ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>This week we look at the sale of Food Panda Taiwan to Uber and what is next for Southeast Asian operations, and we look at the management changes at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo.</a>
</li>
<li>We also look at Lazada's latest capital raising, aCommerce's results, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/propertyguru-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28149:1" rel="noopener">PropertyGuru (PGRU US)</a>, which slipped back into the red in 1Q2024. </li>
<li>CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a thematic weekly product that focuses on key Southeast Asian themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia.</li>
</ul>


This week we look at the sale of Food Panda Taiwan to Uber and what is next for Southeast Asian operations, and we look at the management changes at GoTo.

We also look at Lazada's latest capital raising, aCommerce's results, and PropertyGuru (PGRU US), which slipped back into the red in 1Q2024. 
CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a thematic weekly product that focuses on key Southeast Asian themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia.


CrossASEAN Ground Zero - Food Panda Sale, Lazada Fundraising, ACommerce, and PropertyGuru's Loss

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> represents one of the most interesting plays on people and goods mobility and end-to-end logistics in Indonesia, being market leaders in auto leasing and auctions.</li>
<li>Revenues slowed in 9M2023 due to a slowdown in Anteraja because of slower e-commerce but other areas saw strong growth, especially its auction and used car business.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada</a> continues to build its renamed Cargoshare end-to-end logistics business with new customers and a move into cold chain logistics. Valuations are attractive relative to growth.</li>
</ul>



Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) represents one of the most interesting plays on people and goods mobility and end-to-end logistics in Indonesia, being market leaders in auto leasing and auctions.
Revenues slowed in 9M2023 due to a slowdown in Anteraja because of slower e-commerce but other areas saw strong growth, especially its auction and used car business.

Adi Sarana Armada continues to build its renamed Cargoshare end-to-end logistics business with new customers and a move into cold chain logistics. Valuations are attractive relative to growth.


Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) - Leading Player in People and Goods Mobility

<ul>
<li>Indonesia's election race is about to begin with the Presidential candidates announcing running mates on 26th October and with campaigns that could boost consumer demand. </li>
<li>The Indonesian economy should see GDP growth above 5% in 2023 and 2024, with inflation already under control at 2.28% in September. FDI remains positive although may slow before elections. </li>
<li>We explore the prospects for different sectors with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International</a> as a market proxy, with some opportunities in tech.</li>
</ul>


Indonesia's election race is about to begin with the Presidential candidates announcing running mates on 26th October and with campaigns that could boost consumer demand. 
The Indonesian economy should see GDP growth above 5% in 2023 and 2024, with inflation already under control at 2.28% in September. FDI remains positive although may slow before elections. 
We explore the prospects for different sectors with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and Astra International as a market proxy, with some opportunities in tech.


Indonesian Strategy - Election Race Hots Up Amidst Profits Recovery

<ul>
<li>The news that the Indonesian Government will target social commerce in Indonesia, as well as placing additional scrutiny on imported products sold through digital channels will impact TikTok hard.</li>
<li>TikTok Shop will not be allowed to operate in Indonesia in its present guise given the requirement to split social media and e-commerce, which will benefit peers Shopee and Tokopedia.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> through Shopee will be the biggest beneficiary given it will require less promotional spending in Indonesia and it has also re-entered the Indian market with <em>FreeFire. </em>
</li>
</ul>


The news that the Indonesian Government will target social commerce in Indonesia, as well as placing additional scrutiny on imported products sold through digital channels will impact TikTok hard.
TikTok Shop will not be allowed to operate in Indonesia in its present guise given the requirement to split social media and e-commerce, which will benefit peers Shopee and Tokopedia.

Sea Ltd through Shopee will be the biggest beneficiary given it will require less promotional spending in Indonesia and it has also re-entered the Indian market with FreeFire. 



Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-digital-niaga-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34881:1" rel="noopener">Global Digital Niaga (BliBli) </a>continues to stand out from peers given a differentiated omnichannel model plus a greater portion of 1P but 3P sales are growing driven by Tiket.com.</li>
<li>TPV growth surpassed revenue growth in 1H2023 driven by Tiket.com but take rates and gross margins improved, as the company cut back on promotional spending and improved cost efficiencies. </li>
<li>BliBli booked organic growth with more users and a significant pick-up in the average order value, partially driven by Tiket.com. </li>
</ul>



Global Digital Niaga (BliBli) continues to stand out from peers given a differentiated omnichannel model plus a greater portion of 1P but 3P sales are growing driven by Tiket.com.
TPV growth surpassed revenue growth in 1H2023 driven by Tiket.com but take rates and gross margins improved, as the company cut back on promotional spending and improved cost efficiencies. 
BliBli booked organic growth with more users and a significant pick-up in the average order value, partially driven by Tiket.com. 


Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) - BliBli Ploughing a More Profitable Furrow

Singapore

Lazada Group SA provides online shopping services. The Company offers consumer electronics, household, toys, fashion, and sports equipment. Lazada Group serves customers worldwide.   

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Lazada Group (LAZADA SP)

CrossASEAN Ground Zero - Food Panda Sale, Lazada Fundraising, ACommerce, and PropertyGuru's Loss

This week we look at the sale of Food Panda Taiwan to Uber and what is next for Southeast Asian operations, and we look at the management changes...

Angus Mackintosh

Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) - Leading Player in People and Goods Mobility

Adi Sarana Armada represents one of the most interesting plays on people and goods mobility and end-to-end logistics in Indonesia, being the market...

Angus Mackintosh

Indonesian Strategy - Election Race Hots Up Amidst Profits Recovery

We explore the prospects across different sectors in Indonesia with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and Astra...

Angus Mackintosh

Sea Ltd (SE US) - Glass Half Full Again?

Sea Ltd through Shopee will be the biggest beneficiary from TikTok Shop's demise in Indonesia as it will require less promotional spending, with...

Angus Mackintosh

Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) - BliBli Ploughing a More Profitable Furrow

Global Digital Niaga (BliBli) continues to standout from peers given a differentiated omnichannel model plus a greater portion of 1P but 3P sales...

Angus Mackintosh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)