Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Amrutha Raj

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Singles’ Day sales are more than four times the USD 35.3 billion that U.S. shoppers clocked during Cyber Week (from Black Friday to Cyber Monday).</li>
<li>Global consumer names such as Apple, Nike, Lululemon, L’Oreal, and P&amp;G have a large presence on Chinese e-commerce platforms.</li>
<li>JD.com reported last year that Apple sold more than RMB 1 billion worth of products in the first minute of the event's final sales period.</li>
</ul>


Singles’ Day sales are more than four times the USD 35.3 billion that U.S. shoppers clocked during Cyber Week (from Black Friday to Cyber Monday).
Global consumer names such as Apple, Nike, Lululemon, L’Oreal, and P&amp;G have a large presence on Chinese e-commerce platforms.
JD.com reported last year that Apple sold more than RMB 1 billion worth of products in the first minute of the event's final sales period.


Singles' Day: Chinese Consumers Are Trading Down Instead of Buying Up

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> is a member of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a>, among others.</li>
<li>Capping of stocks at 8% of the index weight will lead to selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> at the close on 1 December, mainly from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a> trackers.</li>
<li>Relative underperformance vs the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH Index</a> from now to Tuesday will require passive to sell less stock, while outperformance will lead to increased passive selling. That opens up trading opportunities.</li>
</ul>



Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) is a member of the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and Hang Seng TECH Index, among others.
Capping of stocks at 8% of the index weight will lead to selling in Xiaomi (1810 HK) at the close on 1 December, mainly from Hang Seng TECH Index trackers.
Relative underperformance vs the HSTECH Index from now to Tuesday will require passive to sell less stock, while outperformance will lead to increased passive selling. That opens up trading opportunities.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): Outperformance Leads to Passive Selling & Opens Up Trading Opportunities

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Alibaba’s cloud servers experienced downtime for more than three hours.</li>
<li>Kuaishou achieved success in the Singles Day sales and we expect a high growth rate for “other revenue” in 3Q23.</li>
<li>Tims China’s revenue grew strongly with aggressive expansion of new stores.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba’s cloud servers experienced downtime for more than three hours.
Kuaishou achieved success in the Singles Day sales and we expect a high growth rate for “other revenue” in 3Q23.
Tims China’s revenue grew strongly with aggressive expansion of new stores.


China Consumption Weekly (20 Nov 2023): Alibaba, Kuaishou, Tencent Music, JD.com, Tims China

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The Dec 23 review results for the Hang Seng Tech Index were announced on Friday 17 November after the close.</li>
<li>There were no ADDs to or DELETEs from the index, in something of a surprise. </li>
<li>The "big flow" on HS TECH is the downweight on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> due to sharp capping after significant outperformance since the August review.</li>
</ul>


The Dec 23 review results for the Hang Seng Tech Index were announced on Friday 17 November after the close.
There were no ADDs to or DELETEs from the index, in something of a surprise. 
The "big flow" on HS TECH is the downweight on Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) due to sharp capping after significant outperformance since the August review.


Hang Seng Tech Dec23 Index Review/Flows - No Name Changes, Some Big Capping Flows

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows the last several weeks clearly indicated a momentum move. The top net sells were all down. The top buys were all up. This week that trend moderated significantly.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND breaks a 17-week inflow streak with HK$2.1bn of net outflows entirely driven, it appears, by relatively few accounts punting large size in local (HK-listed) ETFs</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.
SOUTHBOUND flows the last several weeks clearly indicated a momentum move. The top net sells were all down. The top buys were all up. This week that trend moderated significantly.
SOUTHBOUND breaks a 17-week inflow streak with HK$2.1bn of net outflows entirely driven, it appears, by relatively few accounts punting large size in local (HK-listed) ETFs


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND (To 17 Nov 23); High-Div SOEs Pause, Tech + ETFs Break 16wk Inflow Streak

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

Singles' Day: Chinese Consumers Are Trading Down Instead of Buying Up

Singles' Day has transcended its origins. It is a symbol of innovation and global commerce. As tech continues to shape consumer habits, Singles'...

Mint Finance

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Outperformance Leads to Passive Selling & Opens Up Trading Opportunities

There will be passive selling in Xiaomi from HSTECH trackers at the close on 1 Dec. Relative underperformance till Tuesday will lead to less...

Brian Freitas

China Consumption Weekly (20 Nov 2023): Alibaba, Kuaishou, Tencent Music, JD.com, Tims China

Alibaba’s cloud servers experienced downtime. Kuaishou achieved success in the Singles Day sales. Tims China’s revenue grew strongly with...

Ming Lu

Hang Seng Tech Dec23 Index Review/Flows - No Name Changes, Some Big Capping Flows

Hang Seng Index team announced the December 2023 review for the Hang Seng Tech index on 17 Nov after the close. No name changes. But several...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND (To 17 Nov 23); High-Div SOEs Pause, Tech + ETFs Break 16wk Inflow Streak

HK Connect (SOUTHBOUND) saw its first net sell week in four months this past week, with the net sell driven by large ETF sell flows from a small...

Travis Lundy

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