IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/conexio-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19064:1" rel="noopener">Conexio Corp (9422 JP)</a> has recommended <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nojima-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9655:1" rel="noopener">Nojima Corp (7419 JP)</a>’s tender offer of JPY1,911 per share, an 59.1% premium to the undisturbed price (22 December).</li>
<li>The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the offer has been set to meet the 66.67% ownership ratio.</li>
<li>The tender offer was set in motion due to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a>’s desire to exit. Itochu tendering its 60.34% stake and an attractive offer, suggests a done deal. </li>
</ul>



Conexio Corp (9422 JP) has recommended Nojima Corp (7419 JP)’s tender offer of JPY1,911 per share, an 59.1% premium to the undisturbed price (22 December).
The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the offer has been set to meet the 66.67% ownership ratio.
The tender offer was set in motion due to Itochu Corp (8001 JP)’s desire to exit. Itochu tendering its 60.34% stake and an attractive offer, suggests a done deal. 


Conexio Corporation (9422 JP) JPY1,911 Tender Offer from Nojima

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nojima-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9655:1" rel="noopener">Nojima Corp (7419 JP)</a> is buying out <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/conexio-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19064:1" rel="noopener">Conexio Corp (9422 JP)</a> majority owner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a> along with minorities. At a 59% premium, it looks good. </li>
<li>However, in terms of normalised EV/EBITDA or EV/FCF multiple, this is not expensive. </li>
<li>And while the major seller/target and friendlies are oh so close, the register is more interesting than the yuho top 10 shareholder list suggests. </li>
</ul>



Nojima Corp (7419 JP) is buying out Conexio Corp (9422 JP) majority owner Itochu Corp (8001 JP) along with minorities. At a 59% premium, it looks good. 
However, in terms of normalised EV/EBITDA or EV/FCF multiple, this is not expensive. 
And while the major seller/target and friendlies are oh so close, the register is more interesting than the yuho top 10 shareholder list suggests. 


Nojima (7419) Launches Buyout of Conexio (9422)

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a> has restarted accumulating <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-oil-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4035:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Oil Holdings (2607 JP)</a> shares, with an acquisition of 3.5m shares during the last-quarter to take its ownership percentage in Fuji-Oil to 44%.</li>
<li>With both earnings and valuations at a cyclical bottom, Itochu could be encouraged to accumulate more Fuji Oil shares in the short term, resulting in Fuji Oil outperforming its peers.</li>
<li>We think even a takeover offer could be possible while the share price is hovering near the cyclical bottom.</li>
</ul>



Itochu Corp (8001 JP) has restarted accumulating Fuji Oil Holdings (2607 JP) shares, with an acquisition of 3.5m shares during the last-quarter to take its ownership percentage in Fuji-Oil to 44%.
With both earnings and valuations at a cyclical bottom, Itochu could be encouraged to accumulate more Fuji Oil shares in the short term, resulting in Fuji Oil outperforming its peers.
We think even a takeover offer could be possible while the share price is hovering near the cyclical bottom.


Itochu Keeps Buying Fuji Oil, Takeover Offer Could Be Possible With Shares Near The Cyclical Bottom

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This insight will discuss the impact of Buffett's investment in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) on Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) and SK Hynix (000660 KS).</li>
<li>We believe that Buffett's sizeable investment in TSMC is likely to have a positive impact on Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.</li>
<li>This would be similar to how Buffett's investment in the Japanese trading companies which has had a positive impact on the major Korean trading companies. </li>
</ul>


This insight will discuss the impact of Buffett's investment in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) on Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) and SK Hynix (000660 KS).
We believe that Buffett's sizeable investment in TSMC is likely to have a positive impact on Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.
This would be similar to how Buffett's investment in the Japanese trading companies which has had a positive impact on the major Korean trading companies. 


Buffett's Investment in TSMC - Impact on Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20799:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui &amp; Co Ltd (8031 JP)</a> on 1 November reported its results for H1 2022. H1 Revenue +37.1%yoy, OP+27.2%yoy, NP+33.2%yoy to ¥539bn. Full-year NP forecast +22.5% to ¥980bn.</li>
<li>Mitsui raised its dividend forecast (previously scheduled to rise from ¥105/share to ¥120/share) to ¥130/share and announced a ¥140bn buyback, adding to the ¥100bn announced in May completed in September.</li>
<li>The first ¥58.6bn was done in a ToSTNeT-3 buyback. Now there is another ¥79.4bn to go. There's also a fair bit of index selling the next 6mos.</li>
</ul>



Mitsui &amp; Co Ltd (8031 JP) on 1 November reported its results for H1 2022. H1 Revenue +37.1%yoy, OP+27.2%yoy, NP+33.2%yoy to ¥539bn. Full-year NP forecast +22.5% to ¥980bn.
Mitsui raised its dividend forecast (previously scheduled to rise from ¥105/share to ¥120/share) to ¥130/share and announced a ¥140bn buyback, adding to the ¥100bn announced in May completed in September.
The first ¥58.6bn was done in a ToSTNeT-3 buyback. Now there is another ¥79.4bn to go. There's also a fair bit of index selling the next 6mos.


Mitsui & Co (8031) Buyback - Big Profit, Big Div, Big Buyback, Some Index Selling

Japan

ITOCHU Corporation is a general trading firm handling textiles, wood, machinery, metals, food, chemicals, construction materials, commodities, and energy related products such as oil and gas. The Company operates around the world. Itochu diversifies by operating in satellite communication and data communication businesses.

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Itochu Corp (8001 JP)

Conexio Corporation (9422 JP) JPY1,911 Tender Offer from Nojima

The tender offer was set in motion due to Itochu’s desire to exit. Itochu tendering its 60.34% stake and an attractive offer, suggests a done deal.

Arun George

Nojima (7419) Launches Buyout of Conexio (9422)

Cheap company Nojima is buying cheap company Conexio, cheaply. Itochu is selling it. It looks like a done deal but there is an outlying chance the...

Travis Lundy

Itochu Keeps Buying Fuji Oil, Takeover Offer Could Be Possible With Shares Near The Cyclical Bottom

It looks like Itochu has restarted accumulating Fuji Oil shares yet again with an acquisition of an additional 3.5m shares during the last quarter...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Buffett's Investment in TSMC - Impact on Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix

This insight will discuss the impact of Buffett's investment in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) on Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) and...

Douglas Kim

Mitsui & Co (8031) Buyback - Big Profit, Big Div, Big Buyback, Some Index Selling

Mitsui Corp last week announced strong results and upward guidance, especially in energy. Consensus says Mar-23 is the cycle peak. Higher div,...

Travis Lundy

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