Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)</a> had a poor Q2-Q3 numbers, and investors sold off. </li>
<li>The recent uptick is driven by revenue growth and cost cutting exercises (mainly in wages) that improve margins.  </li>
<li>Productivity may not stay at the same level thus Q2 24 numbers are key. Take your win first. </li>
</ul>



Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ) had a poor Q2-Q3 numbers, and investors sold off. 
The recent uptick is driven by revenue growth and cost cutting exercises (mainly in wages) that improve margins.  
Productivity may not stay at the same level thus Q2 24 numbers are key. Take your win first. 


ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul</a>'s recent results reflect a sharp recovery in its core herbal and F&amp;B business as increased sales volumes have brought scale benefits to its iconic products. </li>
<li>The company saw recovery in both sales and profits, with margins improving considerably  in 4Q2023 due to increased volumes and lower raw material prices. </li>
<li>Tolak Angin remains an iconic brand catering to all demographics with 70% leadership of its category, with Kuku Bima being the leader in powdered energy drinks. Valuations appealing versus history. </li>
</ul>



Sido Muncul's recent results reflect a sharp recovery in its core herbal and F&amp;B business as increased sales volumes have brought scale benefits to its iconic products. 
The company saw recovery in both sales and profits, with margins improving considerably  in 4Q2023 due to increased volumes and lower raw material prices. 
Tolak Angin remains an iconic brand catering to all demographics with 70% leadership of its category, with Kuku Bima being the leader in powdered energy drinks. Valuations appealing versus history. 


Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ) - Iconic Modern Jamu

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended 30 June. The changes should be announced the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.</li>
<li>Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a>.</li>
<li>For a change, the impact on the potential inclusions will be higher since they will join the index with higher weights compared to the potential deletions.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended 30 June. The changes should be announced the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.
Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for Bank Rakyat (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA).
For a change, the impact on the potential inclusions will be higher since they will join the index with higher weights compared to the potential deletions.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Identifying Potential Index Changes

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Seven stocks remain, and seven stocks added to our portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 177% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 27%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Seven stocks remain, and seven stocks added to our portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 177% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 27%


<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added to our portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 255% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 30%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added to our portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 255% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 30%


Indonesia

PT Kino Indonesia Tbk engages in baby care products, food, beverages, and pharmaceuticals. The Company's products also include household care items such as cleaners, softener, and fresheners. Kino Indonesia operates in Indonesia.

PT Mandom Indonesia Tbk manufactures cosmetics, perfumes, household goods, and plastic containers. The Company sells its products in the domestic and international markets.

PT Mustika Ratu Tbk manufactures, trades, and distributes herbal and traditional cosmetics and health drinks, baby products, and other related activities.

Uni-Charm Indonesia Tbk PT serves customers in Indonesia.

PT Martina Berto Tbk manufactures and markets cosmetic products for Indonesia and the International markets. The Company offers a wide range of branded cosmetics for the consumer market.

PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk manufactures animal feed, breeds and processes chickens, and operates aquaculture farms.  The Company trades its products domestically and internationally.

PT Siantar Top Tbk manufactures a variety of snack food products.  The Company produces snack noodles, crackers, and candies under the brand names Fuji Mie, Mie Goreng, Olala, Tamiku, Twistko, Tic-Tic, Twistball, Fuji Chips, Tovie Candy, Balico-Kelapa, and XUXU.

PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry and Trading Company Tbk operates in the food and beverage industry. The Company produces aseptic drinks such as liquid milk, fruit juices and health drinks. Ultrajaya Milk also produces butter, powder milk and sweet condensed milk.

PT Gudang Garam Tbk manufactures and distributes cigarettes and operates activities related to the cigarette industry. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in the paper-related activities.

PT Midi Utama Indonesia Tbk operates a chain of retail stores.  The Company operates convenience stores in Indonesia.

Blackmores Limited manufactures and markets vitamin, herbal, mineral supplements and natural skin and hair treatment products in Australia and New Zealand. These products are supplied to the over the counter retail market and to health care professionals. The Company also has a line of natural beauty and aromatherapy products and its products are distributed in South East Asia.

Cosmax, Inc. is a cosmetics manufacturer. The Company develops and produces a variety of cosmetics for men and women, such as basic and special skin care, makeup, hair care, and other beauty products. Cosmax manufactures its products on original equipment manufacturing (OEM) basis.

Herbalife Ltd. is a global nutrition company that sells weight management, healthy meals and snacks, sports and fitness, energy and targeted nutritional products as well as personal care products. The Company distributes and sells its products through a network of independent distributors, using the direct selling channel.

Rizap Group Inc provides low calorie foods including soy milk cookies, diet drinks, and supplements.  The Company sells its products through mail order.

Noevir Holdings Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells a variety of cosmetic products. The Company's products include skin care and make-up.  Noevir also manufactures and sells medicines, nutritional supplements and apparel.

EIS Eczacibasi Ilac Sanayi ve Finansal Yatirimlar Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and markets pharmaceuticals, veterinary products, hospital equipment, and cosmetics. The Company's products include cephalosporin and penicillin. The Company exports its products to the Middle East, Russian Federation, Central Asia, Eastern Europe and EU countries.

Shanghai Jahwa United Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and wholesales skin care and hair care products, cosmetics, perfumes, detergents, and other household chemical products.  The Company also provides technical and food services.

Kolmar Korea Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes personal care products. The Company produces cosmetics. Kolmar Korea also produces medicine and healthcare products.

AMOREPACIFIC Group is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, produce cosmetics and toiletries.

Jamieson Wellness Inc., doing business as Jamieson Vitamins, develops, manufactures, and markets natural health products. The Company offers vitamins, minerals, and supplement products, as well as over-the-counter remedies and sports nutrition products. Jamieson Vitamins serves customers worldwide.

PT Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul Tbk manufactures and produces herbal products. The Company's products consist of medicinal herbs, energy drinks, sweets and other beverages.

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Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)

Sido Muncul (SIDO): Take Your Win First

After a poor year last year, SIDO operating numbers come back in Q4 23 and even more so in Q1 24 due to revenue growth and cost cutting exercise....

Henry Soediarko