External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Beike reported (31 Aug) 2Q23 financial results: total revenue was up 41.4% YoY to RMB19.5bn in 2Q23, inline with our forecast and Bloomberg consensus estimates.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income was RMB2.4bn, 34/43% better than our forecast/consensus estimate, which translates into a 12.1% NPM (our estimate: 9.1%), thanks to continuous operating efficiency improvement.</li><li>Given the fluctuation in macro recovery, and that the stimulus policy takes time to transit into housing sales recovery, management guided 3Q23 revenue to be between RMB15.5bn and RMB16.0bn, implying a decline of 9.1-11.9% YoY and 18-20% QoQ. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Beike reported (31 Aug) 2Q23 financial results: total revenue was up 41.4% YoY to RMB19.5bn in 2Q23, inline with our forecast and Bloomberg consensus estimates.Non-GAAP net income was RMB2.4bn, 34/43% better than our forecast/consensus estimate, which translates into a 12.1% NPM (our estimate: 9.1%), thanks to continuous operating efficiency improvement.Given the fluctuation in macro recovery, and that the stimulus policy takes time to transit into housing sales recovery, management guided 3Q23 revenue to be between RMB15.5bn and RMB16.0bn, implying a decline of 9.1-11.9% YoY and 18-20% QoQ. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ke Holdings (BEKE US) – Short-Term Headwind, but Bottoming Out Is in Sight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s destocking scheme showed encouraging progress, with Guangzhou announcing to purchase developers’ unsold inventory at cost prices, which could serve as an example for other cities. We think the scheme currently may only benefit SOEs/semi-SOEs as LGFVs may need to divest their financing function at first.</li><li>A number of regions actively implemented mortgage rate related policies after 17 May, and we think there is still room for further adjustment in Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen.</li><li>Noticeable recovery on property sales was shown with the daily transaction volume post-517 policy for new/second hand home increasing by 23%/21% compared to pre-517 policy. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s destocking scheme showed encouraging progress, with Guangzhou announcing to purchase developers’ unsold inventory at cost prices, which could serve as an example for other cities. We think the scheme currently may only benefit SOEs/semi-SOEs as LGFVs may need to divest their financing function at first.A number of regions actively implemented mortgage rate related policies after 17 May, and we think there is still room for further adjustment in Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen.Noticeable recovery on property sales was shown with the daily transaction volume post-517 policy for new/second hand home increasing by 23%/21% compared to pre-517 policy. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Encouraging Signs on Both Policy Implementation and Property Sales, Reiterate Buy

<ul><li>Guangzhou's latest policy eases home purchasing restrictions for foreigners, aiming to invigorate the market.</li><li>Post price cap removal, higher-tier cities are experiencing fervent bidding, while lower-tier cities have lagged behind, underscoring the market bidding mechanism’s role in fostering supply-demand equilibrium.</li><li>High-frequency data reveals that new home sales volume has dipped from June’s peak, yet the secondary market holds firm. Daily avg. transactions for new home sales in 30 major cities have seen a 21% decline, vs. an 11% increase for secondary sales in 17 cities. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Guangzhou's latest policy eases home purchasing restrictions for foreigners, aiming to invigorate the market.Post price cap removal, higher-tier cities are experiencing fervent bidding, while lower-tier cities have lagged behind, underscoring the market bidding mechanism’s role in fostering supply-demand equilibrium.High-frequency data reveals that new home sales volume has dipped from June’s peak, yet the secondary market holds firm. Daily avg. transactions for new home sales in 30 major cities have seen a 21% decline, vs. an 11% increase for secondary sales in 17 cities. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Weekly Highlight: Downside Pressure in Jul-Aug

<ul><li>Beijing further relaxed its property policy by cutting down payment ratio by 10- 15ppt and mortgage rate by 30-55 bps (Figure 9), aligning with that in SH and SZ.</li><li>This was well expected by market and our previous report. Based on our policy relaxation timetable, we think BJ, SZ and SH still have room to relax on purchase restrictions.</li><li>High-frequency data suggests a more pronounced recovery near the end of June, mainly driven by the combined effects of policy incentives, centralized online registration in mid-year and the low base. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Beijing further relaxed its property policy by cutting down payment ratio by 10- 15ppt and mortgage rate by 30-55 bps (Figure 9), aligning with that in SH and SZ.This was well expected by market and our previous report. Based on our policy relaxation timetable, we think BJ, SZ and SH still have room to relax on purchase restrictions.High-frequency data suggests a more pronounced recovery near the end of June, mainly driven by the combined effects of policy incentives, centralized online registration in mid-year and the low base. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Weekly Highlight: Beijing Further Relaxed, Policy Easing Bore Fruit in Shanghai

<ul><li>NBS data in 5M24 weakened as market expected.</li><li>The REI decline widened to -10.1% from -9.8% in 4M24 given stagnant land purchases and new starts.</li><li>The GFA completion decline narrowed on a low base but the scale was still the lowest since Jun-22 given less funding support for “home delivery”. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS data in 5M24 weakened as market expected.The REI decline widened to -10.1% from -9.8% in 4M24 given stagnant land purchases and new starts.The GFA completion decline narrowed on a low base but the scale was still the lowest since Jun-22 given less funding support for “home delivery”. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - NBS 5M24: REI continued weakening, sales structure remained skewed to higher-tier cities

China

KE Holdings Inc. operates as an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services. The Company offers existing and new home sales, home rentals, home renovation, real estate financial solutions, and other services. KE Holdings conducts businesses in China.

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KE Holdings (BEKE US)