Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>We look at Korea's leading KOSPI200 Index every month and publish ADDs and DELETEs expected for the next rebalance.</li>
<li>Our final rankings are now set (assuming no strange disasters in the data). We see 5 ADDs and 6 DELETEs in the upcoming December rebalance. </li>
<li>For the third insight in a row, I am sticking with the same single trade. So far in 5 weeks it is +11.6% vs KOSPI200. There are others. </li>
</ul>


We look at Korea's leading KOSPI200 Index every month and publish ADDs and DELETEs expected for the next rebalance.
Our final rankings are now set (assuming no strange disasters in the data). We see 5 ADDs and 6 DELETEs in the upcoming December rebalance. 
For the third insight in a row, I am sticking with the same single trade. So far in 5 weeks it is +11.6% vs KOSPI200. There are others. 


Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24 Rebal: Final Rankings - Multiple Trades To Do

<ul>
<li>There are a few stocks in Korea that have outperformed/ underperformed their peers and could be added to or deleted from global passive portfolios next month.</li>
<li>There could be buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-rotem-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1554:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Rotem</a>, while there could be selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-pharm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:992:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Pharm</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kum-yang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10364:1" rel="noopener">Kum Yang</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-engineering-construction" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4292:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering &amp; Construction</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-steel-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:963:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Steel</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosmoam-t-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10360:1" rel="noopener">CosmoAM&amp;T</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F</a>.</li>
<li>Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$57m to US$230m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 3x-14.5x of ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


There are a few stocks in Korea that have outperformed/ underperformed their peers and could be added to or deleted from global passive portfolios next month.
There could be buying in Hyundai Rotem, while there could be selling in KT Corp, Celltrion Pharm, Kum Yang, Hyundai Engineering &amp; Construction, Hyundai Steel, CosmoAM&amp;T and L&amp;F.
Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$57m to US$230m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 3x-14.5x of ADV to trade.


Korea: Stocks with Potential Passive Flows in November

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Shares of EcoPro Materials are down 16% today to 112,300 won, due to another block deal sale of by BRV Capital in the after hours trading on 13 June.</li>
<li>After the second block deal sale on 14 June, BRV's stake declined further from 21.2% to 18.2%. </li>
<li>This block deal sale at a big discount is likely to raise <strong>overhang concerns</strong> about further block deal sales by BRV Capital in the coming months/years.</li>
</ul>


Shares of EcoPro Materials are down 16% today to 112,300 won, due to another block deal sale of by BRV Capital in the after hours trading on 13 June.
After the second block deal sale on 14 June, BRV's stake declined further from 21.2% to 18.2%. 
This block deal sale at a big discount is likely to raise overhang concerns about further block deal sales by BRV Capital in the coming months/years.


Another Block Deal Sale of Ecopro Materials

<ul>
<li>There will be 6 additions and 6 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 13 June.</li>
<li>The index committee has used a boatload of discretion in the inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosmoam-t-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10360:1" rel="noopener">CosmoAM&amp;T (005070 KS)</a> and the deletion of some of the stocks.</li>
<li>The adds and deletes from the Information Technology sector will also have passive flow from the sector ETF and will increase the impact of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There will be 6 additions and 6 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 13 June.
The index committee has used a boatload of discretion in the inclusion of CosmoAM&amp;T (005070 KS) and the deletion of some of the stocks.
The adds and deletes from the Information Technology sector will also have passive flow from the sector ETF and will increase the impact of the changes.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Index Committee Knows Best; Cosmo AM&T the Winner

South Korea

L&F Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures battery materials. The Company produces and sells cathode active materials, anode materials, electrolyte, separator, and other products. L&F markets its products throughout Korea.

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L&F (066970 KS)

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24 Rebal: Final Rankings - Multiple Trades To Do

The KOSPI200 December 2024 rebal has its reference data. Unless there are dramatic changes, the rebal should be set. We expect 5 ADDs 6 DELETEs. I...

Travis Lundy

Korea: Stocks with Potential Passive Flows in November

There could be 1 add and up to 7 deletes from global passive portfolios in Nov. Trackers will need to trade between US$57m to US$230m of the...

Brian Freitas

Another Block Deal Sale of Ecopro Materials

Shares of EcoPro Materials are down 16% today to 112,300 won, due to another block deal sale of by BRV Capital in the after hours trading on 13 June.

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Index Committee Knows Best; Cosmo AM&T the Winner

The KOSPI200 rebalance takes place at the close tomorrow. Cosmo AM&T is up ~25% since the surprise inclusion and there could be a reversal in the...

Brian Freitas

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