Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Last Week in Event SPACE: Soho China, Toshiba, China Logistics, Invesco Office, Yantian's Backlog

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Last evening post market close, the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) announced the results of the semi-annual review of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> with the changes taking effect after the close of trading on 30 June.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irpc-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19051:1" rel="noopener">IRPC PCL (IRPC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kce-electronics-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1892:1" rel="noopener">KCE Electronics PCL (KCE TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sri-trang-agro-industry-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2759:1" rel="noopener">Sri Trang Agro Industry (STA TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sri-trang-gloves-thailand-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29141:1" rel="noopener">Sri Trang Gloves (Thailand) Public Company Limited (STGT TB)</a> have been added to the index, replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asset-world-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28136:1" rel="noopener">Asset World Corporation (AWC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-commercial-asset-management-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28442:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toa-paint-thailand-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24235:1" rel="noopener">TOA Paint (Thailand) (TOA TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vgi-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12409:1" rel="noopener">VGI PCL (VGI TB)</a>.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asset-world-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28136:1" rel="noopener">Asset World Corporation (AWC TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toa-paint-thailand-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24235:1" rel="noopener">TOA Paint (Thailand) (TOA TB)</a> are deletes on liquidity. We had <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asset-world-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28136:1" rel="noopener">Asset World Corporation (AWC TB)</a> just about passing the liquidity test, while the SET sees it as failing the test.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irpc-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19051:1" rel="noopener">IRPC PCL (IRPC TB)</a> was deleted from the index at the December 2020 rebalance and has gained 8.6% since then, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-commercial-asset-management-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28442:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB)</a> was included in the index at the same review and has lost 11.4% since then.One-way turnover for the rebalance is 2.86%. The impact of passive fund trading on the deletions is expected to be a lot higher than that on the inclusions.With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB)</a> shareholders meeting for their EGM on 25 June, the tender offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> should be approved. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banpu-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15363:1" rel="noopener">Banpu Public (BANPU TB)</a> is the frontrunner to join the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> once the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> tender offer is complete and the free float drops below 20%.

Last evening post market close, the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) announced the results of the semi-annual review of the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) with the changes taking effect after the close of trading on 30 June.IRPC PCL (IRPC TB), KCE Electronics PCL (KCE TB), Sri Trang Agro Industry (STA TB) and Sri Trang Gloves (Thailand) Public Company Limited (STGT TB) have been added to the index, replacing Asset World Corporation (AWC TB), Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB), TOA Paint (Thailand) (TOA TB) and VGI PCL (VGI TB).Asset World Corporation (AWC TB) and TOA Paint (Thailand) (TOA TB) are deletes on liquidity. We had Asset World Corporation (AWC TB) just about passing the liquidity test, while the SET sees it as failing the test.IRPC PCL (IRPC TB) was deleted from the index at the December 2020 rebalance and has gained 8.6% since then, while Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB) was included in the index at the same review and has lost 11.4% since then.One-way turnover for the rebalance is 2.86%. The impact of passive fund trading on the deletions is expected to be a lot higher than that on the inclusions.With Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB) shareholders meeting for their EGM on 25 June, the tender offer for Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) should be approved. Banpu Public (BANPU TB) is the frontrunner to join the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) once the Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) tender offer is complete and the free float drops below 20%.

SET50 June Index Rebalance: Four Changes Announced; One More Coming Up Soon

Sri Trang Gloves Thailand  / Event-Driven

Today is the last day of the review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a>. The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) should announce the list of changes in the next few weeks and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 30 June.With no changes made to the index methodology post the market consultation, we see three potential inclusions and exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a>.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sri-trang-gloves-thailand-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29141:1" rel="noopener">Sri Trang Gloves (Thailand) Public Company Limited (STGT TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irpc-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19051:1" rel="noopener">IRPC PCL (IRPC TB)</a> are high probability inclusions while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vgi-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12409:1" rel="noopener">VGI PCL (VGI TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-commercial-asset-management-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28442:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB)</a> are high probability deletions from the index.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sri-trang-agro-industry-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2759:1" rel="noopener">Sri Trang Agro Industry (STA TB)</a> is a lower probability inclusion and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toa-paint-thailand-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24235:1" rel="noopener">TOA Paint (Thailand) (TOA TB)</a> is the corresponding deletion.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kce-electronics-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1892:1" rel="noopener">KCE Electronics PCL (KCE TB)</a> at rank 51 will just miss out on index inclusion at the June review despite the surge in the stock price due to the averaging process.

Today is the last day of the review period for the June rebalance of the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX). The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) should announce the list of changes in the next few weeks and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 30 June.With no changes made to the index methodology post the market consultation, we see three potential inclusions and exclusions for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX).Sri Trang Gloves (Thailand) Public Company Limited (STGT TB) and IRPC PCL (IRPC TB) are high probability inclusions while VGI PCL (VGI TB) and Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB) are high probability deletions from the index.Sri Trang Agro Industry (STA TB) is a lower probability inclusion and TOA Paint (Thailand) (TOA TB) is the corresponding deletion.KCE Electronics PCL (KCE TB) at rank 51 will just miss out on index inclusion at the June review despite the surge in the stock price due to the averaging process.

SET50 June Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Ends Today

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the Thai market to try to find interesting ideas base upon Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or some combination thereof.

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the Thai market to try to find interesting ideas base upon Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or some combination thereof.

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 33

On 19 April, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB)</a> made a conditional voluntary tender offer for all shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> that it did not hold at THB 65/share.In the event that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB)</a>'s tender offer results in them holding over 50% of the voting rights in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a>, it also announced that it would make a downstream offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a> at THB 122.86/share, while requesting the SEC for a waiver of the obligation to make a tender offer for all shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thaicom-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18019:1" rel="noopener">Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB)</a>.The record date to attend the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB)</a> shareholder EGM is 14 May and the EGM will be held on 25 June.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-telecommunications" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20:1" rel="noopener">Singtel (ST SP)</a> is a large shareholder in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> and media reports indicate that they will not tender their shares. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-telecommunications" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20:1" rel="noopener">Singtel (ST SP)</a> said that they view their stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a> as strategic investments.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kce-electronics-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1892:1" rel="noopener">Kce Electronics Pub (KCE TB)</a> is the most likely replacement candidate for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a>.

On 19 April, Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB) made a conditional voluntary tender offer for all shares in Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) that it did not hold at THB 65/share.In the event that Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB)'s tender offer results in them holding over 50% of the voting rights in Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB), it also announced that it would make a downstream offer for Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) at THB 122.86/share, while requesting the SEC for a waiver of the obligation to make a tender offer for all shares of Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB).The record date to attend the Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB) shareholder EGM is 14 May and the EGM will be held on 25 June.Singtel (ST SP) is a large shareholder in Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) and media reports indicate that they will not tender their shares. Singtel (ST SP) said that they view their stakes in Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) and Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) as strategic investments.Kce Electronics Pub (KCE TB) is the most likely replacement candidate for Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) in the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX).

GULF Offer for INTUCH: Index Implications

Thailand

KCE Electronics Public Company Limited and its subsidiaries manufacture and export single-layered, multi-layered, and double-sided printed circuit boards (PCBs) under its KCE trademark.  Multi-layered PCBs are used mainly in high technology equipment and high precision instruments.  Double-sided PCBs are used largely in telecommunication and computing equipment.

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KCE Electronics PCL (KCE TB)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Soho China, Toshiba, China Logistics, Invesco Office, Yantian's Backlog

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

SET50 June Index Rebalance: Four Changes Announced; One More Coming Up Soon

There are 4 changes to the SET50 index with IRPC, KCE, STA & STGT replacing AWC, BAM, TOA & VGI. BANPU could be included in the next couple of...

Brian Freitas

SET50 June Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Ends Today

Today is the last day of the review period for the June rebal. We see STGT, IRPC and STA as adds and VGI, BAM and TOA as deletes. KCE could be...

Brian Freitas

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 33

Our Thai portfolio has gained 85% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 30%. Since the last rebalancing, it has had 10 major outperformers: RCL,...

A. Stotz Investment Research

GULF Offer for INTUCH: Index Implications

GULF has made a conditional voluntary tender offer for shares in INTUCH that it does not hold at THB 65/share. KCE could enter the SET50 index at...

Brian Freitas

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