Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

In today’s report we highlight the follow themes:<ul><li>As a whole, Europe continues to lag, but we like the price patterns—mostly multi-year bases. Recent weakness presents a buying opportunity, especially in leading countries, like Germany, and leading Sectors and Groups, such as software stocks. </li><li>Japan recently broke out above a key resistance level, making the current pullback all the more attractive. Add exposure.</li><li>EM remains unchallenged this year from a performance standpoint. While a pullback/pause wouldn’t surprise us, we expect EM to continue to lead, especially in light of the bottom pattern visible in the EM/ACWI ratio.</li><li>Today’s report includes actionable ideas across the developed and EM universe, and across multiple sectors.</li></ul>

In today’s report we highlight the follow themes:As a whole, Europe continues to lag, but we like the price patterns—mostly multi-year bases. Recent weakness presents a buying opportunity, especially in leading countries, like Germany, and leading Sectors and Groups, such as software stocks. Japan recently broke out above a key resistance level, making the current pullback all the more attractive. Add exposure.EM remains unchallenged this year from a performance standpoint. While a pullback/pause wouldn’t surprise us, we expect EM to continue to lead, especially in light of the bottom pattern visible in the EM/ACWI ratio.Today’s report includes actionable ideas across the developed and EM universe, and across multiple sectors.

Global Equity Pullback = Buying Opportunity

Differentiated global TMT & Internet Research

New Street Research Insights

New Street Research

Research is provided by our team of experienced analysts. Our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focused on fundamentals and valuation of telecoms and internet names globally. New Street is headquartered in London with offices in New York, Singapore and Australia. 

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
Global Emerging Market Telecoms
Japan Telecoms
Asian Internet
Pan European Healthcare
US Healthcare
Japanese Healthcare

We also provide debt research on:
Pan European Telecom Services and Cable

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

China’s online entertainment market continues to evolve. There is a greater focus on complex mobile game play whilst the introduction of innovative video formats (live broadcasting, short-form video) further drives  engagement and monetization. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/26" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1">Tencent (700 HK)</a> remains the unrivaled mobile traffic gateway in China with 48% of user time spent and five of the top ten mobile apps, underscoring our positive thesis on the company. WeChat monthly active users now over 900m! <figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/035/246/original/we%20chat%20monthly%20users.jpg?1507531949" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="35246"></figure>

China’s online entertainment market continues to evolve. There is a greater focus on complex mobile game play whilst the introduction of innovative video formats (live broadcasting, short-form video) further drives  engagement and monetization. Tencent (700 HK) remains the unrivaled mobile traffic gateway in China with 48% of user time spent and five of the top ten mobile apps, underscoring our positive thesis on the company. WeChat monthly active users now over 900m! 

China Internet: Strong Trends in Online Entertainment Show Tencent's Dominance.

Recently, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11369" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1">Alphabet (GOOG US)</a> reported that aggregate usage on YouTube had reached 1bn hours per day, a 10x increase from 2012. The company attributes that to AI-driven interest match but other growth drivers include the rise in smartphone usage and its vast content library. YouTube’s daily usage is 5x that of all the China online video platforms (OVP) combined but the factors that boosted YouTube globally are largely also in place in China. Daily usage: YouTube, NFLX, and China<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/022/426/original/OVP%20daily%20usage%20global%20v%20china.jpg?1489377873" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="22426"></figure>We see the…

Recently, Alphabet (GOOG US) reported that aggregate usage on YouTube had reached 1bn hours per day, a 10x increase from 2012. The company attributes that to AI-driven interest match but other growth drivers include the rise in smartphone usage and its vast content library. YouTube’s daily usage is 5x that of all the China online video platforms (OVP) combined but the factors that boosted YouTube globally are largely also in place in China. Daily usage: YouTube, NFLX, and ChinaWe see the…

China's Online Video Platforms Are Likely to Emulate YouTube's Growth.

In addition to headline numbers like the GDP growth target (+6.5%) and CPI forecasts (unchanged at 3%), there were several announcements related to Internet and Telecoms at the National People’s Congress. We think the read-across to Internet is positive as policy positions like rural eCommerce expansion and integration of online/ offline largely reflect industry action whilst less positive statements on counterfeit goods and real estate pricing stability have been discussed before. On the…

In addition to headline numbers like the GDP growth target (+6.5%) and CPI forecasts (unchanged at 3%), there were several announcements related to Internet and Telecoms at the National People’s Congress. We think the read-across to Internet is positive as policy positions like rural eCommerce expansion and integration of online/ offline largely reflect industry action whilst less positive statements on counterfeit goods and real estate pricing stability have been discussed before. On the…

China NPC17: Read Across to Telecoms and Internet

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions, Bixmoor

Bixmoor

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions

Bixmoor specialises in providing bespoke research to business, governments and the financial community on China and neighbouring regions. We seek to build long-term relationships with our clients, based on our expertise, our reliability and our determination to find the right solution.

This June China’s TaihuLight replaced its Tianhe-2 as the world’s fastest supercomputer. The new leader outperforms the latter “<a href="https://www.top500.org/news/china-tops-supercomputer-rankings-with-new-93-petaflop-machine/" target="_blank">by a factor of three</a>”. Specialist media say that the new machine "is <a href="http://www.theverge.com/2016/6/20/11975356/chinese-supercomputer-worlds-fastes-taihulight" target="_blank">capable of performing some 93 quadrillion calculations per second"</a> (otherwise known as petaflops), making it roughly five times more powerful than the speediest American system, which is now ranked third worldwide. that makes it about as powerful as two million laptop computers.Such is the power of the…

This June China’s TaihuLight replaced its Tianhe-2 as the world’s fastest supercomputer. The new leader outperforms the latter “by a factor of three”. Specialist media say that the new machine "is capable of performing some 93 quadrillion calculations per second" (otherwise known as petaflops), making it roughly five times more powerful than the speediest American system, which is now ranked third worldwide. that makes it about as powerful as two million laptop computers.Such is the power of the…

China

JOYY Inc. operates a global social media platform. The Company offers platform which enables users to interact with each other in real time through online live media by creating, sharing, and enjoying a vast range of entertainment content and activities. JOYY serves customers in China.

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JOYY (YY US)

Global Equity Pullback = Buying Opportunity

In today’s report we highlight the follow themes: As a whole, Europe continues to lag, but we like the price patterns—mostly multi-year bases....

Vermilion Research

China Internet: Strong Trends in Online Entertainment Show Tencent's Dominance.

China’s online entertainment market continues to evolve. There is a greater focus on complex mobile game play whilst the introduction of innovative...

New Street Research

China's Online Video Platforms Are Likely to Emulate YouTube's Growth.

Recently, Alphabet (GOOG US) reported that aggregate usage on YouTube had reached 1bn hours per day, a 10x increase from 2012. The company...

New Street Research

China NPC17: Read Across to Telecoms and Internet

In addition to headline numbers like the GDP growth target (+6.5%) and CPI forecasts (unchanged at 3%), there were several announcements related to...

New Street Research

China Keeps Its Lead in Supercomputing

This June China’s TaihuLight replaced its Tianhe-2 as the world’s fastest supercomputer. The new leader outperforms the latter “by a factor of...

Bixmoor

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