Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Technical Analysis

Our Asia short group kissed fresh sell levels (add back to early August entries) with fresh lows in store for September that will set up buy levels for Japan and Hong Kong.Bank of Korea's rate hike may set of a fresh round of market concerns as we head into the Jackson hole Fed meeting as the growth/inflation tightrope gathers more attention. Today is a key cycle turn date that adds to market energy.Japan's short shows the highest risk of seeing an early bottom near 27k and the level to break to reach for the 26,000 ideal turn zone where we see an opportunity to reverse to long. Hong Kong is next in line to bottom in September.

Our Asia short group kissed fresh sell levels (add back to early August entries) with fresh lows in store for September that will set up buy levels for Japan and Hong Kong.Bank of Korea's rate hike may set of a fresh round of market concerns as we head into the Jackson hole Fed meeting as the growth/inflation tightrope gathers more attention. Today is a key cycle turn date that adds to market energy.Japan's short shows the highest risk of seeing an early bottom near 27k and the level to break to reach for the 26,000 ideal turn zone where we see an opportunity to reverse to long. Hong Kong is next in line to bottom in September.

Asia Short Cluster Digging for September Lows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaobank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33501:1" rel="noopener">KakaoBank (323410 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener"> Krafton Inc (259960 KS)</a> nearing the end of their first 15 days of trading, they are a certainty to be included in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the September rebalance that coincides with the index futures expiry.Post the changes at the June rebalance, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lock-lock-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4739:1" rel="noopener">Lock&amp;Lock (115390 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jw-pharmaceutical-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18784:1" rel="noopener">Jw Pharmaceutical (001060 KS)</a> as the lowest ranked constituents and the stocks could be deleted at the September rebalance.We expect the announcement of the changes on 1 September and the implementation at the close of trading on 9 September.The impact from passive trading is not very high on the inclusions while the impact on the potential deletions is a lot higher. There is a bit of short interest on the potential deletions and some of that could be covered in the lead up to index deletion.The dynamics of the index changes are pretty interesting. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaobank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33501:1" rel="noopener">KakaoBank (323410 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener"> Krafton Inc (259960 KS)</a> will be short-sell eligible from 10 September while the deletions will no longer be short-sell eligible. We suggest potential trading strategies to take advantage of these dynamics.

With KakaoBank (323410 KS) and  Krafton Inc (259960 KS) nearing the end of their first 15 days of trading, they are a certainty to be included in the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the September rebalance that coincides with the index futures expiry.Post the changes at the June rebalance, we see Lock&amp;Lock (115390 KS) and Jw Pharmaceutical (001060 KS) as the lowest ranked constituents and the stocks could be deleted at the September rebalance.We expect the announcement of the changes on 1 September and the implementation at the close of trading on 9 September.The impact from passive trading is not very high on the inclusions while the impact on the potential deletions is a lot higher. There is a bit of short interest on the potential deletions and some of that could be covered in the lead up to index deletion.The dynamics of the index changes are pretty interesting. KakaoBank (323410 KS) and  Krafton Inc (259960 KS) will be short-sell eligible from 10 September while the deletions will no longer be short-sell eligible. We suggest potential trading strategies to take advantage of these dynamics.

KOSPI200 September Rebalance Preview: Double Edged Sword

Following up on our short rotation into Korea and Taiwan. Kospi 200 broke the 425 support in an aggressive nature after the USD/KRW broke out above 1,152.Korea short from 435-44 zone (437 entry) saw an impulsive break below 425 pivot support. SEC also broke below 79k major support on August 11.Taiwan is prone to follow as flows taper into tech given NDX fade/bend risk on higher yields. Taiwan high degree bear divergence warns of a downside surprise in late August/September.

Following up on our short rotation into Korea and Taiwan. Kospi 200 broke the 425 support in an aggressive nature after the USD/KRW broke out above 1,152.Korea short from 435-44 zone (437 entry) saw an impulsive break below 425 pivot support. SEC also broke below 79k major support on August 11.Taiwan is prone to follow as flows taper into tech given NDX fade/bend risk on higher yields. Taiwan high degree bear divergence warns of a downside surprise in late August/September.

Korea Support Break with Taiwan to Follow

Post market close on 3 August, the KRX announced that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skckolonpi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9196:1" rel="noopener">Skckolonpi Inc (178920 KS)</a> would be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> following the move of the stock from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kpm-tech-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15948:1" rel="noopener">Kpm Tech Co Ltd (042040 KS)</a> will be added to the index as a replacement to take the number of constituents back to 150.The changes will be effective after the close of trading on Friday, 6 August.The change will make <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skckolonpi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9196:1" rel="noopener">Skckolonpi Inc (178920 KS)</a> ineligible for short selling while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kpm-tech-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15948:1" rel="noopener">Kpm Tech Co Ltd (042040 KS)</a> will become eligible for short selling.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skckolonpi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9196:1" rel="noopener">Skckolonpi Inc (178920 KS)</a> belongs to the Materials sector and will be a very close add to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.Passive funds will need to sell 2.45 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skckolonpi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9196:1" rel="noopener">Skckolonpi Inc (178920 KS)</a> and buy 1 day of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kpm-tech-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15948:1" rel="noopener">Kpm Tech Co Ltd (042040 KS)</a>. There are only 3 days to the implementation of the changes.

Post market close on 3 August, the KRX announced that Skckolonpi Inc (178920 KS) would be deleted from the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) following the move of the stock from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.Kpm Tech Co Ltd (042040 KS) will be added to the index as a replacement to take the number of constituents back to 150.The changes will be effective after the close of trading on Friday, 6 August.The change will make Skckolonpi Inc (178920 KS) ineligible for short selling while Kpm Tech Co Ltd (042040 KS) will become eligible for short selling.Skckolonpi Inc (178920 KS) belongs to the Materials sector and will be a very close add to the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the December rebalance.Passive funds will need to sell 2.45 days of ADV on Skckolonpi Inc (178920 KS) and buy 1 day of ADV on Kpm Tech Co Ltd (042040 KS). There are only 3 days to the implementation of the changes.

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: PIAM Transfer to KOSPI; Is Replaced by KPM Tech

As China/HK and Japan reach for oversold cycle lows, our attention shifts to Korea and Taiwan as short rotation candidates as both have backed of of key resistance zones and vulnerable into an exhaustive US rally cycle.Nikkei lower wedge support remains our ideal downside target. HSI undershoot to 24,600 but 27,000 is now formidable resistance.Korea and Taiwan are closer to key has and backing off of resistance zones, making them more vulnerable to an exhaustive NDX cycle.<div><div>Key takeaway - Nikkei and HSI expected to outperform Korea and Taiwan from noted low zones after the next leg down is complete.</div></div>

As China/HK and Japan reach for oversold cycle lows, our attention shifts to Korea and Taiwan as short rotation candidates as both have backed of of key resistance zones and vulnerable into an exhaustive US rally cycle.Nikkei lower wedge support remains our ideal downside target. HSI undershoot to 24,600 but 27,000 is now formidable resistance.Korea and Taiwan are closer to key has and backing off of resistance zones, making them more vulnerable to an exhaustive NDX cycle.Key takeaway - Nikkei and HSI expected to outperform Korea and Taiwan from noted low zones after the next leg down is complete.

South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

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Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

Asia Short Cluster Digging for September Lows

Our Asia short group kissed fresh sell levels (add back to early August entries) with fresh lows in store for September that will set up buy levels...

Thomas Schroeder

KOSPI200 September Rebalance Preview: Double Edged Sword

KakaoBank and Krafton are high probability inclusions to the KOSPI200 in September while Lock&Lock and JW Pharma are potential deletions. KakaoBank...

Brian Freitas

Korea Support Break with Taiwan to Follow

Following up on our short rotation into Korea and Taiwan. Kospi 200 broke the 425 support in an aggressive nature after the USD/KRW broke out above...

Thomas Schroeder

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: PIAM Transfer to KOSPI; Is Replaced by KPM Tech

KPM Tech replaces PI Advanced Materials in the KOSDAQ150 following PIAM's move to the KOSPI board. PIAM could be included in the KOSPI200 at the...

Brian Freitas

Asia Short Rotation

As China/HK and Japan reach for oversold cycle lows, our attention shifts to Korea and Taiwan as short rotation candidates as both have backed of...

Thomas Schroeder

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)