ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings (GRAB US),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>There was also a macro insight on the Thai Economy and further insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comfortdelgro-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:497:1" rel="noopener">Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumrungrad-hospital-pub-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:883:1" rel="noopener">Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB)</a>, and UNOAsia in the Philippines. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The Past week saw insights on GoTo, Grab Holdings (GRAB US),Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ), Matahari Department Store, BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) and Astra International (ASII IJ).
There was also a macro insight on the Thai Economy and further insights on Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP), Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB), and UNOAsia in the Philippines. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - GoTo & Grab, BFIN's Rising, and Astra Intl's Oversold

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Indo Tambangraya Megah / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Newcastle coal prices have normalized from the highs of USD 450/ton (in September 2022) to current levels of USD 145/ton (a 68% correction from the peak). </li>
<li>From profits of 100 mn USD/month, we are now down to 90-100 mn USD/quarter. Despite this, the stock trades at 4.5x PE with a 15% dividend yield. </li>
<li>An added buffer of 850 mn USD of net cash represents 50% of the market capitalization. </li>
</ul>


Newcastle coal prices have normalized from the highs of USD 450/ton (in September 2022) to current levels of USD 145/ton (a 68% correction from the peak). 
From profits of 100 mn USD/month, we are now down to 90-100 mn USD/quarter. Despite this, the stock trades at 4.5x PE with a 15% dividend yield. 
An added buffer of 850 mn USD of net cash represents 50% of the market capitalization. 


ITMG IJ: A Healthy 15% Yield Despite the Coal Price Correction, With >50% Mkt Cap In Cash

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a>'s Ongoing Initiatives towards profitability, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker</a>'s moves towards a Big C Retail IPO, Inducement's strong bulk performance, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indo-tambangraya-megah-tbk-p" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15891:1" rel="noopener">Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>There were also insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-foods-group-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24053:1" rel="noopener">Thai Foods Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charoen-pokphand-foods-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16131:1" rel="noopener">CP FOODS</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-keluarga-karyasehat-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:288:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat</a>, Singapore-listed Tourism&amp; Hospitality, and a credit insight on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medco-energi-internasional-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20844:1" rel="noopener">Medco Energi (MEDC IJ).</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on GoTo's Ongoing Initiatives towards profitability, Berli Jucker's moves towards a Big C Retail IPO, Inducement's strong bulk performance, and Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ).
There were also insights on Thai Foods Group, CP FOODS, Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat, Singapore-listed Tourism&amp; Hospitality, and a credit insight on Medco Energi (MEDC IJ).



The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - GoTo's Initiatives, Berli Jucker & Big C IPO, and Indocement

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indo-tambangraya-megah-tbk-p" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15891:1" rel="noopener">Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ)</a> suffered a &gt;30% decline in market capitalization owing to the drastic drop in coal prices from 400 USD/ton to 160 USD/ton.</li>
<li>At a 1.9 bn USD market cap, the company can generate 700 mn USD profit at current coal prices/paying a 5000-6000 Rph dividend equating to a 20-25% yield. </li>
<li>Also, with 1.0 bn USD of net cash after accounting for the dividend liability (&gt;50% of the market capitalization is cash), there is an excellent margin of safety. </li>
</ul>



Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) suffered a &gt;30% decline in market capitalization owing to the drastic drop in coal prices from 400 USD/ton to 160 USD/ton.
At a 1.9 bn USD market cap, the company can generate 700 mn USD profit at current coal prices/paying a 5000-6000 Rph dividend equating to a 20-25% yield. 
Also, with 1.0 bn USD of net cash after accounting for the dividend liability (&gt;50% of the market capitalization is cash), there is an excellent margin of safety. 


ITMG - Q1 2023, Decline in Coal Prices And Increasing Costs Weigh on Profits, Yield Sturdy >20%

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indo-tambangraya-megah-tbk-p" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15891:1" rel="noopener">Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>There were also bottom-up insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aneka-tambang-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15991:1" rel="noopener">Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayora-indah-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15131:1" rel="noopener">Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alam-sutera-realty-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2312:1" rel="noopener">Alam Sutera Realty (ASRI IJ)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia
The past week saw insights on Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ), Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ), Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP), Lian Beng, and Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ).
There were also bottom-up insights on Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ), Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ), and Alam Sutera Realty (ASRI IJ). 


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - ASSA's Mobility Edge, Alfamart's Convenience, and ITMG.

Indonesia

PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk operates as a coal exploration and mining company that provides energy and electricity support. The Company operates in Indonesia and supplies coal to the world energy market.

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Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ)

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - GoTo & Grab, BFIN's Rising, and Astra Intl's Oversold

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

ITMG IJ: A Healthy 15% Yield Despite the Coal Price Correction, With >50% Mkt Cap In Cash

Despite the recent coal price correction, ITMG trades at 4.5x PE &15% dividend yield. The cash buffer of 850 mn USD (50% of the market cap) also...

Sameer Taneja

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - GoTo's Initiatives, Berli Jucker & Big C IPO, and Indocement

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

ITMG - Q1 2023, Decline in Coal Prices And Increasing Costs Weigh on Profits, Yield Sturdy >20%

ITMG trades at 3x PE on current spot coal prices, with >50% of the market capitalization in cash. The div yield is a sturdy 25% (65% payout ratio)....

Sameer Taneja

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - ASSA's Mobility Edge, Alfamart's Convenience, and ITMG.

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

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