Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Shift Up is target price of 95,510 won, which is 59% higher than the high end of the IPO price range (60,000 won).</li>
<li>We believe Shift Up deserves higher valuation multiples than its peers mainly due to higher sales growth, much higher operating margins, and higher ROE.</li>
<li>Since its launch in April of this year, Stellar Blade (PS console game) has ranked first in sales in eight countries, including the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, and Japan.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Shift Up is target price of 95,510 won, which is 59% higher than the high end of the IPO price range (60,000 won).
We believe Shift Up deserves higher valuation multiples than its peers mainly due to higher sales growth, much higher operating margins, and higher ROE.
Since its launch in April of this year, Stellar Blade (PS console game) has ranked first in sales in eight countries, including the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, and Japan.


Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The KRX have announced the index changes for the KOSPI200 June review.</li>
<li>The index will be rebalanced in the closing auction on Thursday the 13th of June.</li>
<li>There will be 6 additions to the index and 6 deletions.</li>
</ul>


The KRX have announced the index changes for the KOSPI200 June review.
The index will be rebalanced in the closing auction on Thursday the 13th of June.
There will be 6 additions to the index and 6 deletions.


KOSPI200 June '24 Rebalance: Index Changes Released, 6 Additions & 6 Deletions

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.
We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.


KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mirae-asset-tiger-top-10-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36042:1" rel="noopener">Mirae Asset Tiger Top 10 ETF (292150 KS)</a> tracks the FnGuide Top 10 Index and has an AUM of around US$1.2bn.</li>
<li>We currently forecast two potential changes at the next rebalance in June - one change is high probability while one could change depending on price moves over the next week.</li>
<li>The trade has performed well historically with positive performance till implementation followed by reversion post implementation.</li>
</ul>


The Mirae Asset Tiger Top 10 ETF (292150 KS) tracks the FnGuide Top 10 Index and has an AUM of around US$1.2bn.
We currently forecast two potential changes at the next rebalance in June - one change is high probability while one could change depending on price moves over the next week.
The trade has performed well historically with positive performance till implementation followed by reversion post implementation.


FnGuide Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Possible in June

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we make comparisons between EcoPro Materials (450080 KS) and HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) post their IPOs</li>
<li>Ecopro Materials' share price is likely to face continued weakness, especially with the potential for a major block deal sale by BRV Capital and end of the lock up period.</li>
<li>We believe that HD Hyundai Marine Solution's share price has surged above its intrinsic value. More insiders are likely to start selling HD Hyundai Marine Solution in the coming months.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we make comparisons between EcoPro Materials (450080 KS) and HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) post their IPOs
Ecopro Materials' share price is likely to face continued weakness, especially with the potential for a major block deal sale by BRV Capital and end of the lock up period.
We believe that HD Hyundai Marine Solution's share price has surged above its intrinsic value. More insiders are likely to start selling HD Hyundai Marine Solution in the coming months.


A Comparison Between Ecopro Materials & HD Hyundai Marine Solution Post IPO

South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

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Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

Shift Up IPO Valuation Analysis

The first day of book building for the Shift Up IPO started on Monday and it looks excellent. Many institutional investors placed orders at prices...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 June '24 Rebalance: Index Changes Released, 6 Additions & 6 Deletions

The KRX have released the index changes for the KOSPI200 June review. The index will be rebalanced in the closing auction on Thursday the 13th of...

DMA

KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

There are many changes expected for the KOSPI size indices in September. The potential upward migrations have outperformed the potential downward...

Brian Freitas

FnGuide Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Possible in June

There could be two changes for the FnGuide Top 10 Index in June. Historically, the adds have outperformed the deletes pre-implementation and there...

Brian Freitas

A Comparison Between Ecopro Materials & HD Hyundai Marine Solution Post IPO

In this insight, we make comparisons between EcoPro Materials (450080 KS) and HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) post their IPOs

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)