Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>.</li>
<li>Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">TWSE INDEX</a> has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.</li>
</ul>


Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX). 
Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the KOSPI2 INDEX and KOSDAQ 150 Index.
Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the TWSE INDEX has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.


Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Konan Technology is one of the competitors to Open AI (Chat GPT) in Korea. </li>
<li>Konan Technology's share price is up more than 4x this year. We would not chase the stock at current levels. We provide a framework of valuing Konan Technology. </li>
<li>Four large Korean companies that could be long-term winners in AI space in Korea include Naver, Kakao Corp, SK Telecom, and KT Corp. SK Telecom owns 20.8% of Konan Technology. </li>
</ul>


Konan Technology is one of the competitors to Open AI (Chat GPT) in Korea. 
Konan Technology's share price is up more than 4x this year. We would not chase the stock at current levels. We provide a framework of valuing Konan Technology. 
Four large Korean companies that could be long-term winners in AI space in Korea include Naver, Kakao Corp, SK Telecom, and KT Corp. SK Telecom owns 20.8% of Konan Technology. 


Konan Technology: Surging Share Price Due to Global Interest in Chat GPT AI

Hyundai Engineering & Construction / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Mohammed bin Salman (MBS), the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, is expected to visit South Korea in late October/early November 2022.</li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the top 14 stocks in Korea that could benefit from his visit of South Korea in a couple of months.</li>
<li>We think that many local investors have been buying some of the 14 stocks mentioned in this insight with the expectation of further positive news from MBS visiting South Korea.</li>
</ul>


Mohammed bin Salman (MBS), the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, is expected to visit South Korea in late October/early November 2022.
In this insight, we discuss the top 14 stocks in Korea that could benefit from his visit of South Korea in a couple of months.
We think that many local investors have been buying some of the 14 stocks mentioned in this insight with the expectation of further positive news from MBS visiting South Korea.


Top 14 Korean Stocks to Benefit from Mohammed Bin Salman's Visit to South Korea in October/November

<ul>
<li>There have been more news flow about several major Korean defense companies that could receive as much as 28 trillion won in new orders from three major European countries.</li>
<li>The Poland government could purchase jets, tanks, and howitzers from major Korean defense companies such as Hyundai Rotem (K2 tanks), KAI (FA50 fighter jets), and Hanwha Defense (K9 howitzers).</li>
<li>There is a good probability that the Korean defense contractors may be able to secure a large percentage of the 28 trillion won in new arms exports contracts.</li>
</ul>


There have been more news flow about several major Korean defense companies that could receive as much as 28 trillion won in new orders from three major European countries.
The Poland government could purchase jets, tanks, and howitzers from major Korean defense companies such as Hyundai Rotem (K2 tanks), KAI (FA50 fighter jets), and Hanwha Defense (K9 howitzers).
There is a good probability that the Korean defense contractors may be able to secure a large percentage of the 28 trillion won in new arms exports contracts.


Korean Defense Companies:  Potential Contracts Worth 28 Trillion Won from Poland, UK, & Norway

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>This is the first weekly series on the "Top 20 Best Performers in KOSPI Adjusted for Trading Value &amp; Mkt Cap." </li>
<li>This Korean weekly is aimed at providing a better framework for spotting the big potential winners in the Korean stock market as well as changing sectoral and company trends.</li>
<li>These 20 stocks are up on average 13.9% from 28 April to 6 May, significantly outperforming KOSPI which is down 0.9% in the same period. </li>
</ul>


This is the first weekly series on the "Top 20 Best Performers in KOSPI Adjusted for Trading Value &amp; Mkt Cap." 
This Korean weekly is aimed at providing a better framework for spotting the big potential winners in the Korean stock market as well as changing sectoral and company trends.
These 20 stocks are up on average 13.9% from 28 April to 6 May, significantly outperforming KOSPI which is down 0.9% in the same period. 


Top 20 Best Performers in KOSPI (Week of 6 May)

South Korea

Korea Aerospace Industries Ltd. designs and produces aircraft parts including fixed wings for aircrafts and rotary wings for helicopters. The Company also engages in aircraft upgrade and modification business and satellite development business.

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Korea Aerospace Industries (047810 KS)

Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

The Insight looks at movements in short interest across HK, Korea, Taiwan and Australia stocks over Q1 and highlights large increases/decreases in...

Brian Freitas

Top 14 Korean Stocks to Benefit from Mohammed Bin Salman's Visit to South Korea in October/November

In this insight, we discuss the top 14 stocks in Korea that could benefit from Saudi Arabia's Mohammed bin Salman's visit of South Korea in a...

Douglas Kim

Korean Defense Companies: Potential Contracts Worth 28 Trillion Won from Poland, UK, & Norway

There have been more news flow about several major Korean defense companies that could receive as much as 28 trillion won in new orders from three...

Douglas Kim

Top 20 Best Performers in KOSPI (Week of 6 May)

This is the first weekly series on the "Top 20 Best Performers in KOSPI." This is aimed at providing a better framework for spotting the big...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

The Insight looks at movements in short interest across HK, Korea, Taiwan and Australia stocks over Q1 and highlights large increases/decreases in...

Brian Freitas

Konan Technology: Surging Share Price Due to Global Interest in Chat GPT AI

Konan Technology is one of the competitors to Open AI (Chat GPT) in Korea. We provide a framework of valuing Konan Technology. We would not chase...

Douglas Kim

Top 14 Korean Stocks to Benefit from Mohammed Bin Salman's Visit to South Korea in October/November

In this insight, we discuss the top 14 stocks in Korea that could benefit from Saudi Arabia's Mohammed bin Salman's visit of South Korea in a...

Douglas Kim

Korean Defense Companies: Potential Contracts Worth 28 Trillion Won from Poland, UK, & Norway

There have been more news flow about several major Korean defense companies that could receive as much as 28 trillion won in new orders from three...

Douglas Kim

Top 20 Best Performers in KOSPI (Week of 6 May)

This is the first weekly series on the "Top 20 Best Performers in KOSPI." This is aimed at providing a better framework for spotting the big...

Douglas Kim