Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Expectations on economic reforms from Modi government are running high after the big win in Uttar Pradesh. Political analysts are expecting this win to ease Modi's chances for another term at national elections in 2019 and that would give him total 7 year period to push for reforms (In his victory speech Modi himself said he is now looking for delivering by 2022 - the 75th year of Indian Independence). Amidst the euphoria of Modi's victory, we would like to highlight some of the ground realities…

Expectations on economic reforms from Modi government are running high after the big win in Uttar Pradesh. Political analysts are expecting this win to ease Modi's chances for another term at national elections in 2019 and that would give him total 7 year period to push for reforms (In his victory speech Modi himself said he is now looking for delivering by 2022 - the 75th year of Indian Independence). Amidst the euphoria of Modi's victory, we would like to highlight some of the ground realities…

Investors Need To Be Patient With Reform Momentum Even As Modi Win Ensures Policy Continuity

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact of demonetisation on the electoral prospects of the party. Performance in UP is impressive as the opposition had formed an alliance to fight Modi but still lost poorly.  Most political analysts have been caught on the wrong foot as they predicted a hung assembly while the results show that Modi wave seen during the General elections continues. We…

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact of demonetisation on the electoral prospects of the party. Performance in UP is impressive as the opposition had formed an alliance to fight Modi but still lost poorly.  Most political analysts have been caught on the wrong foot as they predicted a hung assembly while the results show that Modi wave seen during the General elections continues. We…

Landslide Win for Modi in UP Elections;Upper House No.s to Cross 100 Mark by 2018, a +ve for Reforms

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

The collapse of lending in India remains well in place in January where annual growth is running at an anemic 3.3%. This is the same as in December last year, and lower than in November. To us, it does not feel like India is anywhere near a post-demonetization boom in credit, as some are expecting. The reality is that companies will see more stress, economic growth will worsen, and banks will face greater NPLs. India – Credit growth (% ch YoY)<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/022/174/original/daniel%201.png?1488984550" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="22174"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source: CEIC</div>What may be more of a surprise is that…

The collapse of lending in India remains well in place in January where annual growth is running at an anemic 3.3%. This is the same as in December last year, and lower than in November. To us, it does not feel like India is anywhere near a post-demonetization boom in credit, as some are expecting. The reality is that companies will see more stress, economic growth will worsen, and banks will face greater NPLs. India – Credit growth (% ch YoY)Source: CEICWhat may be more of a surprise is that…

India's Lending Is Still Painfully Low in January

Since India’s demonetization, the government has lowered GDP forecasts, the Reserve Bank of India has signaled a less accommodative stance, and the proposed recapitazliation of ailing public sector banks is being curtailed. Perhaps there will be less flow-through on the budget in execution, timing and magnitude? High non-performing loans and cratering loan growth was a feature of India’s banks before all of the above, and we believe these will remain front and center still.  We include several…

Since India’s demonetization, the government has lowered GDP forecasts, the Reserve Bank of India has signaled a less accommodative stance, and the proposed recapitazliation of ailing public sector banks is being curtailed. Perhaps there will be less flow-through on the budget in execution, timing and magnitude? High non-performing loans and cratering loan growth was a feature of India’s banks before all of the above, and we believe these will remain front and center still.  We include several…

Anecdotes from India Mirror Poor Optimism: Bank Risk Remains

Small & Mid Cap focused Value Investor

Gokul Raj. P

Equity Bottom-Up

IIFL Holdings has had a very sharp 43% price up move over the past month. In my quick note on Jan -18, titled I<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/iifl-holdings-quality-growth-at-reasonable-valuations" target="_blank">IFL Holdings - Quality and Growth at reasonable valuations</a>, I had written about the attractive entry opportunity in the stock. I wanted to detail the attractive valuations (both absolute and relative) in an in-depth note, but the sharp up move has minimized the valuation discrepancy quickly. That said, I continue to believe that IIFL Holdings is in a sweet spot and well positioned to do…

IIFL Holdings has had a very sharp 43% price up move over the past month. In my quick note on Jan -18, titled IIFL Holdings - Quality and Growth at reasonable valuations, I had written about the attractive entry opportunity in the stock. I wanted to detail the attractive valuations (both absolute and relative) in an in-depth note, but the sharp up move has minimized the valuation discrepancy quickly. That said, I continue to believe that IIFL Holdings is in a sweet spot and well positioned to do…

IIFL Holdings Q3 FY 17: Earnings Call Highlights. Accelerating Business Momentum !!

India

Indiabulls Housing Finance Ltd (IBHFL) is a Housing Finance Company (HFC). The company provides long-term housing loans to individuals and loans against homes to small business owners. IBHFL also provides Lease Rent Discounting (LRD) loans against leased out commercial premises.

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Indiabulls Housing Finance (IHFL IN)

Investors Need To Be Patient With Reform Momentum Even As Modi Win Ensures Policy Continuity

Expectations on economic reforms from Modi government are running high after the big win in Uttar Pradesh. Political analysts are expecting this...

Asia Advisors

Landslide Win for Modi in UP Elections;Upper House No.s to Cross 100 Mark by 2018, a +ve for Reforms

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact...

Asia Advisors

India's Lending Is Still Painfully Low in January

The collapse of lending in India remains well in place in January where annual growth is running at an anemic 3.3%. This is the same as in December...

Daniel Tabbush

Anecdotes from India Mirror Poor Optimism: Bank Risk Remains

Since India’s demonetization, the government has lowered GDP forecasts, the Reserve Bank of India has signaled a less accommodative stance, and the...

Daniel Tabbush

IIFL Holdings Q3 FY 17: Earnings Call Highlights. Accelerating Business Momentum !!

IIFL Holdings has had a very sharp 43% price up move over the past month. In my quick note on Jan -18, titled IIFL Holdings - Quality and Growth at...

Gokul Raj. P

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