Value Investing

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

International Business Machines / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>IBM has delivered a positive return of nearly 20% over the past two years, but that has little to do with actual business performance.</li>
<li>In addition to sluggish growth, IBM's declining profitability remains a problem.Issues related to the company's high debt load, low dividend coverage and an addiction to acquisitions have not gone away.</li>
<li>
Being an IBM (NYSE:IBM) shareholder hasn't been easy over the years as the market continues to make new highs, while IBM still trades at levels from 2010.

</li>
</ul>


IBM has delivered a positive return of nearly 20% over the past two years, but that has little to do with actual business performance.
In addition to sluggish growth, IBM's declining profitability remains a problem.Issues related to the company's high debt load, low dividend coverage and an addiction to acquisitions have not gone away.

Being an IBM (NYSE:IBM) shareholder hasn't been easy over the years as the market continues to make new highs, while IBM still trades at levels from 2010.




IBM: Don't Be Fooled By Recent Share Price Performance

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The three companies we write about this week are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consultancy-svcs-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18708:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cj-cheiljedang-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1970:1" rel="noopener">CJ Cheiljedang (097950 KS)</a>   </li>
<li>For the nineteen weeks since inception ended 31 March the combined innovation portfolio was +2.4%, versus DJIA -1.4%, S&amp;P500 +3.6%, Nasdaq +9.7%, Russell2000 -2.6%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +4.9%, all in US$ terms</li>
<li>For the nineteen since inception ended 31 March the small cap portfolio was up 8.0%, the mid cap portfolio was up 3.2% and the large cap portfolio was up 2.1%</li>
</ul>


The three companies we write about this week are Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN) , LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) and CJ Cheiljedang (097950 KS)   
For the nineteen weeks since inception ended 31 March the combined innovation portfolio was +2.4%, versus DJIA -1.4%, S&amp;P500 +3.6%, Nasdaq +9.7%, Russell2000 -2.6%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +4.9%, all in US$ terms
For the nineteen since inception ended 31 March the small cap portfolio was up 8.0%, the mid cap portfolio was up 3.2% and the large cap portfolio was up 2.1%


The Innovations Portfolios - Week Nineteen

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician, The Markets Academy

David Coloretti, CMT

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician

The Markets Academy

TMA implements 2 strategies. 1) Tactical ... Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) allows TMA to identify exhaustion / reversal points in interim trends by utilising our proprietary analysis of ST momentum indicators. 2) Medium Term ... our 3 Pillars approach to technical analysis allows TMA to determine high probability medium term outcomes in markets.

Technical Analysis

International Business Machines / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>IBM US peaked at 153.21 in December 2022 and has declined more than 15% in the subsequent 12 weeks.</li>
<li>Last week's low of 127.71 was plagued by extreme ST momentum failure and this new 4 month low was quick to fail and reverse.</li>
<li>Our TSS methodology triggered a TSS &lt; 10 at the low and justifies a further 6-7% upswing in the coming 1-2 weeks.</li>
</ul>


IBM US peaked at 153.21 in December 2022 and has declined more than 15% in the subsequent 12 weeks.
Last week's low of 127.71 was plagued by extreme ST momentum failure and this new 4 month low was quick to fail and reverse.
Our TSS methodology triggered a TSS &lt; 10 at the low and justifies a further 6-7% upswing in the coming 1-2 weeks.


International Business Machines Corp (IBM US) - TSS < 10 - Target Tactical 6-7% Upswing

<ul>
<li>The three companies we write about this week are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nike-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6658:1" rel="noopener">Nike (NKE US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capital-one-financial-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:255:1" rel="noopener">Capital One Financial (COF US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/under-armour-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11401:1" rel="noopener">Under Armour (UAA US)</a> </li>
<li>For the thirteen weeks since inception ended 17 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +2.4%, versus DJIA +0.2%, S&amp;P500 +2.9%, Nasdaq +5.8%, Russell2000 +5.2%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +4.3%, all in US$ terms</li>
<li>This week the large-cap portfolio underperformed on a mini <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> sell-off while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10x-genomics-inc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35564:1" rel="noopener">10X Genomics (TXG US)</a> was strong in the small caps group. </li>
</ul>


The three companies we write about this week are Nike (NKE US) , Capital One Financial (COF US) and Under Armour (UAA US) 
For the thirteen weeks since inception ended 17 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +2.4%, versus DJIA +0.2%, S&amp;P500 +2.9%, Nasdaq +5.8%, Russell2000 +5.2%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +4.3%, all in US$ terms
This week the large-cap portfolio underperformed on a mini Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) sell-off while 10X Genomics (TXG US) was strong in the small caps group. 


The Innovations Portfolio - Week Thirteen

<ul>
<li>The three companies we write about this week are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-oreal-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21521:1" rel="noopener">L'Oreal SA (OR FP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/electricite-de-france-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21441:1" rel="noopener">Electricite De France Sa (EDF FP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10x-genomics-inc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35564:1" rel="noopener">10X Genomics (TXG US)</a> </li>
<li>For the twelve weeks since inception ended 10 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +3.3%, versus DJIA +0.4%, S&amp;P500 +3.2%, Nasdaq +5.1%, Russell2000 +3.7%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +4.4%, all in US$ terms</li>
<li>Researchers from The University of Queensland found the lion's mane mushroom had a significant impact on the growth of brain cells and improving memory</li>
</ul>


The three companies we write about this week are L'Oreal SA (OR FP) , Electricite De France Sa (EDF FP) and 10X Genomics (TXG US) 
For the twelve weeks since inception ended 10 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +3.3%, versus DJIA +0.4%, S&amp;P500 +3.2%, Nasdaq +5.1%, Russell2000 +3.7%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +4.4%, all in US$ terms
Researchers from The University of Queensland found the lion's mane mushroom had a significant impact on the growth of brain cells and improving memory


United States

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) provides computer solutions through the use of advanced information technology. The Company's solutions include technologies, systems, products, services, software, and financing. IBM offers its products through its global sales and distribution organization, as well as through a variety of third party distributors and resellers.

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International Business Machines (IBM US)

The Innovations Portfolios - Week Nineteen

For the nineteen since inception ended 31 March the innovation small cap portfolio was up 8.0%, the innovation mid cap portfolio was up 3.2% and...

Pyari Menon

International Business Machines Corp (IBM US) - TSS < 10 - Target Tactical 6-7% Upswing

30+ years as a technical analyst and a razor sharp focus on momentum confirmation delivered TMA a 75% unleveraged return on our 7 Smartkarma...

David Coloretti, CMT

The Innovations Portfolio - Week Thirteen

For the thirteen weeks since inception ended 17 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +2.4%, versus DJIA +0.2%, S&P500 +2.9%, Nasdaq +5.8%,...

Pyari Menon

The Innovations Portfolio - Week Twelve

For the twelve weeks since inception ended 10 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +3.3%, versus DJIA +0.4%, S&P500 +3.2%, Nasdaq +5.1%,...

Pyari Menon

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