Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<p>Announcements keep on coming from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-exchange-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1047:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Exchange (SGX SP)</a> and its SGX FIRST sustainable investing platform. Weeks after launching Climate Impact X – SGX's carbon exchange joint venture with DBS, Standard Chartered, and Temasek – the exchange announced (on 14 June) the launch of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sgx-nikkei-esg-reit-index-futures" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33480:1" rel="noopener">SGX Nikkei ESG-REIT Index Futures (JRTA INDEX)</a> contract.</p><p>For SGX, the launch further solidifies its position as Asia's leading financial exchange for all things sustainable investing and finance (and of course, REITs). For investors, the ESG-REIT Index futures contract expands the menu of products for REIT-related ESG investing. That is far more significant than it sounds; Real Estate is a sleeping ESG giant of sorts, and investment products are lacking.</p><p>Therein lies the second of two goals for this Insight. The first is, rather obviously, to delve into the SGX Nikkei ESG-REIT product – the underlying index and futures contract. The second is to take it as an opportunity to broach an important, but often underrated, topic – the relationships between ESG and the Real Estate sector, including REITs. Much of it positive, or at least potentially so.</p><p>Think about it. One billion buildings in the world already, and expected to double by 2060.</p>

Announcements keep on coming from Singapore Exchange (SGX SP) and its SGX FIRST sustainable investing platform. Weeks after launching Climate Impact X – SGX's carbon exchange joint venture with DBS, Standard Chartered, and Temasek – the exchange announced (on 14 June) the launch of the SGX Nikkei ESG-REIT Index Futures (JRTA INDEX) contract.For SGX, the launch further solidifies its position as Asia's leading financial exchange for all things sustainable investing and finance (and of course, REITs). For investors, the ESG-REIT Index futures contract expands the menu of products for REIT-related ESG investing. That is far more significant than it sounds; Real Estate is a sleeping ESG giant of sorts, and investment products are lacking.Therein lies the second of two goals for this Insight. The first is, rather obviously, to delve into the SGX Nikkei ESG-REIT product – the underlying index and futures contract. The second is to take it as an opportunity to broach an important, but often underrated, topic – the relationships between ESG and the Real Estate sector, including REITs. Much of it positive, or at least potentially so.Think about it. One billion buildings in the world already, and expected to double by 2060.

SGX Nikkei ESG-REIT Index Futures Launch Is an Ideal Backdrop for an Important Topic: ESG and REITs

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>The weight of the evidence continues to support our mixed, but overall constructive outlook. Below we outline the basis for our outlook, and we also highlight opportunities within Real Estate and Health Care.</p>

The weight of the evidence continues to support our mixed, but overall constructive outlook. Below we outline the basis for our outlook, and we also highlight opportunities within Real Estate and Health Care.

Global Equity Strategy: Opportunities In Real Estate and Health Care

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<p>In 2020, we have so far witnessed 15 follow-on JREIT offerings cumulatively raising JPY463bn (~US$4.5bn). This has been something of a weak year, understandable because of the covid-19 crisis which hit equity market and JREIT prices in March, and keeping them soft for months afterwards.</p>
<p>Historically, January and February are the busiest months, for a variety of reasons.</p>
<p>From 2015-2020, on average, there have been ~7 offerings from the top 40 JREITs announced within the first two months of the calendar year accounting for roughly a third of the total number of offerings in each year during that period. </p>
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Source: Quiddity, Capital IQ (Data)</div>
In this insight, we take a look at the prospective candidates who are most likely to launch follow-on equity offerings near-term, and we look at the performance characteristics of J-REIT follow-on offerings and the likelihood of profit from participating in the event.</section>

In 2020, we have so far witnessed 15 follow-on JREIT offerings cumulatively raising JPY463bn (~US$4.5bn). This has been something of a weak year, understandable because of the covid-19 crisis which hit equity market and JREIT prices in March, and keeping them soft for months afterwards.
Historically, January and February are the busiest months, for a variety of reasons.
From 2015-2020, on average, there have been ~7 offerings from the top 40 JREITs announced within the first two months of the calendar year accounting for roughly a third of the total number of offerings in each year during that period. 









Source: Quiddity, Capital IQ (Data)
In this insight, we take a look at the prospective candidates who are most likely to launch follow-on equity offerings near-term, and we look at the performance characteristics of J-REIT follow-on offerings and the likelihood of profit from participating in the event.

J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Japan Hotel Reit Investment / Technical Analysis

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-hotel-reit-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:144:1" rel="noopener">Japan Hotel Reit Investment (8985 JP)</a> made a key low in March with noted accumulation volume continues its ascent toward 57k resistance. Trendline support stands out as the primary risk pivot where a break would induce a correction to get involved.</p><p>Trendline support stands out as the key chart focal point to maintain the current upward drive which will become extended on a minor new high. The macro trend remains bullish to buy weakness.</p><p>Buy volume in March/April is constructive as is the improving volume trend on the rise which concurs with a bull cycle.</p><p>We outline a tactical top zone near 55k (aligns with an overbought Nikkei posture near 23k) and pullback to briefly breach trendline support to fresh buy levels over the summer to offer a good risk to reward add or entry point for a drive to the 65k bull projection looking forward.</p>

Japan Hotel Reit Investment (8985 JP) made a key low in March with noted accumulation volume continues its ascent toward 57k resistance. Trendline support stands out as the primary risk pivot where a break would induce a correction to get involved.Trendline support stands out as the key chart focal point to maintain the current upward drive which will become extended on a minor new high. The macro trend remains bullish to buy weakness.Buy volume in March/April is constructive as is the improving volume trend on the rise which concurs with a bull cycle.We outline a tactical top zone near 55k (aligns with an overbought Nikkei posture near 23k) and pullback to briefly breach trendline support to fresh buy levels over the summer to offer a good risk to reward add or entry point for a drive to the 65k bull projection looking forward.

Japan Hotel REIT Stall Barrier and Pullback Buy Targets

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

ja research

ja research is an independent research platform focused exclusively on Japanese equities. Leveraging data and graphic analysis provided by Japan Analytics, we provide insights on small and medium-sized companies that have been ignored by the sell-side as well as challenging conventional wisdom on larger companies. We also offer analyst and corporate access, the latter with translation if required. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/123/994/original/2020-03-21_07-26-58.png?1584743238" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="123994"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source • Japan Analytics</div><p><strong>TAKE PROFITS</strong> - Japanese equities, as measured by the TOPIX Index, rose by 1.7% over the last week in Yen terms and fell by only 0.86% in US dollars, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-acwi-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24402:1" rel="noopener">ACWI (ACWI US)</a> fell by 13.6%. The 1% gain on Thursday was aided by the Bank of Japan US$1.8 billion purchase of ETFs which represented 4.3% of the value traded in TOPIX and is 80% of the average monthly total of such purchases over the last nine years. We expect the central bank to be in the market again at a similar level of commitment on Monday. We would use such generosity to now reduce exposure to Japan.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In the<strong> DETAIL</strong> section below, we cover the outlook for a more prolonged Covid-19 bear market in Japan and suggest levels at which the market might offer some absolute value, hopefully within the next eighteen months.</p></div><blockquote><p><strong>If there is no market economy, then the stock market is in a sense largely irrelevant at this time, although we would not close it either since it does give people something to do that does generate some information and some amount of GDP and income - Andrew Hunt</strong></p></blockquote>

Source • Japan AnalyticsTAKE PROFITS - Japanese equities, as measured by the TOPIX Index, rose by 1.7% over the last week in Yen terms and fell by only 0.86% in US dollars, while ACWI (ACWI US) fell by 13.6%. The 1% gain on Thursday was aided by the Bank of Japan US$1.8 billion purchase of ETFs which represented 4.3% of the value traded in TOPIX and is 80% of the average monthly total of such purchases over the last nine years. We expect the central bank to be in the market again at a similar level of commitment on Monday. We would use such generosity to now reduce exposure to Japan.In the DETAIL section below, we cover the outlook for a more prolonged Covid-19 bear market in Japan and suggest levels at which the market might offer some absolute value, hopefully within the next eighteen months.If there is no market economy, then the stock market is in a sense largely irrelevant at this time, although we would not close it either since it does give people something to do that does generate some information and some amount of GDP and income - Andrew Hunt

🇯🇵 JAPAN MARKET UPDATE • Hit the BoJ Bid and Wait for the Absolute Value Opportunity

Japan

United Urban Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company directly invests in real estate properties such as shopping centers, offices, hotels, and residential buildings.

ORIX JREIT Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which invests in securitized real estate products.  The Company directly invests in real estate properties such as offices, rental housings, and hotels.

Invincible Investment Corp is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which  invests in securitized real estate products. TGR Investment invests in income  producing residential and office buildings.

Sekisui House Reit, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which mainly invests in real estate and securitized real estate products. Properties are mainly Business office buildings and are located in Tokyo, Osaka and Nagoya area. Sekisui House Reit, Inc. also invests in commercial properties in foreign countries.

Advance Residence Investment is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which invests in securitized real estate products. The Company is established through the merger of Advance Residence Investment and Nippon Residential Investment Corporation.

Japan Prime Realty Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which mainly invests in office buildings and commercial-use facilities nationwide.

Industrial & Infrastructure Fund Investment Corporation is a a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company invests in real estate properties such as facilities for industry and infrastructure institution.

Industrial & Infrastructure Fund Investment (3249 JP)

Industrial & Infrastructure Fund Investment

Nippon Accommodations Fund Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT), which invests in income producing properties.  The Company invests in residential buildings.

Activia Properties, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (J-REIT). The company mainly invests in commercial and office buildings in the Tokyo metropolitan area.

AEON REIT Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which invests in securitized real estate products. The REIT mainly invests in suburban shopping centers.

Keppel DC REIT is Asia's first pure-play data centre REIT listed on the Singapore Exchange. Keppel DC REIT's investment strategy is to principally invest, directly or indirectly, in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate assets which are used primarily for data centre purposes, as well as real estate related assets.

Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust is a commercial real estate investment trust. The Trust invests in income-producing real estate that is primarily used for retail and/or office purposes.

Keppel REIT operates as a commercial real estate investment trust. The Trust owns and invests in a portfolio of income-producing office buildings and related real estate assets. Keppel REIT offers its services in Asia and Australia.

Frasers Centrepoint Trust is a retail real estate investment trust focused on growing unitholder value through asset management, financial management and strategic investments.  The trust invests in retail properties in Singapore and overseas.

Medical Properties Trust Inc. is a self-advised real estate investment trust formed to acquire and develop net-leased healthcare facilities. These facilities include inpatient rehabilitation hospitals, long-term acute care hospitals, regional acute care hospitals, ambulatory surgery centers, and other single-discipline healthcare facilities such as heart hospitals.

The Geo Group Inc. operates private correctional facilities located mostly in the United States, but also in Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and South Africa.  The Company offers educational programs, vocational training, and rehabilitation therapy services.

KLCC Property Holdings Bhd comprises of units in a Real Estate Investment Trust (KLCC REIT) stapled together with the ordinary shares of KLCC Property Holdings Berhad. The Stapled Security, through the subsidiaries of KLCC Property Holdings Berhad, is engaged in providing facility management services and car parking management services.

Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. is a hospitality and lodging real estate investment trust that owns primarily upper scale and upscale hotels in the United States. The Company's hotels are operated under various branded names.

Highwoods Properties, Inc., with its operating partnership and subsidiaries, develops, manages, leases and acquires suburban office and industrial properties. Highwoods has expanded into markets throughout the southeastern and midwestern United States.

Urban Edge Properties is a real estate investment trust. The Company acquires, develops, owns and operates strip shopping centers and malls located in high barrier-to-entry markets. The Company operates within the United States.

Japan Hotel REIT Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust(REIT) which invests in securitized real estate products. The Company mainly invests in real estate properties used in hotels.

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Japan Hotel Reit Investment (8985 JP)

SGX Nikkei ESG-REIT Index Futures Launch Is an Ideal Backdrop for an Important Topic: ESG and REITs

Singapore Exchange just launched the SGX Nikkei ESG-REIT Index futures contract. A multi-win for SGX, but it also serves as a reminder of how...

Kyle Rudden

Global Equity Strategy: Opportunities In Real Estate and Health Care

The weight of the evidence continues to support our mixed, but overall constructive outlook. We outline the basis for our outlook and also...

Vermilion Research

J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021

JREIT Follow-On Offerings - A Primer: January and February are the busiest times of the year for a variety of reasons and there are multiple...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Japan Hotel REIT Stall Barrier and Pullback Buy Targets

Japan Hotel Reit Investment (8985 JP) made a key low in March with noted accumulation volume continues its ascent toward 57k resistance. Trendline...

Thomas Schroeder

🇯🇵 JAPAN MARKET UPDATE • Hit the BoJ Bid and Wait for the Absolute Value Opportunity

TAKE PROFITS - Japanese equities, as measured by the TOPIX Index, rose by 1.7% over the last week in Yen terms and fell by only 0.86% in US...

Campbell Gunn

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