Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe revenue will grow by 6% YoY in 4Q24, but by 11% for FY2026 (roughly 2025 calendar year).</li>
<li>We believe Alibaba has been actively raising its revenue growth, but this the effect cannot be seen in the short run.</li>
<li>We conclude the stock has an upside of 46% and a price target of US$120.</li>
</ul>


We believe revenue will grow by 6% YoY in 4Q24, but by 11% for FY2026 (roughly 2025 calendar year).
We believe Alibaba has been actively raising its revenue growth, but this the effect cannot be seen in the short run.
We conclude the stock has an upside of 46% and a price target of US$120.


Alibaba (BABA US) 4Q24 Preview: Many Moves Under One-Digit Growth, 46% Upside

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, a number of deals were launched in India, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> will list in the coming week.</li>
<li>On the placement front, the two deals in Australia, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/worleyparsons-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:178:1" rel="noopener">WorleyParsons Ltd (WOR AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/endeavour-group-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33512:1" rel="noopener">Endeavour Group /Australia (EDV AU)</a> delivered opposing results.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, a number of deals were launched in India, while HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) will list in the coming week.
On the placement front, the two deals in Australia, WorleyParsons Ltd (WOR AU) and Endeavour Group /Australia (EDV AU) delivered opposing results.


ECM Weekly (6th May 2024) - Aadhar, Indegene, TBO Tek, Super Hi, China Resources Bev, Honasa, Worley

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> are massive laggards YTD.</li>
<li>As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. </li>
</ul>


Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.

Li Auto (2015 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) are massive laggards YTD.
As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. 


HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Analyst

Steve

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> announced this week that it has repurchased 2.8% of the outstanding shares of the company in the first quarter of 2024. </li>
<li>Improved shareholder returns is a key thesis for the stock, given that there is little market expectation on such given limited track record.</li>
<li>A positive catalyst on full year performance could be the government's announced stimulus policy for home appliance in April this year (trading old for new).</li>
</ul>



JD.com (9618 HK) announced this week that it has repurchased 2.8% of the outstanding shares of the company in the first quarter of 2024. 
Improved shareholder returns is a key thesis for the stock, given that there is little market expectation on such given limited track record.
A positive catalyst on full year performance could be the government's announced stimulus policy for home appliance in April this year (trading old for new).


JD.com (JD US / 9618 HK):  Announced 2.8% Share Buyback In 1Q24 + My 1Q24 Preview

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honasa-consumer-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36117:1" rel="noopener">Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN)</a> raised about US$200m in its India IPO. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.</li>
<li>HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN) raised about US$200m in its India IPO. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.
HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


Honasa Consumer IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$500m+ Lockup Expiry with Everyone Well in the Money

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

Price Gauge
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JD.com (9618 HK)

Alibaba (BABA US) 4Q24 Preview: Many Moves Under One-Digit Growth, 46% Upside

We believe Alibaba has been actively raising its revenue growth, but this the effect cannot be seen in the short run. We conclude the stock has an...

Ming Lu

ECM Weekly (6th May 2024) - Aadhar, Indegene, TBO Tek, Super Hi, China Resources Bev, Honasa, Worley

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Honasa Consumer IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$500m+ Lockup Expiry with Everyone Well in the Money

Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN) raised about US$200m in its India IPO. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alibaba (BABA US) 4Q24 Preview: Many Moves Under One-Digit Growth, 46% Upside

We believe Alibaba has been actively raising its revenue growth, but this the effect cannot be seen in the short run. We conclude the stock has an...

Ming Lu

ECM Weekly (6th May 2024) - Aadhar, Indegene, TBO Tek, Super Hi, China Resources Bev, Honasa, Worley

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

JD.com (JD US / 9618 HK): Announced 2.8% Share Buyback In 1Q24 + My 1Q24 Preview

JD.com will report 1Q24 results on May 16. Take advantage of the improving Hong Kong stock market sentiment, which should most immediately benefit...

Steve

Honasa Consumer IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$500m+ Lockup Expiry with Everyone Well in the Money

Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN) raised about US$200m in its India IPO. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.

Sumeet Singh