China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Macroeconomics

Though China announced GDP growth of 6.9%, this is more accurately seen as a set back for economic reform given the figures reliance on old industry drivers.  There are also significant concerns about the drivers like Hotels and Catering that are above the national growth rate.  Industrial data fails to support the idea that the GDP growth of the Hotel and Catering sector would grow by 7% based upon occupancy rates, visits, new rooms, and revenue.  Some of these figures should be viewed…

Though China announced GDP growth of 6.9%, this is more accurately seen as a set back for economic reform given the figures reliance on old industry drivers.  There are also significant concerns about the drivers like Hotels and Catering that are above the national growth rate.  Industrial data fails to support the idea that the GDP growth of the Hotel and Catering sector would grow by 7% based upon occupancy rates, visits, new rooms, and revenue.  Some of these figures should be viewed…

Strength in Old Industries in Chinese GDP and Trade

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Over the period February 28, 2016, to July 20, 2017, we monitored publicly available online English language 'Western' news headlines from around 10 major mainstream sources, for anything related to China. Over 13,000 headlines later we've now applied word frequency analysis techniques to see what these headlines tell us about this past year and what's been gaining or losing coverage since the May update (for some technical/background details see a footnote below). While this does not carry…

Over the period February 28, 2016, to July 20, 2017, we monitored publicly available online English language 'Western' news headlines from around 10 major mainstream sources, for anything related to China. Over 13,000 headlines later we've now applied word frequency analysis techniques to see what these headlines tell us about this past year and what's been gaining or losing coverage since the May update (for some technical/background details see a footnote below). While this does not carry…

Media Coverage / Sentiment On China - What Got Hot, What Faded (May-July 2017)

Over the period February 28, 2016, to May 29, 2017, we monitored publicly available online English language 'Western' news headlines from around 10 major mainstream sources, for anything related to China. Close to 12,000 headlines later we've now applied some NLP techniques to see what these headlines tell us about this past year and recent topical issues (for some technical/background details see a footnote below).1. One Belt One Road has gained extensive coverage, esp. in the line-up to the…

Over the period February 28, 2016, to May 29, 2017, we monitored publicly available online English language 'Western' news headlines from around 10 major mainstream sources, for anything related to China. Close to 12,000 headlines later we've now applied some NLP techniques to see what these headlines tell us about this past year and recent topical issues (for some technical/background details see a footnote below).1. One Belt One Road has gained extensive coverage, esp. in the line-up to the…

Western Media Coverage/Sentiment On China - What Got Hot (May 2017)

Investment Advisors, JL Warren Capital

Junheng Li

Investment Advisors

JL Warren Capital

JL Warren Capital LLC is a leading independent equity research firm focused on Chinese companies and listed multinationals in China. We employ a bottom-up research approach that takes great care to avoid the acquisition of material non-public information. Through investigative due diligence including channel surveys and interviews, our research helps clients to pinpoint the dislocations in the market.

China auto sales April data came out lower than industry’s expectation, despite frequent promotions by the OEMs.  Without major policy support for the balance of 2017, we expect that the auto sales could decline by high-single-digit to low-double-digits in 2017/2016.

China auto sales April data came out lower than industry’s expectation, despite frequent promotions by the OEMs.  Without major policy support for the balance of 2017, we expect that the auto sales could decline by high-single-digit to low-double-digits in 2017/2016.

Amareos

Ryan Shea

<h2>Summary</h2>Macron’s win in the first round of the French presidential election was the baseline scenario for most investors. Despite the lack of a “surprise”, global asset markets rallied smartly on the result illustrating the inadequacy of consensus or median market expectations to understand financial market dynamics. Even though Macron still has to beat Le Pen in the second round vote on May 7, the polls strongly point to his victory – an outcome fully consistent with the post-vote signals from…

SummaryMacron’s win in the first round of the French presidential election was the baseline scenario for most investors. Despite the lack of a “surprise”, global asset markets rallied smartly on the result illustrating the inadequacy of consensus or median market expectations to understand financial market dynamics. Even though Macron still has to beat Le Pen in the second round vote on May 7, the polls strongly point to his victory – an outcome fully consistent with the post-vote signals from…

The Market Sentimentalist: Celebrate With Caution

China

iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the FTSE China 50 Index, investing in large cap stocks. Its investments are focused in the financial, oil and gas, technology and communications sectors. The ETF uses a representative sampling indexing strategy, investing at least 90% of its assets in the securities of the underlying index.

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iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)

Strength in Old Industries in Chinese GDP and Trade

Though China announced GDP growth of 6.9%, this is more accurately seen as a set back for economic reform given the figures reliance on old...

Christopher Balding

Media Coverage / Sentiment On China - What Got Hot, What Faded (May-July 2017)

Over the period February 28, 2016, to July 20, 2017, we monitored publicly available online English language 'Western' news headlines from around...

Robert Ciemniak

Western Media Coverage/Sentiment On China - What Got Hot (May 2017)

Over the period February 28, 2016, to May 29, 2017, we monitored publicly available online English language 'Western' news headlines from around 10...

Robert Ciemniak

China Auto Sales Sank in April

China auto sales April data came out lower than industry’s expectation, despite frequent promotions by the OEMs. Without major policy support for...

JL Warren Capital

The Market Sentimentalist: Celebrate With Caution

SummaryMacron’s win in the first round of the French presidential election was the baseline scenario for most investors. Despite the lack of a...

Amareos

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)