Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>IPO volumes remain subdued across the region, although a number of deals are said to be looking to launch soon.</li>
<li>Placements stole the limelight this week too with Kakao Pay's selldown by Ant and Joy Spreader's crash pulling the scales even on last week's better performing deals.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
IPO volumes remain subdued across the region, although a number of deals are said to be looking to launch soon.
Placements stole the limelight this week too with Kakao Pay's selldown by Ant and Joy Spreader's crash pulling the scales even on last week's better performing deals.


ECM Weekly (12th June 2022) - Alibaba, Kakao Pay, Thai Life, Tuhu, GoGoX, Net Protection, WM Motor

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>All of these additions experienced significant levels of short trading yesterday. In particular, those newly listed stocks saw harsher shorting attacks, similar to what we witnessed at the last rebalancing.</li>
<li>A certain level of short selling trend for newly listed stocks will likely work the same this time, and the applicable period is expected to be 3-4 trading days.</li>
<li>That is, we need to target the newly listed stocks again for this rebalancing: Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS), K Car (381970 KS), and SD Biosensor (137310 KS).</li>
</ul>


All of these additions experienced significant levels of short trading yesterday. In particular, those newly listed stocks saw harsher shorting attacks, similar to what we witnessed at the last rebalancing.
A certain level of short selling trend for newly listed stocks will likely work the same this time, and the applicable period is expected to be 3-4 trading days.
That is, we need to target the newly listed stocks again for this rebalancing: Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS), K Car (381970 KS), and SD Biosensor (137310 KS).


Shorting Trend Projections on KOSPI 200 Additions

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ant-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24240:1" rel="noopener">Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK)</a> is declaring a dividend at a time when regulators have forced the company to increase its capital base.</li>
<li>Moreover, Ant’s financial performance doesn’t support a dividend payment of RMB 11.8bn in the short term.</li>
<li>We think the sale of 5.0m <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay (377300 KS)</a> shares today was forced upon Ant through the lack of usual funding sources at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>’s disposal.</li>
</ul>



Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK) is declaring a dividend at a time when regulators have forced the company to increase its capital base.
Moreover, Ant’s financial performance doesn’t support a dividend payment of RMB 11.8bn in the short term.
We think the sale of 5.0m Kakao Pay (377300 KS) shares today was forced upon Ant through the lack of usual funding sources at Alibaba Group (9988 HK)’s disposal.


Kakao Pay Block Sale: It Seems Alibaba Is Liquidating Investments to Fund Loss Making Ventures

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>After the market close today, Kakao Pay (377300 KS) announced that there will be a block deal sale of the company's shares (5 million) by Alipay Singapore Holdings.</li>
<li>Alipay is the second largest shareholder of Kakao Pay with a 38.52% stake. After the block deal sale, there will be continued overhang on the remaining shares held by Alipay.</li>
<li>We continue to have a NEGATIVE view on Kakao Pay and we also have a negative view on this block deal sale as well. </li>
</ul>


After the market close today, Kakao Pay (377300 KS) announced that there will be a block deal sale of the company's shares (5 million) by Alipay Singapore Holdings.
Alipay is the second largest shareholder of Kakao Pay with a 38.52% stake. After the block deal sale, there will be continued overhang on the remaining shares held by Alipay.
We continue to have a NEGATIVE view on Kakao Pay and we also have a negative view on this block deal sale as well. 


Kakao Pay: Block Deal Sale by Alipay (Big Overhang on Future Sales)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 7 adds and 7 deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>There are also a bunch of stocks that will have changes applied to their free float. There were announced last week and are much less tracked.</li>
<li>The flows and impact on some of the float change names are significant and pre-positioning and passive flows could move the stocks over the next few days.</li>
</ul>


There are 7 adds and 7 deletes for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.
There are also a bunch of stocks that will have changes applied to their free float. There were announced last week and are much less tracked.
The flows and impact on some of the float change names are significant and pre-positioning and passive flows could move the stocks over the next few days.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

South Korea

Kakao Pay Corp. operates financial businesses. The Company provides online payment, currency encryption, and other services. Kakao Pay conducts businesses in South Korea.

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Kakaopay (377300 KS)

ECM Weekly (12th June 2022) - Alibaba, Kakao Pay, Thai Life, Tuhu, GoGoX, Net Protection, WM Motor

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Shorting Trend Projections on KOSPI 200 Additions

This post examines the shorting patterns for the KOSPI 200 additions at the last rebalancing and argues the same patterns will likely repeat for...

Sanghyun Park

Kakao Pay Block Sale: It Seems Alibaba Is Liquidating Investments to Fund Loss Making Ventures

Without sufficient underlying performance to fund a dividend of RMB 11.8bn, it is possible that Ant Group had to sell a part of Kakao Pay...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Kakao Pay: Block Deal Sale by Alipay (Big Overhang on Future Sales)

After the market close today, Kakao Pay (377300 KS) announced that there will be a block deal sale of the company's shares (5 million) by Alipay...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

There are significant flows and impact on some stocks that have float changes at the upcoming KOSPI2 rebalance. With over 5 days ADV to buy,...

Brian Freitas

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