Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Interest rates will remain lower, for longer. For banks with excess liquidity, this means margin pressure. We look at HSBC and STAN where liquidity is high.  An additional consideration are rising credit costs from a worsening economy. It was not a positive environment for these large, liquid banks before. It is now worse.Cash and equivalent of key large banks (US$ Bn)<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/009/689/original/dt1.png?1467078004" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="9689"><figcaption class="figcaption">Source: SNL Financial</figcaption></figure>The most talked about event for years was when US rates would rise. HSBC latched onto this, indicating to…

Interest rates will remain lower, for longer. For banks with excess liquidity, this means margin pressure. We look at HSBC and STAN where liquidity is high.  An additional consideration are rising credit costs from a worsening economy. It was not a positive environment for these large, liquid banks before. It is now worse.Cash and equivalent of key large banks (US$ Bn)Source: SNL FinancialThe most talked about event for years was when US rates would rise. HSBC latched onto this, indicating to…

We examine interest coverage in the corporate sector for several countries in Asia; given the broad range of interest coverage across Asia by country and by sector, simple averages are hugely misleading.What matters from the perspective of a bank analysis, is how prominently debt-laden companies feature with low levels of interest cover. This is where the analysis can be helpful in considering the outlook for NPL formation and credit costs.<div class="content-highlight"> India stands out in absolute terms, but also in the…</div>

We examine interest coverage in the corporate sector for several countries in Asia; given the broad range of interest coverage across Asia by country and by sector, simple averages are hugely misleading.What matters from the perspective of a bank analysis, is how prominently debt-laden companies feature with low levels of interest cover. This is where the analysis can be helpful in considering the outlook for NPL formation and credit costs. India stands out in absolute terms, but also in the…

Asia - Interest Coverage Data Is Dire for India, and China

Information Technology Consultant

Ishita Jain

India's 29th state Telangana, was formed out of the previously existing state of Andhra Pradesh on June 2nd, 2014. It came into being after decades of battle by Telangana activists arguing that state resources in Andhra Pradesh are disproportionately allocated to more developed regions to the south. Risen among skepticism, India's newest baby is proving its mettle. It is trying to create a hub that is unlike others - eliminating bureaucracy, roadblocks and lethargy in business- a symbol of modern India. Attracting the attention of the world's largest enterprises and budding startups, Telangana is being called "California of the east". This insight attempts to understand why this state could open exciting avenues for investment.

India's 29th state Telangana, was formed out of the previously existing state of Andhra Pradesh on June 2nd, 2014. It came into being after decades of battle by Telangana activists arguing that state resources in Andhra Pradesh are disproportionately allocated to more developed regions to the south. Risen among skepticism, India's newest baby is proving its mettle. It is trying to create a hub that is unlike others - eliminating bureaucracy, roadblocks and lethargy in business- a symbol of modern India. Attracting the attention of the world's largest enterprises and budding startups, Telangana is being called "California of the east". This insight attempts to understand why this state could open exciting avenues for investment.

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

Exports and imports declined by 6.7% y-o-y and 23.1% y-o-y in April 2016 compared to a fall of 5.5% y-o-y and 21.6% y-o-y in March 2016 respectively. This marks the 17th straight month of decline for both the sectors.The sharp drop in imports in April resulted in a further narrowing of trade deficit to USD 4.8 billion from USD 5 billion in March 2016. On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis ending April 2016, exports declined 6% while imports fell by a sharper 17.3% compared to a decline of…

Exports and imports declined by 6.7% y-o-y and 23.1% y-o-y in April 2016 compared to a fall of 5.5% y-o-y and 21.6% y-o-y in March 2016 respectively. This marks the 17th straight month of decline for both the sectors.The sharp drop in imports in April resulted in a further narrowing of trade deficit to USD 4.8 billion from USD 5 billion in March 2016. On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis ending April 2016, exports declined 6% while imports fell by a sharper 17.3% compared to a decline of…

India: Trade Data Indicate Further Weakenss in Economy

Index of Industrial Production (IIP) grew 0.1% y-o-y in March 2016 compared to a growth of 2% y-o-y in February 2016 as per official figures. After adjusting for one additional working day in February (there were 21 working days in February 2016 compared to 20 working days in February 2015), IIP in February had seen a decline of 2.9% y-o-y in February 2016. The latest reading for March thus continues to reflect weakness in industrial output. For the quarter ended March 2016, production grew by…

Index of Industrial Production (IIP) grew 0.1% y-o-y in March 2016 compared to a growth of 2% y-o-y in February 2016 as per official figures. After adjusting for one additional working day in February (there were 21 working days in February 2016 compared to 20 working days in February 2015), IIP in February had seen a decline of 2.9% y-o-y in February 2016. The latest reading for March thus continues to reflect weakness in industrial output. For the quarter ended March 2016, production grew by…

India: Manufacturing Output Remains Weak, Declining for Fifth Straight Month

India

Larsen & Toubro Ltd manufactures engineering equipment, undertakes large scale engineering projects, and acts as the Indian representative for a number of overseas manufacturers of heavy machinery. The Company's products include bulldozers, road rollers, dairy machinery, chemical and pharmaceutical plants, switchgears, food processing machinery and feed milling plants.

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Larsen & Toubro (LT IN)

Low Rates for Longer - Asian Banks

Interest rates will remain lower, for longer. For banks with excess liquidity, this means margin pressure. We look at HSBC and STAN where liquidity...

Daniel Tabbush

Asia - Interest Coverage Data Is Dire for India, and China

We examine interest coverage in the corporate sector for several countries in Asia; given the broad range of interest coverage across Asia by...

Daniel Tabbush

India's Rising Business Hub: Telangana

India's 29th state Telangana, was formed out of the previously existing state of Andhra Pradesh on June 2nd, 2014. It came into being after decades...

Ishita Jain

India: Trade Data Indicate Further Weakenss in Economy

Exports and imports declined by 6.7% y-o-y and 23.1% y-o-y in April 2016 compared to a fall of 5.5% y-o-y and 21.6% y-o-y in March 2016...

Rajan Govil

India: Manufacturing Output Remains Weak, Declining for Fifth Straight Month

Index of Industrial Production (IIP) grew 0.1% y-o-y in March 2016 compared to a growth of 2% y-o-y in February 2016 as per official figures. After...

Rajan Govil

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