External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><ul><li>High volume growth on a low base YoY: We estimate that 15 companies under coverage would report ~7% QoQ aggregate seasonal sales volume decline.</li><li>Mixed realisation gains QoQ: While energy cost continues to rise QoQ, the industry could not fully pass on the inflation across all regions.</li><li>Cost inflation elevated: We estimate that overall fuel costs would soar 7/42% QoQ/YoY amid rising imported coal and pet coke prices.</li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li> </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p></div></div></div>

High volume growth on a low base YoY: We estimate that 15 companies under coverage would report ~7% QoQ aggregate seasonal sales volume decline.Mixed realisation gains QoQ: While energy cost continues to rise QoQ, the industry could not fully pass on the inflation across all regions.Cost inflation elevated: We estimate that overall fuel costs would soar 7/42% QoQ/YoY amid rising imported coal and pet coke prices. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement - Cost Inflation Continues, Margin Contracts

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

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<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Weak seasonal demand and decline in prices against the backdrop of high input costs would mean muted realizations</li><li>The trend in cement pricing has been discouraging so far.</li><li>The news regarding CCI’s investigation on cement companies might be a factor for subdued pricing.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Weak seasonal demand and decline in prices against the backdrop of high input costs would mean muted realizationsThe trend in cement pricing has been discouraging so far.The news regarding CCI’s investigation on cement companies might be a factor for subdued pricing.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement Sector - Elevated Energy Costs to Weigh on Margins

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Summary of change in recommendation of our coverage universe: We have cut targets prices for our covered companies by 10-30% on account of reduced earnings expectations as well as lower target multiples.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Near term earnings outlook weak and positive triggers missing: We expect earnings to remain weak for the cement sector for the next two quarters on account of elevated costs and weak realizations amid a seasonally weak demand period.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Reversal in coal and crude prices can offer some solace: We believe that high competitive intensity will subside once the inflationary pressures recede and hence reversal of higher coal and crude prices is important.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Summary of change in recommendation of our coverage universe: We have cut targets prices for our covered companies by 10-30% on account of reduced earnings expectations as well as lower target multiples.Near term earnings outlook weak and positive triggers missing: We expect earnings to remain weak for the cement sector for the next two quarters on account of elevated costs and weak realizations amid a seasonally weak demand period.Reversal in coal and crude prices can offer some solace: We believe that high competitive intensity will subside once the inflationary pressures recede and hence reversal of higher coal and crude prices is important.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement Sector - Headwinds Galore; Turning 'neutral' on the Sector

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>4QFY22 performance: JK Lakshmi reported exceptional numbers, with EBITDA coming in at Rs2.76bn, up 3% YoY and 73% ahead of our estimate.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Substantial control in costs: The company has been diligently working on optimizing its cost structure and believes that the same has started bearing fruits.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Capex plans: Udaipur Cement Work Ltd.’s (UCWL) expansion plan worth Rs16.5bn to add 2.5mn mt capacity in Rajasthan (Rs7bn in the first year and Rs9.5bn in the second year) is expected to be commissioned by FY24.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

4QFY22 performance: JK Lakshmi reported exceptional numbers, with EBITDA coming in at Rs2.76bn, up 3% YoY and 73% ahead of our estimate.Substantial control in costs: The company has been diligently working on optimizing its cost structure and believes that the same has started bearing fruits.Capex plans: Udaipur Cement Work Ltd.’s (UCWL) expansion plan worth Rs16.5bn to add 2.5mn mt capacity in Rajasthan (Rs7bn in the first year and Rs9.5bn in the second year) is expected to be commissioned by FY24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JK Lakshmi Cement Ltd.- Exceptional Results; Strong Rerating Candidate

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>JKLC reported strong Volume/Revenue/EBITDA/APAT growth of 8%/13%/3%/26% YoY and 28%/25%/89%/190% QoQ.</li><li>The encouraging growth on all fronts was on account of higher volume, superior realization, stringent cost management, and lower tax</li><li>We retain our BUY rating on the stock and roll over our estimate to FY24 and value the company at 7x of its FY24E EV/EBITDA to arrive at a target price of Rs 620/share, implying an upside of 48% from the CMP.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

JKLC reported strong Volume/Revenue/EBITDA/APAT growth of 8%/13%/3%/26% YoY and 28%/25%/89%/190% QoQ.The encouraging growth on all fronts was on account of higher volume, superior realization, stringent cost management, and lower taxWe retain our BUY rating on the stock and roll over our estimate to FY24 and value the company at 7x of its FY24E EV/EBITDA to arrive at a target price of Rs 620/share, implying an upside of 48% from the CMP.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JK Lakshmi Cement: Robust Performance in Challenging Time; Maintain Buy

India

India Cements Limited manufactures different varieties of cement and clinker. The Company also manufactures and exports textiles.

Birla Corporation Limited is a manufacturing company that produces and sells cement, automobile trim parts, jute goods, synthetic and cotton yarns, and PVC floor coverings and coated fabrics. The Group also manufactures calcium carbide, ferromanganese, silico manganese, oxygen and iron and steel castings.

Orient Cement Limited manufactures and distributes cement.

Prism Johnson Limited manufactures and sells building materials. The Company offers a wide range of products such as cement, ready-mixed concrete, tiles, bath products, aggregates, sand, sanitary ware, faucets, modular kitchens, marbles, and construction chemicals. Prism Johnson serves customers in India.

Orient Refractories Ltd. fabricates metal products.  The Company manufactures slide gate plates, nozzles and well blocks, tundish nozzles, bottom purging refractories and top purging lances, slag arresting darts, basic spray mass for tundish working lining, and castables.

Heidelbergcement India Ltd. manufactures portland slag cement and portland pozzolana cement.

Mangalam Cement Limited develops, manufactures and distributes portland cement and clinker.

KCP Limited is a diversified company with interests in heavy engineering, sugar, cement, hydel-power, information technology, and biotechnology.

Sagar Cements Ltd. produces and distributes portland cement.  The Company offers slag, super grade, and special sulphate resistance cements.

Sanghi Industries Ltd. manufactures cement.

Siam City Cement Public Company Limited produces and distributes cement under branded names with various type of cement for different applications.  The Company also also produces and distributes ready-mix concrete and aggregates under branded names, as well as branded wood-replacement products.

Henan Tongli Cement Co., Ltd. produces and sells cement.  The Company's products include ordinary Portland cement, Portland slag cement and other cement equipments.

Sichuan Shuangma Cement Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets cement and cement products.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also generates electric power and trades construction materials.

Shandong Jinjing Science & Technology Stock Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets float glass, coated glass, and ultra-white glass.  The Company's products are used in glass processing and construction industries.

Anhui Fangxing Science & Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets float glass, coated glass, ITO conductive coated glass, glass deeply-processed products, and other advanced materials.

Guangdong Tapai Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets cements.

STO SE & Co. KGaA manufactures and sells building materials and products for the commercial and residential construction industry in Europe.  The Company offers a variety of climate and acoustic insulating modular facade and interior wall systems in plaster materials.  Sto also offers painting and recycled glass products for construction and provides consulting services.

Marshalls plc is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Group manufactures and sells a variety of building materials for the construction, home improvement and garden landscaping sectors.  Their merchandise includes concrete, stone and clay, patio and driveway products, drainage systems, and DIY items.

Nuh Cimento Sanayi AS manufactures and sells cement, clinker, and autoclaved aerated concrete.

Cimentas Izmir Cimento Fabrikalari Turk AS produces cement, cement-related building materials and construction products.  The Company supplies cement domestically and exports to Russia, the Middle East, and Africa.

J.K. Lakshmi Cement Ltd. manufactures cement, which it sells under the brand name JK Lakshmi.

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JK Lakshmi Cement (JKLC IN)

Cement - Cost Inflation Continues, Margin Contracts

High volume growth on a low base YoY: We estimate that 15 companies under coverage would report ~7% QoQ aggregate seasonal sales volume decline.

HDFC Securities

Cement Sector - Elevated Energy Costs to Weigh on Margins

1QFY23 earnings for the cement sector will be muted as we expect margin pressure to continue in the near term due to higher operating costs,...

Nirmal Bang

Cement Sector - Headwinds Galore; Turning 'neutral' on the Sector

We are turning ‘neutral’ on the cement sector as we believe that there are multiple headwinds, which will inhibit earnings growth and in turn lead...

Nirmal Bang

JK Lakshmi Cement Ltd.- Exceptional Results; Strong Rerating Candidate

JK Lakshmi Cement (JKLC) is one of the strong re-rating candidate in the midcap cement space as we believe that its profitability is likely to improve

Nirmal Bang

JK Lakshmi Cement: Robust Performance in Challenging Time; Maintain Buy

We retain our BUY rating on the stock and roll over our estimate to FY24 and value the company at 7x of its FY24E EV/EBITDA to arrive at a target...

Axis Direct

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