External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,860/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) continued EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses. </li><li>Gross slippages, at 2.9%, were elevated on account of the KCC portfolio, but were offset by higher recoveries, reflecting in negligible credit costs (adjusted for contingent provisions)</li><li>Despite a 54bps sequential reduction in the stressed pool (restructured portfolio at 0.8%, BB &amp; below portfolio at 1.9%), ICICIBC’s move to build up its contingent provisioning (+10bps) appears counter-intuitive and raises questions on the possibility of emerging risk markers in the portfolio</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,860/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) continued EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses. Gross slippages, at 2.9%, were elevated on account of the KCC portfolio, but were offset by higher recoveries, reflecting in negligible credit costs (adjusted for contingent provisions)Despite a 54bps sequential reduction in the stressed pool (restructured portfolio at 0.8%, BB &amp; below portfolio at 1.9%), ICICIBC’s move to build up its contingent provisioning (+10bps) appears counter-intuitive and raises questions on the possibility of emerging risk markers in the portfolioContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Persistent Systems

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

<div><ul><li>Treasury losses to dent earnings: While we expect NII growth to be strong (up 16.9% YoY for coverage banks), treasury losses could be a major drag on operating profit growth.</li><li><p>Systemic credit growth, provisional updates indicate optimism: As per RBI’s latest data, systemic credit growth rate is 12% YoY (June’22).</p></li><li><p><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Large cap banks showing stronger traction than peers; housing doing well: We expect large cap coverage banks to continue to report higher growth (20.7% YoY) vis-à-vis mid/small-cap peers (16.9% YoY) and PSBs (15.5% YoY).</span></p></li></ul></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Treasury losses to dent earnings: While we expect NII growth to be strong (up 16.9% YoY for coverage banks), treasury losses could be a major drag on operating profit growth.Systemic credit growth, provisional updates indicate optimism: As per RBI’s latest data, systemic credit growth rate is 12% YoY (June’22).Large cap banks showing stronger traction than peers; housing doing well: We expect large cap coverage banks to continue to report higher growth (20.7% YoY) vis-à-vis mid/small-cap peers (16.9% YoY) and PSBs (15.5% YoY).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking & Financials Sector - Weak Treasury to Dent Earnings

<div><div><div><ul><li>Accelerated rate hike; more in the offing: In its response to a stubborn and elevated inflation print, the RBI has now effected an accelerated cumulative 90bps repo rate hike over the past few weeks.</li><li>Near-total pass-through a surprise; near-term margin-accretive: Unlike earlier up-cycles in the past, the sharp pace of rate normalisation is margin- accretive for banks in the near-term, especially given early-stage monetary transmission.</li></ul></div><div><div><div><ul><li>MCLR transmission to significantly lag EBLR transmission: At a system- wide level, ~20-30% of the aggregate loans are currently anchored to MCLR while 40% of the loans are anchored to EBLR.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Accelerated rate hike; more in the offing: In its response to a stubborn and elevated inflation print, the RBI has now effected an accelerated cumulative 90bps repo rate hike over the past few weeks.Near-total pass-through a surprise; near-term margin-accretive: Unlike earlier up-cycles in the past, the sharp pace of rate normalisation is margin- accretive for banks in the near-term, especially given early-stage monetary transmission.MCLR transmission to significantly lag EBLR transmission: At a system- wide level, ~20-30% of the aggregate loans are currently anchored to MCLR while 40% of the loans are anchored to EBLR.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BFSI - Sector Update - New Normal Rate Cycle; Brace for Transmission Effects

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Provisioning reversal drives a strong beat in earnings</span></li></ul><div><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Robust loan growth; NIM improves by 16bp QoQ (33bp in 2HFY22)</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>Subsidiary performance: While PAT for the standalone bank jumped 65% YoY in 4QFY22, profitability of all subsidiaries grew 24%.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Provisioning reversal drives a strong beat in earningsRobust loan growth; NIM improves by 16bp QoQ (33bp in 2HFY22)Subsidiary performance: While PAT for the standalone bank jumped 65% YoY in 4QFY22, profitability of all subsidiaries grew 24%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kotak Mahindra Bank -  Growth Momentum Steady; High CASA Positions It Well in a Rising Rate Cycle

<div><div><div><ul><li>Multiple tailwinds drive a strong quarter: KMB reported a strong set of earnings (NII growth of 18% YoY, RoA of 2.7%) on the back of reflating NIM (4.8% - best-in-class), strong loan growth, and negative credit costs (-0.5%) as asset quality continues to remain impressive (slippages at 1.2%; SMA II at 0.1%).</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>Growth vs. margins - watch out for trade-offs ahead: With its formidable leadership in cost of funds (3.2%), KMB, from here on, is fully geared to accelerate growth in its secured and unsecured book further, supporting its large floating rate book (~68%) in a rising interest rate scenario.</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>Subsidiary businesses continue to scale; maintain ADD: KMB’s subsidiaries continue to deliver a strong performance, contributing ~30% of the consolidated PAT on a steady basis.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Multiple tailwinds drive a strong quarter: KMB reported a strong set of earnings (NII growth of 18% YoY, RoA of 2.7%) on the back of reflating NIM (4.8% - best-in-class), strong loan growth, and negative credit costs (-0.5%) as asset quality continues to remain impressive (slippages at 1.2%; SMA II at 0.1%).Growth vs. margins - watch out for trade-offs ahead: With its formidable leadership in cost of funds (3.2%), KMB, from here on, is fully geared to accelerate growth in its secured and unsecured book further, supporting its large floating rate book (~68%) in a rising interest rate scenario.Subsidiary businesses continue to scale; maintain ADD: KMB’s subsidiaries continue to deliver a strong performance, contributing ~30% of the consolidated PAT on a steady basis.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kotak Mahindra Bank - Accelerating on Growth Engines; Speed Bumps Ahead

India

Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited is a full service commercial bank. The Bank offers a wide range of products and services such as personal, commercial, and corporate banking services, including deposit accounts, loans, and investments. Kotak Mahindra Bank serves customers in India.

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Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Persistent Systems

Gross slippages, at 2.9%, were elevated on account of the KCC portfolio, but were offset by higher recoveries, reflecting in negligible credit...

HDFC Securities

Banking & Financials Sector - Weak Treasury to Dent Earnings

We expect banks to report weak earnings due to treasury losses. We expect operating earnings of coverage banks to decline by 6.5% YoY and 11.2% QoQ...

Nirmal Bang

BFSI - Sector Update - New Normal Rate Cycle; Brace for Transmission Effects

Signalling its serious intent to rein in a galloping inflation, the RBI announced a 50bps repo rate hike in its monetary policy meeting

HDFC Securities

Kotak Mahindra Bank - Growth Momentum Steady; High CASA Positions It Well in a Rising Rate Cycle

KMB reported a strong 4QFY22, with a 64% YoY growth in standalone PAT to INR27.7b. This was driven by provision write-back in 4QFY22 as PPOP growth...

Motilal Oswal

Kotak Mahindra Bank - Accelerating on Growth Engines; Speed Bumps Ahead

Kotak Mahindra Bank’s (KMB) Q4FY22 earnings were significantly ahead of estimates on account of reversal in COVID provisions, robust loan growth...

HDFC Securities

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