Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The US economy is expected to get a boost in 2017 through increased infrastructure spending and a lowering of corporate tax rates with the election of Donald Trump as the next US President</li><li>The Federal Reserve has signalled its intent to resume a gradual pace of rate increases going forward.</li><li>The dollar has strengthened with an expectation of higher fiscal impulse through government spending and tax cuts, the Fed is expected to continue tightening with higher growth and inflation expectations.</li></ul>

The US economy is expected to get a boost in 2017 through increased infrastructure spending and a lowering of corporate tax rates with the election of Donald Trump as the next US PresidentThe Federal Reserve has signalled its intent to resume a gradual pace of rate increases going forward.The dollar has strengthened with an expectation of higher fiscal impulse through government spending and tax cuts, the Fed is expected to continue tightening with higher growth and inflation expectations.

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

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Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
Russia: Trump presidency, likely lifting of western sanctions and a stabilizing economy boost prospects for Russia.</li>
<li>
Mexico: Fitch downgrades outlook to ‘negative; on concerns about growth and challenges to public finances.</li>
<li>
China: CPI of 2.3% was higher than expected but still below 3% target.</li>
</ul>The US Fed outlook for three rate hikes in 2017 is based on flawed assumptions.  They are expecting that the US economy in 2017 is similar to the back half of 2016.  We believe this is a flawed assumption as…



Russia: Trump presidency, likely lifting of western sanctions and a stabilizing economy boost prospects for Russia.

Mexico: Fitch downgrades outlook to ‘negative; on concerns about growth and challenges to public finances.

China: CPI of 2.3% was higher than expected but still below 3% target.
The US Fed outlook for three rate hikes in 2017 is based on flawed assumptions.  They are expecting that the US economy in 2017 is similar to the back half of 2016.  We believe this is a flawed assumption as…

US Fed 2017 Rate Hike Outlook Based on Flawed Assumptions

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Few would beg to differ that the festive shopping season is the busiest and most prosperous time of year for luxury retailers, both online and on the high street. Indeed, hoards of affluent shoppers from all corners of the world flock to some of the world’s most glamorous shopping streets looking for both the ultimate gift for their loved ones as well as the sheer excitement and experience of shopping at this time of year.

Few would beg to differ that the festive shopping season is the busiest and most prosperous time of year for luxury retailers, both online and on the high street. Indeed, hoards of affluent shoppers from all corners of the world flock to some of the world’s most glamorous shopping streets looking for both the ultimate gift for their loved ones as well as the sheer excitement and experience of shopping at this time of year.

Developed Markets Compete for Share of Tourist Spend in Run-Up to Festive Luxury Shopping

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Note: wins and losses are listed at the end of the piece.Transport has been on a roll. A month ago we saw crazy buying any which way with weak names rising more than better names. US Rail has done ok though not stellar. US Airlines have done better. Especially after Warren Buffett portfolio managers did the unthinkable and bought <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3663" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3663:1">American Airlines Group Inc (AAL US)</a>, DAL US and UAL US (announced mid Nov). But US airlines is a whole other turnaround story. Not your run of the mill core transport…

Note: wins and losses are listed at the end of the piece.Transport has been on a roll. A month ago we saw crazy buying any which way with weak names rising more than better names. US Rail has done ok though not stellar. US Airlines have done better. Especially after Warren Buffett portfolio managers did the unthinkable and bought American Airlines Group Inc (AAL US), DAL US and UAL US (announced mid Nov). But US airlines is a whole other turnaround story. Not your run of the mill core transport…

The Rally in Transport Continues in Twists and Turns

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Increasingly, Thai markets are expected to be more turbulent in 2017 than they had been in this year. With Renzi's defeat, most of the press also pointed to possible breakup (at least a partial one) of the Euro bloc with the upcoming Dutch and French elections. In this review, we also discuss the recent acquisitions of two digital TV channels by top ranked Thai-coons. In conclusion,<ul><li>we see significant downside on Thai equities during the first half on capital outflows and negative market shocks. However, we also explain the silver lining that could lead to significant upside in H2'17.</li><li>with the emergence of these new Thai-coons in the media sector, we think there is little let down on the intensity of competition. However, the status quo will hardly change given their inexperience relative to already strong platforms such as BEC, Channel 7, and MONO.</li></ul>

Increasingly, Thai markets are expected to be more turbulent in 2017 than they had been in this year. With Renzi's defeat, most of the press also pointed to possible breakup (at least a partial one) of the Euro bloc with the upcoming Dutch and French elections. In this review, we also discuss the recent acquisitions of two digital TV channels by top ranked Thai-coons. In conclusion,we see significant downside on Thai equities during the first half on capital outflows and negative market shocks. However, we also explain the silver lining that could lead to significant upside in H2'17.with the emergence of these new Thai-coons in the media sector, we think there is little let down on the intensity of competition. However, the status quo will hardly change given their inexperience relative to already strong platforms such as BEC, Channel 7, and MONO.

Times of Trouble: Italy, Europe, & Digital TV

United States

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the performance of the MSCI TR Emerging Markets Index. The ETF holds emerging market stocks that can predominantly be classified as large and mid-cap. It weights the holdings using a market capitalization methodology and rebalances quarterly.

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM US)

Marketnomix Insights : United States

The US economy is expected to get a boost in 2017 through increased infrastructure spending and a lowering of corporate tax rates with the...

Rajan Govil

US Fed 2017 Rate Hike Outlook Based on Flawed Assumptions

Russia: Trump presidency, likely lifting of western sanctions and a stabilizing economy boost prospects for Russia. Mexico: Fitch downgrades...

David Riedel

The Rally in Transport Continues in Twists and Turns

Note: wins and losses are listed at the end of the piece.Transport has been on a roll. A month ago we saw crazy buying any which way with weak...

Charles De Trenck

Times of Trouble: Italy, Europe, & Digital TV

Increasingly, Thai markets are expected to be more turbulent in 2017 than they had been in this year. With Renzi's defeat, most of the press also...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Marketnomix Insights : United States

The US economy is expected to get a boost in 2017 through increased infrastructure spending and a lowering of corporate tax rates with the...

Rajan Govil

US Fed 2017 Rate Hike Outlook Based on Flawed Assumptions

Russia: Trump presidency, likely lifting of western sanctions and a stabilizing economy boost prospects for Russia. Mexico: Fitch downgrades...

David Riedel

Developed Markets Compete for Share of Tourist Spend in Run-Up to Festive Luxury Shopping

Few would beg to differ that the festive shopping season is the busiest and most prosperous time of year for luxury retailers, both online and on...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

The Rally in Transport Continues in Twists and Turns

Note: wins and losses are listed at the end of the piece.Transport has been on a roll. A month ago we saw crazy buying any which way with weak...

Charles De Trenck

Times of Trouble: Italy, Europe, & Digital TV

Increasingly, Thai markets are expected to be more turbulent in 2017 than they had been in this year. With Renzi's defeat, most of the press also...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA