Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>The Great Room to open its biggest Co-working space at Afro Asia building in Oct21</h3>Hospitality-led co-working space operator, The Great Room, will open its fifth location in Singapore in Oct21. The Great Room will take up 37,000sqft across three floors of the new 19-storey office tower at Afro Asia Building. Jointly developed by the Tan family of Afro-Asia Shopping Co and Japanese giant construction company Shimizu Corp, the building has been conferred the Green Mark Platinum and LEED Platinum ecological certifications. The co-working space will be The Great Room’s largest in Singapore and will span the sixth to eighth floors. The Great Room will also manage the fifth-floor sky garden that can be used as an outdoor event space.

SingaporeThe Great Room to open its biggest Co-working space at Afro Asia building in Oct21Hospitality-led co-working space operator, The Great Room, will open its fifth location in Singapore in Oct21. The Great Room will take up 37,000sqft across three floors of the new 19-storey office tower at Afro Asia Building. Jointly developed by the Tan family of Afro-Asia Shopping Co and Japanese giant construction company Shimizu Corp, the building has been conferred the Green Mark Platinum and LEED Platinum ecological certifications. The co-working space will be The Great Room’s largest in Singapore and will span the sixth to eighth floors. The Great Room will also manage the fifth-floor sky garden that can be used as an outdoor event space.

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<figure>
 <img src='https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2021-08/Capture_8.PNG' alt='Institutional investors net fund flow in SREITS' />
 </figure>
 <div class='content-caption'>Institutional investors net fund flow in SREITS</div>
<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd">
<html><body>There are seven S-Reits in the Straits Times Index (STI), making up close to 14 per cent of the benchmark. 
The seven S-Reits generated an average total return of 5.2 per cent in the third quarter-to-date till Aug 5, outperforming the STI which gained 1.6 per cent over the same period. 
Keppel DC REIT (+6.8 per cent), Ascendas REIT (+6.8 per cent) and Mapletree Industrial Trust (+6.1 per cent) were the top three S-REITs performers in the STI. 
The sector's outperformance was not limited to S-Reits within the STI, but also extended to the broader S-Reits and property trusts sector in Singapore. The iEdge S-Reit Index generated a total return of 3.6 per cent since the end of June, which is more than double that of the STI's 1.6 per cent gains. 
In July 2021, institutional investors were net buyers of the sector with net inflows of S$54.1 million, after being net sellers for six consecutive months in 2021. 
ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (+S$46.7 million), Keppel REIT (+S$25.8 million), OUE Commercial REIT (+S$19.1 million), Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (+S$17.2 million) and Starhill Global REIT (+S$14.4 million) were the top five S-REITs that received the highest net institutional inflows in the first seven months of 2021. 
Starhill Global Reit (SGReit) announced that its full year gross revenue grew 0.3 per cent year on year (yoy) to S$181.3 million in FY20/21. Its net property income (NPI) increased by 2.0 per cent yoy to S$134.7 million in FY20/21. The Reit's FY20/21 distribution per unit (DPU) grew 33.4 per cent yoy to 3.95 cents. SGReit noted that despite the uncertainty of the Covid-19 situation, its retail portfolio occupancy, based on committed leases, remained stable at 97.5 per cent as at June 30, 2021. 
On Aug 4, Lendlease Global Commercial Reit (LReit) completed the acquisition of 53 per cent interest in Lendlease Jem Partners Fund and will make a further announcement on the status of the acquisition of a 5 per cent interest in Lendlease Asian Retail Investment Fund 3. 
Upon completion of these acquisitions, LReit will hold an effective indirect interest of up to 31.8 per cent in Jem. LReit is scheduled to report its full year financial results on Aug 10, 2021. 
OUE Commercial Reit (OUE C-Reit) reported a 3.1 per cent decline in NPI for 2021 due to the completion of divestment of a 50 per cent interest in OUE Bayfront in March 2021. 
The performance of OUE Bayfront is no longer consolidated and is recognised as share of joint venture results. 
With lower interest expense and including the share of joint venture results from OUE Bayfront, the amount available for distribution to OUE C-Reit's unitholders in H1 2021 was 3.0 per cent higher yoy, translating to a DPU of 1.23 cents, which is 23.0 per cent higher yoy. REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, <a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/institutional-investors-return-to-s-reits-in-q32021">read </a>the original version.</body></html>


      
    
    Institutional investors net fund flow in SREITS

There are seven S-Reits in the Straits Times Index (STI), making up close to 14 per cent of the benchmark.  
The seven S-Reits generated an average total return of 5.2 per cent in the third quarter-to-date till Aug 5, outperforming the STI which gained 1.6 per cent over the same period.  
Keppel DC REIT (+6.8 per cent), Ascendas REIT (+6.8 per cent) and Mapletree Industrial Trust (+6.1 per cent) were the top three S-REITs performers in the STI.  
The sector's outperformance was not limited to S-Reits within the STI, but also extended to the broader S-Reits and property trusts sector in Singapore. The iEdge S-Reit Index generated a total return of 3.6 per cent since the end of June, which is more than double that of the STI's 1.6 per cent gains.  
In July 2021, institutional investors were net buyers of the sector with net inflows of S$54.1 million, after being net sellers for six consecutive months in 2021.  
ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (+S$46.7 million), Keppel REIT (+S$25.8 million), OUE Commercial REIT (+S$19.1 million), Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (+S$17.2 million) and Starhill Global REIT (+S$14.4 million) were the top five S-REITs that received the highest net institutional inflows in the first seven months of 2021.  
Starhill Global Reit (SGReit) announced that its full year gross revenue grew 0.3 per cent year on year (yoy) to S$181.3 million in FY20/21. Its net property income (NPI) increased by 2.0 per cent yoy to S$134.7 million in FY20/21. The Reit's FY20/21 distribution per unit (DPU) grew 33.4 per cent yoy to 3.95 cents. SGReit noted that despite the uncertainty of the Covid-19 situation, its retail portfolio occupancy, based on committed leases, remained stable at 97.5 per cent as at June 30, 2021.  
On Aug 4, Lendlease Global Commercial Reit (LReit) completed the acquisition of 53 per cent interest in Lendlease Jem Partners Fund and will make a further announcement on the status of the acquisition of a 5 per cent interest in Lendlease Asian Retail Investment Fund 3.  
Upon completion of these acquisitions, LReit will hold an effective indirect interest of up to 31.8 per cent in Jem. LReit is scheduled to report its full year financial results on Aug 10, 2021.  
OUE Commercial Reit (OUE C-Reit) reported a 3.1 per cent decline in NPI for 2021 due to the completion of divestment of a 50 per cent interest in OUE Bayfront in March 2021.  
The performance of OUE Bayfront is no longer consolidated and is recognised as share of joint venture results.  
With lower interest expense and including the share of joint venture results from OUE Bayfront, the amount available for distribution to OUE C-Reit's unitholders in H1 2021 was 3.0 per cent higher yoy, translating to a DPU of 1.23 cents, which is 23.0 per cent higher yoy.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.


REIT Watch - Institutional investors return to S-Reits in Q32021

Yoma Strategic Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

Key Singapore Market Moves and Flows in July

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
 
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
AAREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
CICT
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
KREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
MINT
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Period
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1Q22
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1Q22
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Gross Revenue (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
31.8 (+16.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
645.7 (+102.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
105.8 (+40.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
128.1 (29.2% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
NPI (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
23.1 (+23.9% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
472.2 (+118% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
84.4 (+43.1% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
104.7 (33.1% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
DPU (S$ c)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
2.25 (+12.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
5.18 (+75% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
2.94 (+5.0% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
3.35 (+16.7% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
NAV per Unit (S$)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1.35
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
2.05
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1.29
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.75
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
P/B (x)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1.15
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
1.02
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
0.93
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.65
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Occupancy (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
95.7
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
94.9
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
96.7
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
94.3 (Overall)
97.8 (North American Portfolio)
93.4 (Singapore Portfolio)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Reversion (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Not disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
-9.1 (retail)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
6.91
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Gearing (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
34.3
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
40.5
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
38.9
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
31.0
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Cost of Debt (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
2.8
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
2.4
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1.97
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
2.7
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
6.1
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
5.19
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
4.92
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.51
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Debt Hedged (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
77.2
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
85
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
68
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
95.8
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Target Price
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Rating
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Singapore
SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)




 


AAREIT


CICT


KREIT


MINT




Period


1Q22


1H21


1H21


1Q22




Gross Revenue (S$ m)


31.8 (+16.8% YoY)


645.7 (+102.8% YoY)


105.8 (+40.2% YoY)


128.1 (29.2% YoY)




NPI (S$ m)


23.1 (+23.9% YoY)


472.2 (+118% YoY)


84.4 (+43.1% YoY)


104.7 (33.1% YoY)




DPU (S$ c)


2.25 (+12.5% YoY)


5.18 (+75% YoY)


2.94 (+5.0% YoY)


3.35 (+16.7% YoY)




NAV per Unit (S$)


1.35


2.05


1.29


1.75




P/B (x)


1.15


1.02


0.93


1.65




Occupancy (%)


95.7


94.9


96.7


94.3 (Overall)
97.8 (North American Portfolio)
93.4 (Singapore Portfolio)




Reversion (%)


Not disclosed


-9.1 (retail)


6.91


Not Disclosed




Gearing (%)


34.3


40.5


38.9


31.0




Cost of Debt (%)


2.8


2.4


1.97


2.7




1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)


6.1


5.19


4.92


1.51




Debt Hedged (%)


77.2


85


68


95.8




Target Price


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A




Rating


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A





ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jul21) - AAREIT Stable Performance

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs – Reflation is working in SREIT’s favour (BUY FCT DASIN AAREIT AREIT ECWREIT)</h3>
With Singapore moving into Phase 3, economic recovery should regain momentum, albeit uneven across sectors. The accelerated timetable for US interest rate hikes has triggered yield spread compression, but also signaled a stronger and sustainable economic growth, which bodes well for trade-dependent Singapore. We reinitiate the SREIT sector with BUY. Top picks are FCT, DASIN, AAREIT and AREIT. SGREIT offers a good entry point for midterm recovery play; while ECWREIT could see a DPU boost from deferred DI.
<ul>
<li>Economy recovery provides strong tailwind for yield, albeit uneven across sectors. Following a setback from a month-long partial lockdown in Phase 2, Singapore has resume gradual reopening on 14Jun, thus setting economy back on track to recovery. However, we should see some deviation from initial expected timeline and recovery pace across sectors. In particular, tourism-related sectors are set to see further delays in recovery given the slower lifting of global travel curbs and the recent cut in capacity limits at local attractions. On the other hand, domestic-driven expenditures and outward-oriented sectors, such as retail and manufacturing, are expected to benefit from the pick-up in demand</li>
<li>We prefer Retail and Commercial subsectors, which should recover on stronger pace and offer attractive yields within the SREIT sector, while trading at c.1.0x forward P/B. Industrial subsector offers mixed picture, where we are positive on warehouse space, but neutral on other property types. Continued M&amp;A activities within the Industrial subsector should boost future DPU growth in addition to organic growth</li>
<li>We underweight both Hospitality and Healthcare subsectors. Outlook for Hospitality subsector remains cloudy in near term. Nonetheless, we remain upbeat on the longer-term prospect of the subsector in anticipation of international border reopening. On the other hand, the robust valuations of Healthcare subsector and low cash-flow growth realizations could indicate over optimism in investors’ expectations</li>
<li>Our top picks: FCT (Buy; S$2.89) for its faster recovery in near term. DASIN (Buy; S$0.81) for China-focused retail play with its Greater Bay Area (GBA) exposure. We favour AAREIT (Buy; S$1.60) and AREIT (Buy; S$3.55) for their strong balance sheet, which allows them financial flexibility in pursuing new acquisitions, or embarking on development/ redevelopment/ AEI projects. Tactical investment into ECWREIT (Buy; S$0.82) on potential DPU boost from deferred DI.
<section class="figure">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/216/247/original/image003+%283%29.png?1625105065" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="216247"></figure>
</section>
</li>
</ul>

Singapore
SREITs – Reflation is working in SREIT’s favour (BUY FCT DASIN AAREIT AREIT ECWREIT)
With Singapore moving into Phase 3, economic recovery should regain momentum, albeit uneven across sectors. The accelerated timetable for US interest rate hikes has triggered yield spread compression, but also signaled a stronger and sustainable economic growth, which bodes well for trade-dependent Singapore. We reinitiate the SREIT sector with BUY. Top picks are FCT, DASIN, AAREIT and AREIT. SGREIT offers a good entry point for midterm recovery play; while ECWREIT could see a DPU boost from deferred DI.

Economy recovery provides strong tailwind for yield, albeit uneven across sectors. Following a setback from a month-long partial lockdown in Phase 2, Singapore has resume gradual reopening on 14Jun, thus setting economy back on track to recovery. However, we should see some deviation from initial expected timeline and recovery pace across sectors. In particular, tourism-related sectors are set to see further delays in recovery given the slower lifting of global travel curbs and the recent cut in capacity limits at local attractions. On the other hand, domestic-driven expenditures and outward-oriented sectors, such as retail and manufacturing, are expected to benefit from the pick-up in demand
We prefer Retail and Commercial subsectors, which should recover on stronger pace and offer attractive yields within the SREIT sector, while trading at c.1.0x forward P/B. Industrial subsector offers mixed picture, where we are positive on warehouse space, but neutral on other property types. Continued M&amp;A activities within the Industrial subsector should boost future DPU growth in addition to organic growth
We underweight both Hospitality and Healthcare subsectors. Outlook for Hospitality subsector remains cloudy in near term. Nonetheless, we remain upbeat on the longer-term prospect of the subsector in anticipation of international border reopening. On the other hand, the robust valuations of Healthcare subsector and low cash-flow growth realizations could indicate over optimism in investors’ expectations
Our top picks: FCT (Buy; S$2.89) for its faster recovery in near term. DASIN (Buy; S$0.81) for China-focused retail play with its Greater Bay Area (GBA) exposure. We favour AAREIT (Buy; S$1.60) and AREIT (Buy; S$3.55) for their strong balance sheet, which allows them financial flexibility in pursuing new acquisitions, or embarking on development/ redevelopment/ AEI projects. Tactical investment into ECWREIT (Buy; S$0.82) on potential DPU boost from deferred DI.






ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1Jul21) - SREITs Reflation Is Working in Its Favour

Singapore

Keppel REIT operates as a commercial real estate investment trust. The Trust owns and invests in a portfolio of income-producing office buildings and related real estate assets. Keppel REIT offers its services in Asia and Australia.

Price Gauge
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Keppel REIT (KREIT SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (30Aug21)

Co-working The Great Room opens at Afro Asia; Watergardens sold 60% at wkd launch; KREIT CEO steps down; HOUSE on track for PHP20bn sales in FY21

SCCM Asia Research

REIT Watch - Institutional investors return to S-Reits in Q32021

There are seven S-Reits in the Straits Times Index (STI), making up close to 14 per cent of the benchmark. The seven S-Reits...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Key Singapore Market Moves and Flows in July

The STI’s 1.2% gain in July brought its price gain over the first seven months to 11.4%, with dividends boosting the total return to 13.2%,...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jul21) - AAREIT Stable Performance

AAREIT stable performance; CICT office outshines retail; KREIT cautiously optimistic; MINT acq-driven growth; KORE expands with 2 new US acq; CPG...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1Jul21) - SREITs Reflation Is Working in Its Favour

SREITs reflation is working in its favour; 2Q21 resi prices up 0.9% QoQ; CAPL exits malls, expands into logistics in Japan; KREIT divests Brisbane...

SCCM Asia Research

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