Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Market momentum continues to be strong. As we head into earnings season, the momentum is likely to continue.</li>
<li>Strong operational updates <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India (INFOE IN)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aavas-financiers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27422:1" rel="noopener">Aavas Financiers Ltd (AAVAS IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sula-vineyards-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36206:1" rel="noopener">Sula Vineyards (SULA IN)</a>.  </li>
<li>The overall market sentiment, represented by the average revisions across all sectors, is nearly flat, with a slight positive revision for FY1E at 0.02% and essentially stable for FY2E.</li>
</ul>


Market momentum continues to be strong. As we head into earnings season, the momentum is likely to continue.
Strong operational updates Info Edge India (INFOE IN); Aavas Financiers Ltd (AAVAS IN) &amp; Sula Vineyards (SULA IN).  
The overall market sentiment, represented by the average revisions across all sectors, is nearly flat, with a slight positive revision for FY1E at 0.02% and essentially stable for FY2E.


[#21] Namaste India 🙏 | Business Updates and Earnings Playbook

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>AntFin is looking to raise around US$350m by selling around 2% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>.</li>
<li>Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Ant just came out of lockup from the previous selldown a few days ago.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


AntFin is looking to raise around US$350m by selling around 2% of Zomato (ZOMATO IN).
Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Ant just came out of lockup from the previous selldown a few days ago.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Zomato Placement - Momentum Is Very Strong, Somewhat Well Flagged

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the March rebalance complete, there could be 6 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> using the current index methodology.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 13.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 28.6bn. Four inclusions will have over 1x ADV to buy; five deletions will have 2.5x+ ADV to sell.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes by 28.6% over the last month. With positioning from a rebalance perspective mostly done, gradually unwind over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the March rebalance complete, there could be 6 potential changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) using the current index methodology.
Estimated one-way turnover is 13.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 28.6bn. Four inclusions will have over 1x ADV to buy; five deletions will have 2.5x+ ADV to sell.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes by 28.6% over the last month. With positioning from a rebalance perspective mostly done, gradually unwind over the next few weeks.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continue to Run

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> is looking to raise US$135m from selling its remaining stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>.</li>
<li>Since receiving shares from Zomato’s acquisition of 91% of Blinkit’s outstanding shares, Softbank has been busy trimming its stake in Zomato. The stake sale now will be a cleanup one.</li>
<li>Representing just 1.2 days of Zomato’s three month ADV, the deal here would be easily digested by the firm.</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP) is looking to raise US$135m from selling its remaining stake in Zomato (ZOMATO IN).
Since receiving shares from Zomato’s acquisition of 91% of Blinkit’s outstanding shares, Softbank has been busy trimming its stake in Zomato. The stake sale now will be a cleanup one.
Representing just 1.2 days of Zomato’s three month ADV, the deal here would be easily digested by the firm.


Zomato Placement - SVF's Overhang Will Be Lifted Post-Deal, Momentum on the Stock Remains Strong

Bajaj Finance Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8950:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)</a> , one of India’s largest NBFCs, aims to raise around US$1bn via a QIP.</li>
<li>Bajaj Finance is an NBFC offering auto, consumer and home loans, along with other products as well.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN) , one of India’s largest NBFCs, aims to raise around US$1bn via a QIP.
Bajaj Finance is an NBFC offering auto, consumer and home loans, along with other products as well.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.


Bajaj Finance QIP - Very Well Flagged US$1bn Raising, past Deals Have Done Well

India

Info Edge (India) Limited operates an online job posting website. The website offers services for recruiters, job seekers, and employers. The Company also operates  an online matrimonial website for prospective brides, grooms, and relatives.

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Info Edge India (INFOE IN)

[#21] Namaste India 🙏 | Business Updates and Earnings Playbook

Market momentum remains strong as we head into earnings season, with positive operational updates from Info Edge India, Aavas Financiers Ltd, and...

Pranav Bhavsar

Zomato Placement - Momentum Is Very Strong, Somewhat Well Flagged

AntFin is looking to raise around US$350m by selling around 2% of Zomato (ZOMATO IN). In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continue to Run

With the review period complete, there could be 6 changes for the NIFTY NEXT50 in March. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes...

Brian Freitas

Zomato Placement - SVF's Overhang Will Be Lifted Post-Deal, Momentum on the Stock Remains Strong

Softbank Group (9984 JP) is looking to raise US$135m from selling its remaining stake in Zomato (ZOMATO IN). The stake sale now will be a cleanup one.

Clarence Chu

Bajaj Finance QIP - Very Well Flagged US$1bn Raising, past Deals Have Done Well

Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN) , one of India’s largest NBFCs, aims to raise around US$1bn via a QIP. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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[#21] Namaste India 🙏 | Business Updates and Earnings Playbook

​Market momentum remains strong as we head into earnings season, with positive operational updates from Info Edge India, Aavas Financiers Ltd, and...

Pranav Bhavsar

Zomato Placement - Momentum Is Very Strong, Somewhat Well Flagged

AntFin is looking to raise around US$350m by selling around 2% of Zomato (ZOMATO IN). In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continue to Run

With the review period complete, there could be 6 changes for the NIFTY NEXT50 in March. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes...

Brian Freitas

Zomato Placement - SVF's Overhang Will Be Lifted Post-Deal, Momentum on the Stock Remains Strong

Softbank Group (9984 JP) is looking to raise US$135m from selling its remaining stake in Zomato (ZOMATO IN). The stake sale now will be a cleanup one.

Clarence Chu

Bajaj Finance QIP - Very Well Flagged US$1bn Raising, past Deals Have Done Well

Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN) , one of India’s largest NBFCs, aims to raise around US$1bn via a QIP. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Market momentum remains strong as we head into earnings season, with positive operational updates from Info Edge India, Aavas Financiers Ltd, and...