India focused Portfolio Advisory - Exp of 40+years, Das Capital Management and Advisors

Arun Thirumalai

India focused Portfolio Advisory - Exp of 40+years

Das Capital Management and Advisors

Das Capital is a research boutique with an aim to continuously map and plan the investment needs of investors focused on India. We have a six member research team with a combined experience of over 40 years as a part of our investment wing. Our team assisted in the setup of Premji Investments, which was one of India’s first family offices focused to managing Mr.Azim Premji personal wealth. We also serve as a research team to two Indian private equity energy funds “Small is Beautiful” and “KSK Emerging India Energy Fund”.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

OverviewThe Indian equity markets have given a thumbs-up for the Union Budget 2017-18 announced on February 1st,  2017.  The benchmark indices have gone up by close to 10% since previous lows post demonetisation. This vote of confidence by market participants for the budget is mainly on account of the government providing an expansionary budget with a focus on housing, infra, rural and social sectors increasing capital expenditure by 25%, but at the same time maintaining fiscal prudence.  In…

OverviewThe Indian equity markets have given a thumbs-up for the Union Budget 2017-18 announced on February 1st,  2017.  The benchmark indices have gone up by close to 10% since previous lows post demonetisation. This vote of confidence by market participants for the budget is mainly on account of the government providing an expansionary budget with a focus on housing, infra, rural and social sectors increasing capital expenditure by 25%, but at the same time maintaining fiscal prudence.  In…

India Union Budget 2017-18: Popular Without Being Populist

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance, Ecstrat

John-Paul Smith

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
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More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Cross Asset Strategy

There are three main issues facing equity investors in India in 2017:<ul><li>first, the likely impact of further significant outflows from emerging market equity funds on a market which is almost a default overweight for all except the few remaining EM value funds. The main economic ratios have improved since India was (laughably) labelled one of the so-called ‘fragile five’ in 2013, but Indian stocks are generally expensive relative to their history and to the rest of GEM. Still, given the relatively…</li></ul>

There are three main issues facing equity investors in India in 2017:first, the likely impact of further significant outflows from emerging market equity funds on a market which is almost a default overweight for all except the few remaining EM value funds. The main economic ratios have improved since India was (laughably) labelled one of the so-called ‘fragile five’ in 2013, but Indian stocks are generally expensive relative to their history and to the rest of GEM. Still, given the relatively…

India: Elections, Incremental Progress and the Decline of Deference (Part 3 of 7)

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Volume and value sales of consumer appliances in India increased strongly in 2016. The fact that monsoon conditions were better in 2016 [and that most Indians still depend on agriculture to make a living] resulted in an increase in disposable incomes in rural areas and a consequent rise in demand for consumer appliances. Furthermore, the number of players in the consumer appliances industry is increasing. To sustain increasing competition, manufacturers are expected to cut prices during the forecast period.However demonetisation which was announced in November 2016, is reported to have impacted sales of most of the white goods manufacturing companies. The impact on sales is expected to continue in 2017 also but it is very early to predict the magnitude of the impact.The ‘Make in India’ campaign initiated by the Government of India, has encouraged many manufacturers to increase local production capacity and set up new production facilities in the country. The Government of India has also initiated plans to electrify 100% of the country by the end of 2019, thus increasing demand for electronics and appliances during the forecast period.

Volume and value sales of consumer appliances in India increased strongly in 2016. The fact that monsoon conditions were better in 2016 [and that most Indians still depend on agriculture to make a living] resulted in an increase in disposable incomes in rural areas and a consequent rise in demand for consumer appliances. Furthermore, the number of players in the consumer appliances industry is increasing. To sustain increasing competition, manufacturers are expected to cut prices during the forecast period.However demonetisation which was announced in November 2016, is reported to have impacted sales of most of the white goods manufacturing companies. The impact on sales is expected to continue in 2017 also but it is very early to predict the magnitude of the impact.The ‘Make in India’ campaign initiated by the Government of India, has encouraged many manufacturers to increase local production capacity and set up new production facilities in the country. The Government of India has also initiated plans to electrify 100% of the country by the end of 2019, thus increasing demand for electronics and appliances during the forecast period.

India's Consumer Appliances Industry Gets a Boost in 2016

Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Asia Economist and CEO

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

Following November's controversial demonetisation exercise, India's Finance Minister announced the much awaited 2017/18 Union Budget on 1 February 2017. There have been some key changes to the Indian Budget: First, the Budget now consolidates the Union and Railway Budgets into a single budget. Second, budgeting for Plan and Non-plan expenditure has been replaced by a single capital expenditure framework to facilitate efficient sectoral allocation. Third, the Budget is being tabled a month…

Following November's controversial demonetisation exercise, India's Finance Minister announced the much awaited 2017/18 Union Budget on 1 February 2017. There have been some key changes to the Indian Budget: First, the Budget now consolidates the Union and Railway Budgets into a single budget. Second, budgeting for Plan and Non-plan expenditure has been replaced by a single capital expenditure framework to facilitate efficient sectoral allocation. Third, the Budget is being tabled a month…

With real GDP surging by 6.8%, India was one of the fastest growing economies globally, even exceeding the 6.7% posted by China. Its mega-cities of Mumbai and Delhi have traditionally concentrated the largest luxury good markets in the country, making them the most lucrative venues in India for expansion in the premium and luxury goods market. Nonetheless, in light of high corporate debt levels and growing protectionism, according to Euromonitor International research, the probability of an emerging market slowdown is estimated at 10-15% over a one year horizon, rising to 20-28% over two years. The consequences of an emerging market slowdown on Delhi’s and Mumbai’s high end market will be evaluated using our newly released Income Distribution tool.

With real GDP surging by 6.8%, India was one of the fastest growing economies globally, even exceeding the 6.7% posted by China. Its mega-cities of Mumbai and Delhi have traditionally concentrated the largest luxury good markets in the country, making them the most lucrative venues in India for expansion in the premium and luxury goods market. Nonetheless, in light of high corporate debt levels and growing protectionism, according to Euromonitor International research, the probability of an emerging market slowdown is estimated at 10-15% over a one year horizon, rising to 20-28% over two years. The consequences of an emerging market slowdown on Delhi’s and Mumbai’s high end market will be evaluated using our newly released Income Distribution tool.

How an Emerging Market Slowdown Will Impact Delhi's and Mumbai's Luxury Goods Market

India

iShares MSCI India Index ETF is an exchange-traded fund registered in Singapore. The Fund seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, closely correspond to the performance of the MSCI India Index. The Fund invests all or substantially all of its assets in shares comprising the MSCI India Index in substantially the same weightings as constituted in the underlying index.

iShares MSCI India Index ETF (INDIA SP)

India Union Budget 2017-18: Popular Without Being Populist

OverviewThe Indian equity markets have given a thumbs-up for the Union Budget 2017-18 announced on February 1st, 2017. The benchmark indices have...

Das Capital Management and Advisors

India: Elections, Incremental Progress and the Decline of Deference (Part 3 of 7)

There are three main issues facing equity investors in India in 2017:first, the likely impact of further significant outflows from emerging market...

John-Paul Smith

India's Consumer Appliances Industry Gets a Boost in 2016

Volume and value sales of consumer appliances in India increased strongly in 2016. The fact that monsoon conditions were better in 2016 [and that...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

India: Union Budget 2017/18

Following November's controversial demonetisation exercise, India's Finance Minister announced the much awaited 2017/18 Union Budget on 1 February...

Manu Bhaskaran

How an Emerging Market Slowdown Will Impact Delhi's and Mumbai's Luxury Goods Market

With real GDP surging by 6.8%, India was one of the fastest growing economies globally, even exceeding the 6.7% posted by China. Its mega-cities of...

Euromonitor International Ltd.