Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ATH for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a>,  Going ahead, we expect the momentum in the market to continue. </li>
<li>Healthcare and Information Technology remain interesting pockets to watch when it comes to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-india-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:282:1" rel="noopener">iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA US)</a>. </li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-unilever-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13828:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a>.  </li>
</ul>


ATH for the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX),  Going ahead, we expect the momentum in the market to continue. 
Healthcare and Information Technology remain interesting pockets to watch when it comes to iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA US). 
Other names discussed include Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN), Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN), Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) and Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN).  


[Week 3] Namaste India 🙏 | Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) | Exports Could Improve Further

<ul>
<li>Life is good for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> at 20K. Strong domestic sentiment is likely to continue. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/one-97-communications-limited-paytm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26149:1" rel="noopener">Paytm (PAYTM IN)</a> posted strong operating metrics for August, but this will be the second last update as the company moves to quarterly disclosures for reasons not completely justified. </li>
<li>Other Ideas discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poonawalla-fincorp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3449:1" rel="noopener">Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWAL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dabur-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:242:1" rel="noopener">Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN)</a> and Landmark Cars along with upcoming IPOs. </li>
</ul>


Life is good for the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) at 20K. Strong domestic sentiment is likely to continue. 

Paytm (PAYTM IN) posted strong operating metrics for August, but this will be the second last update as the company moves to quarterly disclosures for reasons not completely justified. 
Other Ideas discussed include Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWAL IN) , Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN) and Landmark Cars along with upcoming IPOs. 


[Week 2] Namaste India 🙏 | Paytm (PAYTM IN) | Withdrawing Disclosures

Head of Research, Steno Research

Emil Moller

Head of Research

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

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<div>
<div>
<ul>
<li>Emerging market central banks demonstrated their foresight in 2021, acting ahead of the curve.</li>
<li>However, there is a looming concern that the resurgence in energy prices might pose a challenge for them, much like it did in 2022.</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div></div>
<ul>
<li>In our analysis last week, we delved into the situation in Turkey and arrived at the following conclusion: The capable technocratic approach is more likely to succeed than the resurgence of economic populism.</li>
</ul>





Emerging market central banks demonstrated their foresight in 2021, acting ahead of the curve.
However, there is a looming concern that the resurgence in energy prices might pose a challenge for them, much like it did in 2022.






In our analysis last week, we delved into the situation in Turkey and arrived at the following conclusion: The capable technocratic approach is more likely to succeed than the resurgence of economic populism.


EM by EM #20 Another Energy Squeeze in the Cards?

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>India remains the fastest-growing large economy, with RGDP accelerating to 7.8% YoY growth in Q1FY24. Services (53% of the economy) grew 10.3%YoY, and should enable 7%+ RGDP growth for FY24. </li>
<li>Fixed investment spending grew 8%YoY, the fifth consecutive quarter of 8% or more growth. The improbably large real net export deficit will likely lead to upward revisions to GDP. </li>
<li>The fiscal deficit in Apr-Jul'23 was 33.9% of the FY24 target, even with a massive 54%YoY increase in revenues assigned to states. Latter will shrink in H2FY24, cutting fiscal deficit. </li>
</ul>


India remains the fastest-growing large economy, with RGDP accelerating to 7.8% YoY growth in Q1FY24. Services (53% of the economy) grew 10.3%YoY, and should enable 7%+ RGDP growth for FY24. 
Fixed investment spending grew 8%YoY, the fifth consecutive quarter of 8% or more growth. The improbably large real net export deficit will likely lead to upward revisions to GDP. 
The fiscal deficit in Apr-Jul'23 was 33.9% of the FY24 target, even with a massive 54%YoY increase in revenues assigned to states. Latter will shrink in H2FY24, cutting fiscal deficit. 


India: Robust Economic Momentum Despite Some Seeming Fiscal Deterioration

<ul>
<li>Positive retail flows, HNI &amp; AIF inflows, along with global market trends, suggest that the uptrend for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> may continue.</li>
<li>Bullish stocks include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-brands" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35289:1" rel="noopener">Metro Brands (METROBRA IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-wellness-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4353:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Wellness (ZYWL IN)</a>, while the sentiment for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/whirlpool-of-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7270:1" rel="noopener">Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN)</a> is Bearish.</li>
<li>Highlighted global stocks include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4022:1" rel="noopener">Ebix (EBIX US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smith-a-o-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18645:1" rel="noopener">Smith (A.O.) (AOS US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> </li>
</ul>


Positive retail flows, HNI &amp; AIF inflows, along with global market trends, suggest that the uptrend for the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) may continue.
Bullish stocks include Metro Brands (METROBRA IN) and Zydus Wellness (ZYWL IN), while the sentiment for Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) is Bearish.
Highlighted global stocks include Ebix (EBIX US) , Smith (A.O.) (AOS US) and Apple (AAPL US) 


[Week 1] Namaste India 🙏 | Whirlpool Stock Performance Is Good, Earnings Are Not

India

iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the MSCI India Index.

iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA US)

[Week 3] Namaste India 🙏 | Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) | Exports Could Improve Further

NIFTY Index hits ATH, market momentum expected to continue. Bajaj Auto, Hindustan Unilever, Bandhan Bank, and Vedant Fashions are names discussed.

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 2] Namaste India 🙏 | Paytm (PAYTM IN) | Withdrawing Disclosures

Strong domestic sentiment continues as the NIFTY Index reaches 20K. Paytm's strong August metrics. Other discussed ideas include Poonawalla...

Pranav Bhavsar

EM by EM #20 Another Energy Squeeze in the Cards?

Emerging market central banks demonstrated their foresight in 2021, acting ahead of the curve. However, there is a looming concern that the...

Steno Research

India: Robust Economic Momentum Despite Some Seeming Fiscal Deterioration

Services (53% of GDP) grew 10.3%YoY in Apr-Jun'23, and should grow 8.5% for the full year. Manufacturing to grow 6%+, benefiting from a low base in...

Prasenjit K. Basu

[Week 1] Namaste India 🙏 | Whirlpool Stock Performance Is Good, Earnings Are Not

The NIFTY Index could continue its uptrend. Bullish names include Metro, and Zydus Wellness, Global names to watch are Ebix, Smith (A.O.), and Apple.

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 3] Namaste India 🙏 | Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) | Exports Could Improve Further

​NIFTY Index hits ATH, market momentum expected to continue. Bajaj Auto, Hindustan Unilever, Bandhan Bank, and Vedant Fashions are names discussed.

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 2] Namaste India 🙏 | Paytm (PAYTM IN) | Withdrawing Disclosures

​Strong domestic sentiment continues as the NIFTY Index reaches 20K. Paytm's strong August metrics. Other discussed ideas include Poonawalla...

Pranav Bhavsar

EM by EM #20 Another Energy Squeeze in the Cards?

Emerging market central banks demonstrated their foresight in 2021, acting ahead of the curve. However, there is a looming concern that the...

Steno Research

India: Robust Economic Momentum Despite Some Seeming Fiscal Deterioration

Services (53% of GDP) grew 10.3%YoY in Apr-Jun'23, and should grow 8.5% for the full year. Manufacturing to grow 6%+, benefiting from a low base in...

Prasenjit K. Basu

[Week 1] Namaste India 🙏 | Whirlpool Stock Performance Is Good, Earnings Are Not

The NIFTY Index could continue its uptrend. Bullish names include Metro, and Zydus Wellness, Global names to watch are Ebix, Smith (A.O.), and Apple.

Pranav Bhavsar

NIFTY Index hits ATH, market momentum expected to continue. Bajaj Auto, Hindustan Unilever, Bandhan Bank, and Vedant Fashions are names discussed.

Strong domestic sentiment continues as the NIFTY Index reaches 20K. Paytm's strong August metrics. Other discussed ideas include Poonawalla...