Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 30th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Quanta computer, Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, Largan Precision.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 30th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Quanta computer, Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, Largan Precision.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 30th): Evergreen Marine, Quanta, Cathay, Fubon, Largan

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

Yuanta Financial Holding Co / Equity Bottom-Up

*Very Solid 1Q21: Yuanta Financial Holding (2885.TT) [Yuanta] reported 1Q21 results of NTD 9.4 bn, increasing NTD 4.9 bn (107.5%) linked quarter. Much of Yuanta’s linked quarter growth can be attributed to strong net interest income growth from both a margin loan and bank loan balance increases; a significant reduction in loss provisioning; and net fee improvement on the back of an ADTV increase on the TAIEX; and*Hidden Yuanta Earnings At Bank: At 21% of Yuanta’s bottom-line, Yunata Bank posted strong core operating results as well – NTD 2.0 bn, increasing NTD 731 mn or 59.2% linked quarter. Reserve cover of NPLs is extraordinary and the best we’ve seen in Asia thus far at 12.1x. By our calculation, Yuanta Bank has over reserved and can release upward of NTD 10.5 bn – representing over one quarter of Yuanta’s quarterly bottom-line.

*Very Solid 1Q21: Yuanta Financial Holding (2885.TT) [Yuanta] reported 1Q21 results of NTD 9.4 bn, increasing NTD 4.9 bn (107.5%) linked quarter. Much of Yuanta’s linked quarter growth can be attributed to strong net interest income growth from both a margin loan and bank loan balance increases; a significant reduction in loss provisioning; and net fee improvement on the back of an ADTV increase on the TAIEX; and*Hidden Yuanta Earnings At Bank: At 21% of Yuanta’s bottom-line, Yunata Bank posted strong core operating results as well – NTD 2.0 bn, increasing NTD 731 mn or 59.2% linked quarter. Reserve cover of NPLs is extraordinary and the best we’ve seen in Asia thus far at 12.1x. By our calculation, Yuanta Bank has over reserved and can release upward of NTD 10.5 bn – representing over one quarter of Yuanta’s quarterly bottom-line.

Yuanta Financial Holding – Firing On All Cylinders

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

On Friday 18 December, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fubon-financial-holding-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11869:1" rel="noopener">Fubon Financial Holding Co (2881 TT)</a> announced a board decision to conduct a Tender Offer to take control of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jih-sun-financial-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17971:1" rel="noopener">Jih Sun Financial (5820 TT)</a> at NT$13/share. The offer will be contingent on gaining 50.01% of the shares and Fubon will buy any and all shares tendered if it clears that hurdle. This is not a huge premium, and comes to only a small premium to book value (1.05x) but is most likely to be successful because of the two owners who currently own 60%. This deal comes pre-blessed by the Financial Supervisory Commission which approved on Thursday apparently. It is interesting because last month a 24% stake acquisition by a foreign corporate (non-financial) was nixed by the FSC, and this would represent the first time that a domestic financial holding company has been taken over by another domestic financial holding company. And there is, crucially, another leg to this trade.More below the fold.

On Friday 18 December, Fubon Financial Holding Co (2881 TT) announced a board decision to conduct a Tender Offer to take control of Jih Sun Financial (5820 TT) at NT$13/share. The offer will be contingent on gaining 50.01% of the shares and Fubon will buy any and all shares tendered if it clears that hurdle. This is not a huge premium, and comes to only a small premium to book value (1.05x) but is most likely to be successful because of the two owners who currently own 60%. This deal comes pre-blessed by the Financial Supervisory Commission which approved on Thursday apparently. It is interesting because last month a 24% stake acquisition by a foreign corporate (non-financial) was nixed by the FSC, and this would represent the first time that a domestic financial holding company has been taken over by another domestic financial holding company. And there is, crucially, another leg to this trade.More below the fold. 

Fubon Financial Tender Offer for Jih Sun Financial

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Mega Financial Holding Co., Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

Across nearly 300 banks in Asia-Pacific the average NPL ratio is 2.47%. In Taiwan banks have essentially no NPLs at just 0.27% of loans.We find it hard to imagine that this will remain the case, especially given their lending to Taiwanese companies doing business in China.The provision and earnings delta for these banks may be some of the most dramatic in Asia, given they are starting from a seemingly pristine loan book.

Across nearly 300 banks in Asia-Pacific the average NPL ratio is 2.47%. In Taiwan banks have essentially no NPLs at just 0.27% of loans.We find it hard to imagine that this will remain the case, especially given their lending to Taiwanese companies doing business in China.The provision and earnings delta for these banks may be some of the most dramatic in Asia, given they are starting from a seemingly pristine loan book.

Taiwan

Industrial Bank of Taiwan provides industrial banking services.

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Industrial Bank Of Taiwan (2897 TT)

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 30th): Evergreen Marine, Quanta, Cathay, Fubon, Largan

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Quanta computer, Cathay...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta Financial Holding – Firing On All Cylinders

YUANTA FINANCIAL: Yuanta reported a QOQ 1Q21 results increase of 107.5%, attributed to strong net interest income growth and a provision reduction....

Thomas J. Monaco

Fubon Financial Tender Offer for Jih Sun Financial

Shinsei Bank and HK-based Investor Capital Target Ltd have been looking to sell. 12yrs after the first try, Fubon Financial is buying Jih Sun....

Travis Lundy

Taiwan's Banks Have Zero NPLs; For Now

Across nearly 300 banks in Asia-Pacific the average NPL ratio is 2.47%. In Taiwan banks have essentially no NPLs at just 0.27% of loans.We find it...

Daniel Tabbush

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