Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

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Note that Ankit Agrawal (Proprietor of Yellowstone Equity) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (Registration No.: INH000007216). Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.

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Equity Bottom-Up

Kolte Patil Developers / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Kolte Patil reported a decent Q1FY25 with pre-sales of INR 711cr. This was lower than expected, however, adjusted for weak new launch activity, it was healthy.</li>
<li>Q1FY25 pre-sales was mostly led by sustenance sales. New launches worth INR 1500cr have been initiated mostly in Q2FY25, thus will start reflecting in 2HFY25 pre-sales numbers.</li>
<li>With highest-ever quarterly collection at INR 612cr, operating cash flows has remained strong. The balance sheet remains robust with negative net debt, allowing Kolte Patil to aggressively pursue new projects.</li>
</ul>


Kolte Patil reported a decent Q1FY25 with pre-sales of INR 711cr. This was lower than expected, however, adjusted for weak new launch activity, it was healthy.
Q1FY25 pre-sales was mostly led by sustenance sales. New launches worth INR 1500cr have been initiated mostly in Q2FY25, thus will start reflecting in 2HFY25 pre-sales numbers.
With highest-ever quarterly collection at INR 612cr, operating cash flows has remained strong. The balance sheet remains robust with negative net debt, allowing Kolte Patil to aggressively pursue new projects.


Kolte Patil: New Launches Were Tepid In Q1 But FY25 Is On Track For Strong Performance

<ul>
<li>Kolte Patil reported a muted Q4FY24 with sales value flattish at INR 743cr vs INR 746cr QoQ. However, overall FY24 ended strong with sales value growing at 25%+ YoY.</li>
<li>New project acquisition ended FY24 at INR 6000cr+, which was below the guidance of INR 8000cr. However, Kolte Patil remains upbeat and has guided to do INR 8000cr in FY25.</li>
<li>Even with lower than expected project acquisitions, Kolte Patil is well positioned with INR 25000cr worth of projects portfolio. It has guided for 25% CAGR in sales value through FY25-27.</li>
</ul>


Kolte Patil reported a muted Q4FY24 with sales value flattish at INR 743cr vs INR 746cr QoQ. However, overall FY24 ended strong with sales value growing at 25%+ YoY.
New project acquisition ended FY24 at INR 6000cr+, which was below the guidance of INR 8000cr. However, Kolte Patil remains upbeat and has guided to do INR 8000cr in FY25.
Even with lower than expected project acquisitions, Kolte Patil is well positioned with INR 25000cr worth of projects portfolio. It has guided for 25% CAGR in sales value through FY25-27.


Kolte Patil: Medium-Term Outlook Remains Robust

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kolte-patil-developers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6819:1" rel="noopener">Kolte Patil Developers (KPDL IN)</a> reported a decent Q3FY24 led by record sales value and improved realization. It is on track to achieve its guided INR 2800cr sales value for FY24.</li>
<li>Demand environment continues to be robust. Kolte Patil has guided for 25%+ sales value growth even for FY25. Realization also has room to improve and should aid the growth.</li>
<li>New business development activity is strong. Kolte Patil is in advances stages of discussion for projects with sales value worth INR 8000-10000cr, INR 3000-4000cr of which could close soon.</li>
</ul>



Kolte Patil Developers (KPDL IN) reported a decent Q3FY24 led by record sales value and improved realization. It is on track to achieve its guided INR 2800cr sales value for FY24.
Demand environment continues to be robust. Kolte Patil has guided for 25%+ sales value growth even for FY25. Realization also has room to improve and should aid the growth.
New business development activity is strong. Kolte Patil is in advances stages of discussion for projects with sales value worth INR 8000-10000cr, INR 3000-4000cr of which could close soon.


Kolte Patil: Robust Execution and Guidance

<ul>
<li>Kolte Patil reported a steady Q2FY24 led by continued momentum across sales, business development and deliveries.</li>
<li>Sales volume grew by 5%+ QoQ to 0.98mm sq ft in Q2FY24, led by strong sales in the Life Republic projects. This brings the H1FY24 total sales volume to 1.91mm. </li>
<li>With 4.94mm sq ft slated to be launched in H2FY24 vs 2.73mm launched in H1FY24, Kolte Patil is on track to achieve its FY24 sales guidance of 3.9mm+ sq ft.</li>
</ul>


Kolte Patil reported a steady Q2FY24 led by continued momentum across sales, business development and deliveries.
Sales volume grew by 5%+ QoQ to 0.98mm sq ft in Q2FY24, led by strong sales in the Life Republic projects. This brings the H1FY24 total sales volume to 1.91mm. 
With 4.94mm sq ft slated to be launched in H2FY24 vs 2.73mm launched in H1FY24, Kolte Patil is on track to achieve its FY24 sales guidance of 3.9mm+ sq ft.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kolte-patil-developers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6819:1" rel="noopener">Kolte Patil (KPDL)</a> reported record sales velocity in Q1FY24 and is on track to achieve 25%+ sales value growth in FY24 as per its stated guidance.</li>
<li>Business development activity is also happening at a record pace and Kolte Patil is on track to beat its prior FY24 guidance of INR 8000cr by a wide margin.</li>
<li>Despite 80%+ rise in the share price since our coverage initiation 2Y ago, Kolte Patil still offers an upside potential of 25%+ IRR over a holding period of three years. </li>
</ul>



Kolte Patil (KPDL) reported record sales velocity in Q1FY24 and is on track to achieve 25%+ sales value growth in FY24 as per its stated guidance.
Business development activity is also happening at a record pace and Kolte Patil is on track to beat its prior FY24 guidance of INR 8000cr by a wide margin.
Despite 80%+ rise in the share price since our coverage initiation 2Y ago, Kolte Patil still offers an upside potential of 25%+ IRR over a holding period of three years. 


Kolte Patil: Strong Growth Momentum Continues from FY23

India

Kolte-Patil Developers Ltd. builds residential housing, commercial complexes, and mixed residential and commercial projects.

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Kolte Patil Developers (KPDL IN)

Kolte Patil: New Launches Were Tepid In Q1 But FY25 Is On Track For Strong Performance

Kolte Patil delivered robust pre-sales numbers despite tepid new launch activity. It is on track to deliver FY25 pre-sales of INR 3500cr, as per...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Kolte Patil: Medium-Term Outlook Remains Robust

Kolte Patil has had a strong FY24 and is on track to continue its 25%+ CAGR run-rate over the next 3 years. At the current valuation, it has...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Kolte Patil: Robust Execution and Guidance

Kolte Patil is seeing strong growth led by robust execution and demand. It is on track to achieve its guided 25% sales growth in FY24 and has...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Kolte Patil: On Track for a Strong FY24

Kolte Patil reported a steady Q2FY24, suggesting that it is on track as per its FY24 guidance. At the current valuation, an investment in Kolte...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Kolte Patil: Strong Growth Momentum Continues from FY23

Kolte Patil is hitting all the right notes in terms of new project launches, new project acquisitions and deliveries. This is leading to record...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

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