Indian Accounting Research Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Indian Accounting Research Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> 's shares saw a sharp fall of 7% on Monday.</li>
<li>The fact that RBI shortened the tenure of MD &amp; CEO to two years baffled the market. </li>
<li>Shortening of tenures by the RBI have been seen earlier also for BFSIs. The move does not explicitly indicate any fundamental deficiency, hence investors should not be too worried.</li>
</ul>



Indusind Bank (IIB IN) 's shares saw a sharp fall of 7% on Monday.
The fact that RBI shortened the tenure of MD &amp; CEO to two years baffled the market. 
Shortening of tenures by the RBI have been seen earlier also for BFSIs. The move does not explicitly indicate any fundamental deficiency, hence investors should not be too worried.


IndusInd Bank- RBI's Decision May Not Be a Red Flag

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The lock-up on nearly 9.4bn shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yes-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:767:1" rel="noopener">Yes Bank (YES IN)</a> expires on 13 March. Most of that is from the banks that helped in the recapitalisation in March 2020.</li>
<li>There will be forced sellers as soon as the lock-up ends, and there will be other sellers that will want to sell.</li>
<li>The forced and discretionary selling will be offset to a very small extent by inflows from passive trackers in May/June as the free float for the stock increases.</li>
</ul>


The lock-up on nearly 9.4bn shares of Yes Bank (YES IN) expires on 13 March. Most of that is from the banks that helped in the recapitalisation in March 2020.
There will be forced sellers as soon as the lock-up ends, and there will be other sellers that will want to sell.
The forced and discretionary selling will be offset to a very small extent by inflows from passive trackers in May/June as the free float for the stock increases.


YES Bank Lock-Up Expiry: Forced Sellers, Overhang & Index Implications

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-22-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28307:1" rel="noopener">BHARAT 22 ETF (ICICIB22 IN)</a> will rebalance on 17 March while the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> will rebalance on 29 March.</li>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the indices in March but there will be capping changes for the stocks and there is a reasonable impact on some stocks.</li>
<li>There are stocks that will have opposing flows on the two days, while there are some stocks that will have same way flows from passive trackers.</li>
</ul>


The BHARAT 22 ETF (ICICIB22 IN) will rebalance on 17 March while the CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN) and Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) will rebalance on 29 March.
There are no constituent changes for the indices in March but there will be capping changes for the stocks and there is a reasonable impact on some stocks.
There are stocks that will have opposing flows on the two days, while there are some stocks that will have same way flows from passive trackers.


CPSE / BHARAT22 / CNXBANK Index Rebalance Preview: Capping Changes in March

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

IndiaFirst Life Insurance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indiafirst-life-insurance-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36532:1" rel="noopener">IndiaFirst Life Insurance (1083896D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>IndiaFirst Life Insurance (IFLI) is a private life insurer in India with a product portfolio of retail and group products, ranging across different segments. </li>
<li>Its GWP and AUM have grown over the track record period. However, bottomline growth has on the other hand, declined further. </li>
</ul>



IndiaFirst Life Insurance (1083896D IN) is looking to raise about US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. 
IndiaFirst Life Insurance (IFLI) is a private life insurer in India with a product portfolio of retail and group products, ranging across different segments. 
Its GWP and AUM have grown over the track record period. However, bottomline growth has on the other hand, declined further. 


IndiaFirst Life Insurance Pre-IPO - Hardly Stands Out as One of the Smallest Players

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this note, we will take a look at bookrunner performance for ASEAN IPOs from 2019-2022. </li>
<li>The following dataset includes all ASEAN IPOs above US$100m for the period of Calendar Years 2019-2022, which amounted to a total of <strong>41 deals.</strong>
</li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are based on our historical IPO tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on any of these IPOs.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we will take a look at bookrunner performance for ASEAN IPOs from 2019-2022. 
The following dataset includes all ASEAN IPOs above US$100m for the period of Calendar Years 2019-2022, which amounted to a total of 41 deals.

The deals you see in this note are based on our historical IPO tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on any of these IPOs.


Aequitas ASEAN IPOs Bookrunner Performance (2019-2022)

India

Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited is a full service commercial bank. The Bank offers a wide range of products and services such as personal, commercial, and corporate banking services, including deposit accounts, loans, and investments. Kotak Mahindra Bank serves customers in India.

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Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN)

IndusInd Bank- RBI's Decision May Not Be a Red Flag

Shortening of tenures by the RBI have been common for BFSIs. The move does not explicitly indicate any fundamental deficiency which is why...

Nitin Mangal

YES Bank Lock-Up Expiry: Forced Sellers, Overhang & Index Implications

Over 9bn shares of YES Bank unlock next week. There will be forced selling from local passive trackers, overhang from the banks that helped recap...

Brian Freitas

CPSE / BHARAT22 / CNXBANK Index Rebalance Preview: Capping Changes in March

There will be capping changes on the Bharat22, CPSE and NIFTYBANK indices in March. There are stocks that have opposite flows while some have same...

Brian Freitas

IndiaFirst Life Insurance Pre-IPO - Hardly Stands Out as One of the Smallest Players

IndiaFirst Life Insurance (1083896D IN) is looking to raise about US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. Its GWP and AUM have grown over the track...

Ethan Aw

Aequitas ASEAN IPOs Bookrunner Performance (2019-2022)

In this note, we will take a look at bookrunner performance for ASEAN IPOs from 2019-2022 which includes all ASEAN IPOs above US$100m, amounting...

Ethan Aw

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)