Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We maintain HOLD rating but cut TP to Bt74.50(-5% from previous TP)to factor in earnings cut in ADVANC. 3Q22 earnings was in-line with our expectations at Bt2.5bn (-8%YoY, -7%QoQ). Meanwhile</li>
<li>Details on sale of THCOM to GULF INTUCH announced that its entire stake in THCOM will be sold to GULF at a price of Bt9.92/share(around 11% below current market price)</li>
<li>The deal will have to be approved by INTUCH’s shareholders (excluding GULF) with a 75% approval rate. Management is confident that the deal will be approved by end of 2022.</li>
</ul>


We maintain HOLD rating but cut TP to Bt74.50(-5% from previous TP)to factor in earnings cut in ADVANC. 3Q22 earnings was in-line with our expectations at Bt2.5bn (-8%YoY, -7%QoQ). Meanwhile
Details on sale of THCOM to GULF INTUCH announced that its entire stake in THCOM will be sold to GULF at a price of Bt9.92/share(around 11% below current market price)
The deal will have to be approved by INTUCH’s shareholders (excluding GULF) with a 75% approval rate. Management is confident that the deal will be approved by end of 2022.


INTUCH : THCOM Sale Is Positive for INTUCH

<ul>
<li>We downgrade to HOLD from BUY rating and cut TP to Bt78.75 (-4% from previous TP), based on 18.3% discount from SOTP valuation, implying 20.4xPE’23E. 1H22 earnings of ADVANC</li>
<li>1H22 earnings was below expectation 2Q22 net profit was at Bt2.6bn (-6% YoY, +3% QoQ). YoY decline was due to lower equity income from ADVANC, while QoQ increase </li>
<li>Equity income in 2Q22 was at Bt2.4bn (-14% YoY, flat QoQ).YoY declined due to higher marketing expenses and pressured ARPU. QoQ remained flat because the higher marketing costs were offset</li>
</ul>


We downgrade to HOLD from BUY rating and cut TP to Bt78.75 (-4% from previous TP), based on 18.3% discount from SOTP valuation, implying 20.4xPE’23E. 1H22 earnings of ADVANC
1H22 earnings was below expectation 2Q22 net profit was at Bt2.6bn (-6% YoY, +3% QoQ). YoY decline was due to lower equity income from ADVANC, while QoQ increase 
Equity income in 2Q22 was at Bt2.4bn (-14% YoY, flat QoQ).YoY declined due to higher marketing expenses and pressured ARPU. QoQ remained flat because the higher marketing costs were offset


INTUCH : Price War Led to Weak 1H22 Earnings

<ul>
<li>We initiate coverage of INTUCH with a BUY rating, based on our TP of Bt82 derived from 18.9% discount from SOTP valuation, implying 22.3xPE’22E.Despite ADVANC’s strong earnings growth in 2022-24</li>
<li>Benefit from ADVANC’s top-of-industry performance. ADVANC to gain from better 5G infrastructure and ARPU reversal.</li>
<li>ADVANC’s enterprise business will grow rapidly between 2022-24. THCOM has negligible impact on overall performance.</li>
</ul>


We initiate coverage of INTUCH with a BUY rating, based on our TP of Bt82 derived from 18.9% discount from SOTP valuation, implying 22.3xPE’22E.Despite ADVANC’s strong earnings growth in 2022-24
Benefit from ADVANC’s top-of-industry performance. ADVANC to gain from better 5G infrastructure and ARPU reversal.
ADVANC’s enterprise business will grow rapidly between 2022-24. THCOM has negligible impact on overall performance.


INTUCH: ADVANC’s Healthy Outlook Makes INTUCH Attractive

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<p>INTUCH posted a slight drop YoY in the 2Q21 core earnings on the lower contribution from THCOM. INTUCH’s share price fell by 3% over the past two days due to the end of GULF’s tender offer at the price of Bt65 as well as the recent downward revision to the 2021 guidance of ADVANC, its core earnings contributor. Our Hold rating is maintained on the expectation that the above factors will not have a significant impact on INTUCH’s near-term outlook.</p>

INTUCH posted a slight drop YoY in the 2Q21 core earnings on the lower contribution from THCOM. INTUCH’s share price fell by 3% over the past two days due to the end of GULF’s tender offer at the price of Bt65 as well as the recent downward revision to the 2021 guidance of ADVANC, its core earnings contributor. Our Hold rating is maintained on the expectation that the above factors will not have a significant impact on INTUCH’s near-term outlook.

Thailand

Intouch Holdings Public Company Limited is a holding company that invests in diversified telecommunication and media and advertising businesses.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides television broadcasting, cellular phone and wireless services.

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Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)

INTUCH : THCOM Sale Is Positive for INTUCH

We maintain HOLD rating but cut TP to Bt74.50 (-5% from previous TP) to factor in earnings cut in ADVANC. 3Q22 earnings was in-line with our...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

INTUCH : Price War Led to Weak 1H22 Earnings

We downgrade to HOLD from BUY rating and cut TP to Bt78.75 (-4% from previous TP), based on 18.3% discount from SOTP valuation, implying...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

INTUCH: ADVANC’s Healthy Outlook Makes INTUCH Attractive

We initiate coverage of INTUCH with a BUY rating, based on our TP of Bt82 derived from 18.9% discount from SOTP valuation, implying 22.3xPE’22E....

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Earnings Review: Intouch Holdings Plc.

Weak core earnings in 2Q21, INTUCH posted a slight drop YoY in the 2Q21 core earnings on the lower contribution from THCOM.

Krungthai XSpring

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