dryers, and refrigerators.

Hyundai Livart Co Ltd designs and manufactures furniture.  The Company produces a variety of furniture, such as bed, chair, desk, and closet used in bedroom, living room, and office.

Thinkware Systems Corp. designs, manufactures, and markets navigational devices. The Company' products include portable navigation devices, hand-held navigation, and navigation software.  Thinkware Systems also provides location based services (LBS) through mobile networks which enables users to identify location of other users and obtain live traffic information, etc.

Panasonic Corporation manufactures electric and electronic products. The Company produces home appliances, car navigation systems, digital devices, computer peripherals, telecommunications, industrial equipment, and electronic parts. Panasonic has associated companies around the world.

Sekisui House, Ltd. builds and sells steel-frame and wooden housings. The Company constructs single-family houses, condominiums, and apartment buildings.  Sekisui House also operates real estate brokerage and leasing businesses.  Additionally, the Company sells construction materials.

Techtronic Industries Company Limited designs, manufactures, and markets power tools, outdoor power equipment, accessories, hand tools, layout and measuring tools, and floorcare and appliances. The Company's products are used by consumers, professional, and industrial users in the home improvement, repair, and construction industries.

Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes and markets flooring for residential and commercial applications.  The Company offers carpet, ceramic tile, laminate, wood, stone, vinyl, and rugs.  Mohawk markets residential and commercial flooring in the United States, and residential flooring in Europe.

Taylor Morrison Home Corp is a homebuilder in North America.  The Company builds single-family detached and attached homes and develop land, which includes lifestyle and master planned communities.

Installed Building Products Inc installs residential insulation in the United States.  The Company also installs complementary building products, including garage doors, rain gutters, shower doors, closet shelving and mirrors.

Toll Brothers, Inc. builds luxury homes, serving both move-up and empty nester buyers in several regions of the United States.  The Company builds customized single and attached homes, primarily on land that it develops and improves. Toll Brothers also operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, security, landscape, insurance brokerage, and manufacturing operations.

Tempur Sealy International Inc., through its primary subsidiary manufactures and markets foam mattresses, pillows, and miscellaneous products under its own and other brand names.

Sumitomo Forestry Co., Ltd. sells lumber and wood-related construction materials.  The Company constructs and markets a variety of homes, including custom-built wooden houses, and also manufactures and distributes high-value added wood-based products.  Sumitomo Forestry also maintains a significant amount of Japan's forests.

TopBuild Corp. provides insulation installation services. The Company offers residential insulation products and related accessories. TopBuild serves customers in the United States.

LG Electronics Inc. manufactures and markets digital display equipment and home appliances. The Company produces and markets flat panel televisions, A/V products, washing machines, air conditioners and refrigerators as well as telecommunications equipment such as smart phones and tablets.

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LG Electronics (066570 KS)

Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

The Insight looks at movements in short interest across HK, Korea, Taiwan and Australia stocks over Q1 and highlights large increases/decreases in...

Brian Freitas

Naver (2023 High Conviction Update): Turbo-Charged by Expected Launch of Korean Version of ChatGPT

Naver plans to launch its own Korean version of ChatGPT in 1H 2023. We believe that this will act as an important catalyst that is likely to...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023. We highlight 33 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

ChatGPT: A Mind Boggling Advancement in AI-Human Communication

ChatGPT is a mind boggling advancement in AI-human communication. I recommend EVERY reader of this insight to try out this service.

Douglas Kim

LG Electronics: A SELL Candidate Amid Difficult Business Condition for Consumer Electronics in 2023

After a disappointing earnings results in 4Q 2022, we believe LG Electronics (066570 KS) is a SELL candidate. We believe that LG Electronics'...

Douglas Kim

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