External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

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<ul><li>Given the rising competitive intensity for low-cost and granular deposits facing the banking system, loan-deposit ratios at historical highs, and expected rate cuts towards the back-end of FY25, we believe banks are faced with the challenge of quality deposit mobilisation, elevated funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreads</li><li>As banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is likely to keep valuations under check, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchises</li><li>While we expect system-wide growth to decelerate by 90-100 bps from FY24 levels, we are conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe, pencilling in 50bps of rate cuts starting Q4FY25 (blended FY25 NIMs at 12-15bps below FY24)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Given the rising competitive intensity for low-cost and granular deposits facing the banking system, loan-deposit ratios at historical highs, and expected rate cuts towards the back-end of FY25, we believe banks are faced with the challenge of quality deposit mobilisation, elevated funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreadsAs banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is likely to keep valuations under check, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchisesWhile we expect system-wide growth to decelerate by 90-100 bps from FY24 levels, we are conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe, pencilling in 50bps of rate cuts starting Q4FY25 (blended FY25 NIMs at 12-15bps below FY24)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: The Liquidity Conundrum

<ul><li>Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) reported a mixed set of earnings with robust AUM growth (+34% YoY) despite a regulatory embargo on select products, offset by sharp NIM compression (21bps) and elevated credit costs (1.6% annualised)</li><li>While the regulatory embargo led to muted traction in customer acquisitions and loan volumes, a shift towards secured assets helped drive loan growth</li><li>On the back of its omnichannel strategy, the widest product suite and focus on cross-selling, we believe BAF is poised for ~23% AUM CAGR over the medium term, while also simultaneously delivering steady profitability</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) reported a mixed set of earnings with robust AUM growth (+34% YoY) despite a regulatory embargo on select products, offset by sharp NIM compression (21bps) and elevated credit costs (1.6% annualised)While the regulatory embargo led to muted traction in customer acquisitions and loan volumes, a shift towards secured assets helped drive loan growthOn the back of its omnichannel strategy, the widest product suite and focus on cross-selling, we believe BAF is poised for ~23% AUM CAGR over the medium term, while also simultaneously delivering steady profitabilityContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, LTIMindtree, Macrotech Developers

<ul><li>IndusInd Bank: IndusInd Bank (IIB) reported stable earnings, led by strong loan growth (+20% YoY), stable NIMs and sustained traction in fee income</li><li>Deposit growth (+13% YoY) clocked in on the back of a higher share of retail deposits (LCR at 123%, Q2FY24: 118%)</li><li>However, CASA fell 85bps QoQ to 38.5%, showcasing system-wide pressure on low-cost deposits</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IndusInd Bank: IndusInd Bank (IIB) reported stable earnings, led by strong loan growth (+20% YoY), stable NIMs and sustained traction in fee incomeDeposit growth (+13% YoY) clocked in on the back of a higher share of retail deposits (LCR at 123%, Q2FY24: 118%)However, CASA fell 85bps QoQ to 38.5%, showcasing system-wide pressure on low-cost depositsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: IndusInd Bank, ICICI Prudential Life

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Z Score: The spread is currently negative between TCS and INFY, signaling a long signal on the spread, which means we believe it would retrace up towards the mean, which is the Z Score of 0</li><li>Lot Size: To ensure rupee neutral strategy, we suggest going long on TCS with 1 lot(s) and going short on INFY with 1 lot(s)</li><li>Returns Expectations: In the last 10 trades over the last 200 days, we have achieved 60% hit ratio over an average trade duration of 6.5 days. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Z Score: The spread is currently negative between TCS and INFY, signaling a long signal on the spread, which means we believe it would retrace up towards the mean, which is the Z Score of 0Lot Size: To ensure rupee neutral strategy, we suggest going long on TCS with 1 lot(s) and going short on INFY with 1 lot(s)Returns Expectations: In the last 10 trades over the last 200 days, we have achieved 60% hit ratio over an average trade duration of 6.5 days. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Wipro: Wipro’s (WPRO) revenue regressed with the third successive quarter of sequential decline</li><li>Factors driving the underperformance of WPRO continued such as (1) higher consulting/discretionary mix in portfolio (including Capco), (2) broad-based impact across verticals (two-thirds of the business posted sequential decline), and (3) disconnect between bookings and revenue growth (USD 3.5bn large deal wins yet annual revenue run-rate lower by USD 0.8bn in three quarters)</li><li>This was exacerbated by a weak guide for Q3 (-3.5% to -1.5% QoQ CC) due to the higher-than-usual impact of furloughs</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Wipro: Wipro’s (WPRO) revenue regressed with the third successive quarter of sequential declineFactors driving the underperformance of WPRO continued such as (1) higher consulting/discretionary mix in portfolio (including Capco), (2) broad-based impact across verticals (two-thirds of the business posted sequential decline), and (3) disconnect between bookings and revenue growth (USD 3.5bn large deal wins yet annual revenue run-rate lower by USD 0.8bn in three quarters)This was exacerbated by a weak guide for Q3 (-3.5% to -1.5% QoQ CC) due to the higher-than-usual impact of furloughsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Wipro, LTIMindtree, Bajaj Auto, IndusInd Bank, Bandhan Bank, Can Fin Homes

India

IndusInd Bank Limited is a Mumbai-based Indian new generation bank established in 1994. The Bank provides a range of banking and financial services including  wholesale banking, credit monitoring, risk management, tele-banking, investment banking and commercial lending. IndusInd Bank operates branches throughout India as well as an office in Dubai and London.

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Indusind Bank (IIB IN)

Leveraged Financials: The Liquidity Conundrum

Our hypothesis remains anchored around strong retail deposit franchises and declining spreads over the next 12 months, coupled with the...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, LTIMindtree, Macrotech Developers

Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) reported a mixed set of earnings with robust AUM growth (+34% YoY) despite a regulatory embargo on select products

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: IndusInd Bank, ICICI Prudential Life

IndusInd Bank: IndusInd Bank (IIB) reported stable earnings, led by strong loan growth (+20% YoY), stable NIMs and sustained traction in fee income

HDFC Securities

Parallel Trades -16 January 2024

he spread is currently negative between TCS and INFY, signaling a long signal on the spread, which means we believe it would retrace up towards the...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Wipro, LTIMindtree, Bajaj Auto, IndusInd Bank, Bandhan Bank, Can Fin Homes

Factors driving the underperformance of WPRO continued such as (1) higher consulting/discretionary mix in portfolio (including Capco)

HDFC Securities

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