ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)</a> booked a solid set of 9M2024 results with some seasonal slowdown in 3Q2024 but prospects remain healthy as the rainy season has begun to boost consumption. </li>
<li>The company is seeing strong revenue growth across herbal &amp; supplements, F&amp;B (mainly energy drinks) and pharma, with improving margins, and exceptionally strong export growth. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul</a> saw an increase in its cash conversion caused by a strategic stocking of raw materials at favourable prices which should boost margins. Valuations are attractive at 15x PER. </li>
</ul>



Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ) booked a solid set of 9M2024 results with some seasonal slowdown in 3Q2024 but prospects remain healthy as the rainy season has begun to boost consumption. 
The company is seeing strong revenue growth across herbal &amp; supplements, F&amp;B (mainly energy drinks) and pharma, with improving margins, and exceptionally strong export growth. 

Sido Muncul saw an increase in its cash conversion caused by a strategic stocking of raw materials at favourable prices which should boost margins. Valuations are attractive at 15x PER. 


Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ) - Stocking Up for Growth

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul</a>'s recent results reflect a sharp recovery in its core herbal and F&amp;B business as increased sales volumes have brought scale benefits to its iconic products. </li>
<li>The company saw recovery in both sales and profits, with margins improving considerably  in 4Q2023 due to increased volumes and lower raw material prices. </li>
<li>Tolak Angin remains an iconic brand catering to all demographics with 70% leadership of its category, with Kuku Bima being the leader in powdered energy drinks. Valuations appealing versus history. </li>
</ul>



Sido Muncul's recent results reflect a sharp recovery in its core herbal and F&amp;B business as increased sales volumes have brought scale benefits to its iconic products. 
The company saw recovery in both sales and profits, with margins improving considerably  in 4Q2023 due to increased volumes and lower raw material prices. 
Tolak Angin remains an iconic brand catering to all demographics with 70% leadership of its category, with Kuku Bima being the leader in powdered energy drinks. Valuations appealing versus history. 


Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ) - Iconic Modern Jamu

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)</a> had a poor Q2-Q3 numbers, and investors sold off. </li>
<li>The recent uptick is driven by revenue growth and cost cutting exercises (mainly in wages) that improve margins.  </li>
<li>Productivity may not stay at the same level thus Q2 24 numbers are key. Take your win first. </li>
</ul>



Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ) had a poor Q2-Q3 numbers, and investors sold off. 
The recent uptick is driven by revenue growth and cost cutting exercises (mainly in wages) that improve margins.  
Productivity may not stay at the same level thus Q2 24 numbers are key. Take your win first. 


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended 30 June. The changes should be announced the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.</li>
<li>Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a>.</li>
<li>For a change, the impact on the potential inclusions will be higher since they will join the index with higher weights compared to the potential deletions.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended 30 June. The changes should be announced the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.
Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for Bank Rakyat (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA).
For a change, the impact on the potential inclusions will be higher since they will join the index with higher weights compared to the potential deletions.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Identifying Potential Index Changes

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Seven stocks remain, and seven stocks added to our portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 177% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 27%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Seven stocks remain, and seven stocks added to our portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 177% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 27%


Indonesia

PT Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul Tbk manufactures and produces herbal products. The Company's products consist of medicinal herbs, energy drinks, sweets and other beverages.

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Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)