Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX Flat as Chips stocks sell off on potential new China restrictions;  Fed Chair Powell keeps hawkish stance saying more hikes on the horizon; Micron calling bottom on Memory. </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.1% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.4; Japan FX Tsar concerned saying govt will  respond "appropriately" on excessive weakness; Final Fantasy 16 off to a solid start</li>
<li>NUGGET. Katitas - specialist in remodelling vacant homes. 40% YTD underpeformance vs TPX. Govt stepping up support of vacant home sector - supportive of Katitas's business.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX Flat as Chips stocks sell off on potential new China restrictions;  Fed Chair Powell keeps hawkish stance saying more hikes on the horizon; Micron calling bottom on Memory. 
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.1% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.4; Japan FX Tsar concerned saying govt will  respond "appropriately" on excessive weakness; Final Fantasy 16 off to a solid start
NUGGET. Katitas - specialist in remodelling vacant homes. 40% YTD underpeformance vs TPX. Govt stepping up support of vacant home sector - supportive of Katitas's business.


Ohayo Japan|Chips Sell Off; Micron Calls Memory Bottom; NUGGET: Katitas(8919)-Future Looks Bright

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>Last evening post market close, the results of the JPX Nikkei 400 review were announced. There are 41 inclusions and 40 deletions to bring the number of constituents back to 400 and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 30 August.</p><p>This is the list of inclusions and exclusions.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col>
<col>
<col>
<col>
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="2" style="text-align: center; width: 396.578px;"><h3>Inclusions</h3></td>
<td colspan="2" style="text-align: center; width: 349.422px;"><h3>Exclusions</h3></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">1417.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Mirait Holdings Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">1333.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Maruha Nichiro Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">1942.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Kandenko Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">2222.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Kotobuki Spirits Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">1973.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">NEC Networks &amp; System Integration Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">3086.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">J.Front Retailing Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">2281.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Prima Meat Packers Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">3197.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Skylark Holdings Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">3244.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Samty Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">4185.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">JSR Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">3254.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Pressance Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">4189.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">KH Neochem Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">3880.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Daio Paper Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">4324.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Dentsu Group Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">3923.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Rakus Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">4530.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">3941.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Rengo Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">4666.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Park24 Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4205.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Zeon Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">4755.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Rakuten Group Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4552.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">JCR Pharmaceuticals Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">5401.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Nippon Steel Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4553.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Towa Pharmaceutical Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">5411.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">JFE Holdings Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4587.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">PeptiDream Inc</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">5801.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Furukawa Electric Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4812.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Information Services International-Dentsu Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">6481.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">THK Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4848.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Fullcast Holdings Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">6588.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Toshiba Tec Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4901.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Fujifilm Holdings Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">6753.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Sharp Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">5706.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Mitsui Mining and Smelting Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">6770.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Alps Alpine Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">6055.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Japan Material Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">6877.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Obara Group Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">6183.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings Inc</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">7261.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Mazda Motor Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">6235.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Optorun Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">7458.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Daiichikosho Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">6361.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Ebara Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">7731.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Nikon Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">6544.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Japan Elevator Service Holdings Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">7751.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Canon Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">6727.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Wacom Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">8267.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Aeon Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">7177.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">GMO Financial Holdings Inc</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9001.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Tobu Railway Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">7516.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Kohnan Shoji Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9003.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Sotetsu Holdings Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">7947.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">FP Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9005.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Tokyu Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">8194.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Life Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9007.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Odakyu Electric Railway Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">8425.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Mizuho Leasing Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9008.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Keio Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">8595.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">JAFCO Group Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9009.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Keisei Electric Railway Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">8892.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Es-con Japan Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9020.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">East Japan Railway Co</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">8919.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Katitas Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9021.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">West Japan Railway Co</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9069.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Senko Group Holdings Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9024.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Seibu Holdings Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9090.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Maruwa Unyu Kikan Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9041.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Kintetsu Group Holdings Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9101.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Nippon Yusen KK</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9044.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Nankai Electric Railway Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9104.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9045.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Keihan Holdings Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9143.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">SG Holdings Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9048.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Nagoya Railroad Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9375.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Kintetsu World Express Inc</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9201.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Japan Airlines Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9418.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">USEN NEXT HOLDINGS Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9202.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">ANA Holdings Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9517.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">eREX Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9603.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">H.I.S. Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9519.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Renova Inc</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9706.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Japan Airport Terminal Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9787.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Aeon Delight Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;"></td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;"></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 8.16% and will result in a trade of JPY 468bn.</p><p>Among the inclusions, the largest impacts will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daio-paper-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3211:1" rel="noopener">Daio Paper Corp (3880 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mizuho-leasing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12780:1" rel="noopener">Mizuho Leasing Co (8425 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26070:1" rel="noopener">SG Holdings (9143 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/katitas-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26073:1" rel="noopener">Katitas Co Ltd (8919 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-delight-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16763:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Delight (9787 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-elevator-service-holdi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25910:1" rel="noopener">Japan Elevator Service Holdi (6544 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kandenko-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3726:1" rel="noopener">Kandenko Co Ltd (1942 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/senko-group-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5287:1" rel="noopener">SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (9069 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fp-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7703:1" rel="noopener">Fp Corp (7947 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prima-meat-packers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8035:1" rel="noopener">Prima Meat Packers (2281 JP)</a>.</p><p>Deletions with the largest impacts will be <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/odakyu-electric-railway-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5405:1" rel="noopener">Odakyu Electric Railway (9007 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nankai-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:633:1" rel="noopener">Nankai Electric Railway Co (9044 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keio-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1223:1" rel="noopener">Keio Corp (9008 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sotetsu-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20274:1" rel="noopener">Sotetsu Holdings (9003 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tobu-railway-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15463:1" rel="noopener">Tobu Railway (9001 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3357:1" rel="noopener">Tokyu Corp (9005 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-tec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17697:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Tec (6588 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hisamitsu-pharmaceutical-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17008:1" rel="noopener">Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP)</a>.</p><p>There are changes proposed to the index, mainly on selection criteria for stocks and on qualitative criteria including appointment of independent outside directors and of female corporate directors.</p>

Last evening post market close, the results of the JPX Nikkei 400 review were announced. There are 41 inclusions and 40 deletions to bring the number of constituents back to 400 and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 30 August.This is the list of inclusions and exclusions.








Inclusions
Exclusions


1417.T
Mirait Holdings Corp
1333.T
Maruha Nichiro Corp


1942.T
Kandenko Co Ltd
2222.T
Kotobuki Spirits Co Ltd


1973.T
NEC Networks &amp; System Integration Corp
3086.T
J.Front Retailing Co Ltd


2281.T
Prima Meat Packers Ltd
3197.T
Skylark Holdings Co Ltd


3244.T
Samty Co Ltd
4185.T
JSR Corp


3254.T
Pressance Corp
4189.T
KH Neochem Co Ltd


3880.T
Daio Paper Corp
4324.T
Dentsu Group Inc


3923.T
Rakus Co Ltd
4530.T
Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co Inc


3941.T
Rengo Co Ltd
4666.T
Park24 Co Ltd


4205.T
Zeon Corp
4755.T
Rakuten Group Inc


4552.T
JCR Pharmaceuticals Co Ltd
5401.T
Nippon Steel Corp


4553.T
Towa Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
5411.T
JFE Holdings Inc


4587.T
PeptiDream Inc
5801.T
Furukawa Electric Co Ltd


4812.T
Information Services International-Dentsu Ltd
6481.T
THK Co Ltd


4848.T
Fullcast Holdings Co Ltd
6588.T
Toshiba Tec Corp


4901.T
Fujifilm Holdings Corp
6753.T
Sharp Corp


5706.T
Mitsui Mining and Smelting Co Ltd
6770.T
Alps Alpine Co Ltd


6055.T
Japan Material Co Ltd
6877.T
Obara Group Inc


6183.T
BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings Inc
7261.T
Mazda Motor Corp


6235.T
Optorun Co Ltd
7458.T
Daiichikosho Co Ltd


6361.T
Ebara Corp
7731.T
Nikon Corp


6544.T
Japan Elevator Service Holdings Co Ltd
7751.T
Canon Inc


6727.T
Wacom Co Ltd
8267.T
Aeon Co Ltd


7177.T
GMO Financial Holdings Inc
9001.T
Tobu Railway Co Ltd


7516.T
Kohnan Shoji Co Ltd
9003.T
Sotetsu Holdings Inc


7947.T
FP Corp
9005.T
Tokyu Corp


8194.T
Life Corp
9007.T
Odakyu Electric Railway Co Ltd


8425.T
Mizuho Leasing Co Ltd
9008.T
Keio Corp


8595.T
JAFCO Group Co Ltd
9009.T
Keisei Electric Railway Co Ltd


8892.T
Es-con Japan Ltd
9020.T
East Japan Railway Co


8919.T
Katitas Co Ltd
9021.T
West Japan Railway Co


9069.T
Senko Group Holdings Co Ltd
9024.T
Seibu Holdings Inc


9090.T
Maruwa Unyu Kikan Co Ltd
9041.T
Kintetsu Group Holdings Co Ltd


9101.T
Nippon Yusen KK
9044.T
Nankai Electric Railway Co Ltd


9104.T
Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd
9045.T
Keihan Holdings Co Ltd


9143.T
SG Holdings Co Ltd
9048.T
Nagoya Railroad Co Ltd


9375.T
Kintetsu World Express Inc
9201.T
Japan Airlines Co Ltd


9418.T
USEN NEXT HOLDINGS Co Ltd
9202.T
ANA Holdings Inc


9517.T
eREX Co Ltd
9603.T
H.I.S. Co Ltd


9519.T
Renova Inc
9706.T
Japan Airport Terminal Co Ltd


9787.T
Aeon Delight Co Ltd




Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 8.16% and will result in a trade of JPY 468bn.Among the inclusions, the largest impacts will be on Daio Paper Corp (3880 JP), Mizuho Leasing Co (8425 JP), SG Holdings (9143 JP), Katitas Co Ltd (8919 JP), Aeon Delight (9787 JP), Japan Elevator Service Holdi (6544 JP), Kandenko Co Ltd (1942 JP), SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (9069 JP), Fp Corp (7947 JP) and Prima Meat Packers (2281 JP).Deletions with the largest impacts will be Odakyu Electric Railway (9007 JP), Nankai Electric Railway Co (9044 JP), Keio Corp (9008 JP), Sotetsu Holdings (9003 JP), Tobu Railway (9001 JP), Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP), Tokyu Corp (9005 JP), Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP), Toshiba Tec (6588 JP) and Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP).There are changes proposed to the index, mainly on selection criteria for stocks and on qualitative criteria including appointment of independent outside directors and of female corporate directors.

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: Big Turnover, Big Impact & A Market Consultation

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Although Japan is not out of the woods in terms of COVID-19 and the vaccine is not yet found, let alone distributed, investors have rushed to own <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tkp-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28305:1" rel="noopener"> TKP Corporation (3479 JP)</a> as it was seemingly cheap in terms of PBR. The reality was that COVID-19 economic impact caused a weak earning and a secondary offering that boosted the book value has made the company's PBR looks cheap. TKP is the only one with negative earnings compared to its peers, underlining the economic reality that the company is more exposed to.</p>
<p>TKP's share price has risen more than doubled to some of its peers amidst the tough business outlook. Its peers such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11321:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Inc (4321 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/katitas-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26073:1" rel="noopener">Katitas Co Ltd (8919 JP)</a> share price rose almost double but their business remains profitable during COVID-19 while TKP's earnings have turned negative. <strong>Turned Bearish on TKP on slow business condition improvement and the <em>meteoric</em> share price increase. </strong></p>

Although Japan is not out of the woods in terms of COVID-19 and the vaccine is not yet found, let alone distributed, investors have rushed to own  TKP Corporation (3479 JP) as it was seemingly cheap in terms of PBR. The reality was that COVID-19 economic impact caused a weak earning and a secondary offering that boosted the book value has made the company's PBR looks cheap. TKP is the only one with negative earnings compared to its peers, underlining the economic reality that the company is more exposed to.
TKP's share price has risen more than doubled to some of its peers amidst the tough business outlook. Its peers such as Kenedix Inc (4321 JP) and Katitas Co Ltd (8919 JP) share price rose almost double but their business remains profitable during COVID-19 while TKP's earnings have turned negative. Turned Bearish on TKP on slow business condition improvement and the meteoric share price increase. 

TKP (3479): Slow Recovery yet Share Price Has More than Doubled?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>We continue to be encouraged by market dynamics that are supportive of an ongoing equity bull market. Additionally, there continues to be an absence of breakdowns on the major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, &amp; EAFE). As a result, our outlook remains bullish.  In this report we show some love to various Sectors that have not been big attention-grabbers for us in recent months, but still have plenty of attractive stocks. The stocks highlighted hail from a variety of countries. Sectors covered include <strong>Services, Communications, Staples, Financials, and Utilities</strong>.</p>

We continue to be encouraged by market dynamics that are supportive of an ongoing equity bull market. Additionally, there continues to be an absence of breakdowns on the major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, &amp; EAFE). As a result, our outlook remains bullish.  In this report we show some love to various Sectors that have not been big attention-grabbers for us in recent months, but still have plenty of attractive stocks. The stocks highlighted hail from a variety of countries. Sectors covered include Services, Communications, Staples, Financials, and Utilities.

Global Equity Strategy: Market Dynamics Remain Positive, And So Are We

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<p>The Nikkei just released an <a href="https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXMZO65246280Q0A021C2MM8000/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> suggesting that home decoration and home accessory giant <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitori-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20386:1" rel="noopener">Nitori Holdings (9843 JP)</a> is considering making a rival bid for homecenter and furnishing retailer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimachu-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5235:1" rel="noopener">Shimachu Co Ltd (8184 JP)</a>, which is currently under offer from homecenter industry #2 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dcm-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13042:1" rel="noopener">Dcm Holdings (3050 JP)</a>.</p><p>This throws the cat in amongst the pigeons.  </p><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dcm-does-a-full-takeover-of-shimachu-looks-like-a-strong-price-look-again" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43806" rel="noopener">DCM Does a Full Takeover of Shimachu - Looks Like a Strong Price; Look Again</a> I argued the price offered by DCM was not as full as it could be. The attractive traits of Shimachu at the ¥4200 TOB Price included the fact that it is Tokyo-based, where average income, high population density, and the slowest demographic decay of any region make for a (relatively) attractive addressable market, and the fact that it has a relatively attractive Land/Property basket which could be sold and leased back. The TOB price was effectively the book value of that PP&amp;E basket, which meant a sale and leaseback would make the takeover "free."</p><p>That meant DCM's deal for Shimachu could be vulnerable. There aren't that many Tokyo-based distribution assets in the space, which is seen as both ripe for consolidation and as a strong beneficiary of the covid WFH "nesting" phenomenon in particular and an ongoing trend to greater refurb and leisure spending in the bigger picture.</p><p>I expect this pops on the open. It should stay popped. Watch for more detail from Nitori. And I expect DCM won't give up easily if Nitori comes in. </p><p>More details on where this could go below the fold. </p>

The Nikkei just released an article suggesting that home decoration and home accessory giant Nitori Holdings (9843 JP) is considering making a rival bid for homecenter and furnishing retailer Shimachu Co Ltd (8184 JP), which is currently under offer from homecenter industry #2 Dcm Holdings (3050 JP).This throws the cat in amongst the pigeons.  In DCM Does a Full Takeover of Shimachu - Looks Like a Strong Price; Look Again I argued the price offered by DCM was not as full as it could be. The attractive traits of Shimachu at the ¥4200 TOB Price included the fact that it is Tokyo-based, where average income, high population density, and the slowest demographic decay of any region make for a (relatively) attractive addressable market, and the fact that it has a relatively attractive Land/Property basket which could be sold and leased back. The TOB price was effectively the book value of that PP&amp;E basket, which meant a sale and leaseback would make the takeover "free."That meant DCM's deal for Shimachu could be vulnerable. There aren't that many Tokyo-based distribution assets in the space, which is seen as both ripe for consolidation and as a strong beneficiary of the covid WFH "nesting" phenomenon in particular and an ongoing trend to greater refurb and leisure spending in the bigger picture.I expect this pops on the open. It should stay popped. Watch for more detail from Nitori. And I expect DCM won't give up easily if Nitori comes in. More details on where this could go below the fold. 

Nitori To Make a Rival Bid for Shimachu? More Fun To Go

Japan

KATITAS Co., Ltd. provides real estate services. The Company mainly offers second-hand house management, marketing, brokerage, and other related services. KATITAS provides services throughout Japan.

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Katitas (8919 JP)

Ohayo Japan|Chips Sell Off; Micron Calls Memory Bottom; NUGGET: Katitas(8919)-Future Looks Bright

SPX Flat; Chip stocks sell off; NKY Futs +0.1% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.4; Japan FX Tsar concerned saying govt will respond "appropriately" on...

Mark Chadwick

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: Big Turnover, Big Impact & A Market Consultation

There are 41 adds and 40 deletes for the JPX NK 400 Index. One-way turnover is high at 8.16% and will result in a trade of JPY 468bn. There will be...

Brian Freitas

Global Equity Strategy: Market Dynamics Remain Positive, And So Are We

We show some love to various Sectors that have not been big attention-grabbers for us in recent months, including Services, Communications,...

Vermilion Research

Nitori To Make a Rival Bid for Shimachu? More Fun To Go

DCM's bid for Shimachu looked good. It wasn't that good. The capital structure and location base means that the company was easily worth 30% more,...

Travis Lundy

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Ohayo Japan|Chips Sell Off; Micron Calls Memory Bottom; NUGGET: Katitas(8919)-Future Looks Bright

SPX Flat; Chip stocks sell off; NKY Futs +0.1% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.4; Japan FX Tsar concerned saying govt will respond "appropriately" on...

Mark Chadwick

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: Big Turnover, Big Impact & A Market Consultation

There are 41 adds and 40 deletes for the JPX NK 400 Index. One-way turnover is high at 8.16% and will result in a trade of JPY 468bn. There will be...

Brian Freitas

TKP (3479): Slow Recovery yet Share Price Has More than Doubled?

TKP's share price has risen doubled compared to some of its peers amidst the tough business outlook. Turned Bearish on TKP on slow business...

Henry Soediarko

Global Equity Strategy: Market Dynamics Remain Positive, And So Are We

We show some love to various Sectors that have not been big attention-grabbers for us in recent months, including Services, Communications,...

Vermilion Research

Nitori To Make a Rival Bid for Shimachu? More Fun To Go

DCM's bid for Shimachu looked good. It wasn't that good. The capital structure and location base means that the company was easily worth 30% more,...

Travis Lundy