Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There will be 7 additions and 7 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 9 June.</li>
<li>We got all 7 inclusions right and 5 of the 7 deletions right. The adds have 3-6 days ADV to buy, while the deletes have 4-12 days ADV to sell.</li>
<li>Short interest on the deletions is a significant portion of the estimated passive selling and there could be short covering in the week leading up to implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There will be 7 additions and 7 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 9 June.
We got all 7 inclusions right and 5 of the 7 deletions right. The adds have 3-6 days ADV to buy, while the deletes have 4-12 days ADV to sell.
Short interest on the deletions is a significant portion of the estimated passive selling and there could be short covering in the week leading up to implementation of the changes.


Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our top short bets have been in Japan, Taiwan, Korea and the HSI. All are facing key inflection trendline make or break levels for our fresh short entries.</li>
<li>SPX trade remains heavy and is expected to cap this bounce in Asia with a near term target of 3,785 (tactical rally zone).</li>
<li>Core Asia is forming a bullish wedge formation that will mature in late May/June setting up a tactical rise. Immediate trend barriers are a key inflection point to watch.</li>
</ul>


Our top short bets have been in Japan, Taiwan, Korea and the HSI. All are facing key inflection trendline make or break levels for our fresh short entries.
SPX trade remains heavy and is expected to cap this bounce in Asia with a near term target of 3,785 (tactical rally zone).
Core Asia is forming a bullish wedge formation that will mature in late May/June setting up a tactical rise. Immediate trend barriers are a key inflection point to watch.


Asia Top Shorts Face Bull/Bear Trendline Pivots

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KRX New Deal indices started on 1 May and will run till 31 July. Implementation is on 8 September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intellian-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34895:1" rel="noopener">Intellian Technologies (189300)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/danal-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19682:1" rel="noopener">Danal Co Ltd (064260)</a> in the Internet index, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afreecatv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20163:1" rel="noopener">AfreecaTV (067160 KS)</a> in the top 3 index stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexon-games-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35967:1" rel="noopener">Nexon Games (225570 KS)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/devsisters-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14096:1" rel="noopener">Devsisters (194480 KS)</a> in the Game Index, though the flows are small on the stocks given the small benchmarked AUM.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KRX New Deal indices started on 1 May and will run till 31 July. Implementation is on 8 September.

Intellian Technologies (189300) could replace Danal Co Ltd (064260) in the Internet index, while KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS) could replace AfreecaTV (067160 KS) in the top 3 index stocks.

Nexon Games (225570 KS) could replace Devsisters (194480 KS) in the Game Index, though the flows are small on the stocks given the small benchmarked AUM.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Buying on KMW; Selling on AfreecaTV

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance ended on Friday. The changes will be announced in around 3 weeks and will be effective after the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>We see 7 changes for the index with most of them being high probability. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions, but have given up some gains in April.</li>
<li>Short interest on some of the potential deletions has risen sharply over the last month and now almost equals the estimated passive selling.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance ended on Friday. The changes will be announced in around 3 weeks and will be effective after the close on 9 June.
We see 7 changes for the index with most of them being high probability. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions, but have given up some gains in April.
Short interest on some of the potential deletions has risen sharply over the last month and now almost equals the estimated passive selling.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Review Period Ends as Reversion Kicks In

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Asia top shorts are Taiwan and Korea followed by HSI and the Nikkei. All are rolling over under key trendline barriers. Need to break near support pivots for downside traction.</li>
<li>SPX 4,470 is the key support to break below to add to selling pressure in Asia that would crack pivot supports.</li>
<li>Early April call for increased volatility with a weaker April in store, assuming we see downside follow through below noted pivot supports.</li>
</ul>


Asia top shorts are Taiwan and Korea followed by HSI and the Nikkei. All are rolling over under key trendline barriers. Need to break near support pivots for downside traction.
SPX 4,470 is the key support to break below to add to selling pressure in Asia that would crack pivot supports.
Early April call for increased volatility with a weaker April in store, assuming we see downside follow through below noted pivot supports.


South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Se7en Changes

There are 7 changes for the KOSPI 200 at the June rebalance. The impact on the deletions is higher than that on the inclusions, but there are a lot...

Brian Freitas

Asia Top Shorts Face Bull/Bear Trendline Pivots

Our top short bets have been in Japan, Taiwan, Korea and the HSI. All are facing key inflection trendline make or break levels for our fresh short...

Thomas Schroeder

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Buying on KMW; Selling on AfreecaTV

The September rebalance of the KRX New Deal Indices could see buying on KMW & selling on AfreecaTV. There will be other changes too but the impact...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Review Period Ends as Reversion Kicks In

With the review period complete, we see 7 potential changes to the index in June. The inclusions have underperformed the deletions in April and...

Brian Freitas

Asia High Conviction Shorts

Asia top shorts are Taiwan and Korea followed by HSI and the Nikkei. All are rolling over under key trendline barriers. Need to break near support...

Thomas Schroeder

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)