Deputy Chief Economist

Sharmila Whelan

Independent and original Asian investment research

Aletheia Capital

Aletheia Capital (HK) Ltd. (previously known as Asianomics) combines the extensive knowledge of its experienced team with technology and regulatory changes to disrupt Global Markets business in Asia. The firm is completely independent with no conflicts of interest either on Investment Banking advisory or Capital Markets execution.

Macroeconomics

We maintain our underweight call on Taiwanese equities, even though US-China trade tensions are likely to de-escalate with the Democrats now in control of the House of Representative. We would not be surprised to see an improvement in investor sentiment towards China, spill over to Taiwan. Any rally in the Taiwan TAIEX index is likely to prove temporary. The best is behind for the economy. Add to this the tensions between China and Taiwan and Apple’s recent announcement drastically revising down production of its new XR iPhone model which will hit Taiwanese manufacturing exporters and the future looks less certain.

We maintain our underweight call on Taiwanese equities, even though US-China trade tensions are likely to de-escalate with the Democrats now in control of the House of Representative. We would not be surprised to see an improvement in investor sentiment towards China, spill over to Taiwan. Any rally in the Taiwan TAIEX index is likely to prove temporary. The best is behind for the economy. Add to this the tensions between China and Taiwan and Apple’s recent announcement drastically revising down production of its new XR iPhone model which will hit Taiwanese manufacturing exporters and the future looks less certain.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

The recent global sell-off has caused consternation and confusion among equity investors.  We provide a technical appraisal of the current state of the U.S. equity market, and provide some perspective and guidance for navigating the current period of heightened volatility.

The recent global sell-off has caused consternation and confusion among equity investors.  We provide a technical appraisal of the current state of the U.S. equity market, and provide some perspective and guidance for navigating the current period of heightened volatility.

Technical Appraisal and Expectations for the U.S. Equity Market

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Our visits in Hong Kong this last week had a very uniform theme of HK-China continuing to come off from over-bought positions. Views from seasoned investors with 20-40 years experience were quite uniform. China is in a correction mode which began several months ago, and which picked up downside momentum last week.Our visits were divided into two categories: 1) PM and direct investment, including CEOs; and 2) Ship owners. Our shipping meetings will be updated under separate cover.

Our visits in Hong Kong this last week had a very uniform theme of HK-China continuing to come off from over-bought positions. Views from seasoned investors with 20-40 years experience were quite uniform. China is in a correction mode which began several months ago, and which picked up downside momentum last week.Our visits were divided into two categories: 1) PM and direct investment, including CEOs; and 2) Ship owners. Our shipping meetings will be updated under separate cover. 

The Chinese stock market continues to sell off, and is along with the Philippine bourse the worst performing in Asia this year. Investors are nervous.  Each week the US trade war on China escalates further and now the PBOC has cut reserve requirements again. We see few signs of the domestic economy losing momentum or Chinese policy makers panicking though. We are still overweight Chinese equities. Our advice to value investors with duration is to steer away from export cyclicals to domestic stocks.

The Chinese stock market continues to sell off, and is along with the Philippine bourse the worst performing in Asia this year. Investors are nervous.  Each week the US trade war on China escalates further and now the PBOC has cut reserve requirements again. We see few signs of the domestic economy losing momentum or Chinese policy makers panicking though. We are still overweight Chinese equities. Our advice to value investors with duration is to steer away from export cyclicals to domestic stocks.

China Economist

Kerry Liu

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

On 7 October 2018, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) announced a Renminbi Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) cut of 100 bps, starting on 15-October. We believe China’s further RRR cuts will be ineffective to the real economy, and could even hurt the real economy. However, the cuts will help boost asset prices (real estate, stocks and bonds). While a price cap policy on properties has been implemented across first-tier and many second-tier cities, property rent will rise accordingly

On 7 October 2018, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) announced a Renminbi Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) cut of 100 bps, starting on 15-October. We believe China’s further RRR cuts will be ineffective to the real economy, and could even hurt the real economy. However, the cuts will help boost asset prices (real estate, stocks and bonds). While a price cap policy on properties has been implemented across first-tier and many second-tier cities, property rent will rise accordingly

China Economics: RRR Cuts Proven Ineffective

China

iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the FTSE China 50 Index, investing in large cap stocks. Its investments are focused in the financial, oil and gas, technology and communications sectors. The ETF uses a representative sampling indexing strategy, investing at least 90% of its assets in the securities of the underlying index.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)

Taiwan - Stay Underweight

We maintain our underweight call on Taiwanese equities, even though US-China trade tensions are likely to de-escalate with the Democrats now in...

Sharmila Whelan

Technical Appraisal and Expectations for the U.S. Equity Market

The recent global sell-off has caused consternation and confusion among equity investors. We provide a technical appraisal of the current state of...

Vermilion Research

Roundup of HK-China Investors This Week

Our visits in Hong Kong this last week had a very uniform theme of HK-China continuing to come off from over-bought positions. Views from seasoned...

Charles De Trenck

China RRR Cut - Time To Get Worried?

The Chinese stock market continues to sell off, and is along with the Philippine bourse the worst performing in Asia this year. Investors are...

Sharmila Whelan

China Economics: RRR Cuts Proven Ineffective

On 7 October 2018, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) announced a Renminbi Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) cut of 100 bps, starting on 15-October....

Bondcritic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)