Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$24.1bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Banks, Tech, Energy, and Materials all saw inflows.</li>
<li>It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, shareholder return KPIs for SOE CEOs, upcoming Third Plenum policy, or national team buying...</li>
<li>But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$24.1bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Banks, Tech, Energy, and Materials all saw inflows.
It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, shareholder return KPIs for SOE CEOs, upcoming Third Plenum policy, or national team buying...
But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 June 2024); Every Day A Net Buy; Banks, Energy, and Utes

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: Chinese customers sold on ‘elixir of youth’ despite expert warnings </li><li>Suspect arrested in stabbing of four American college teachers in China</li><li>Executive at ICBC’s Beijing branch investigated for suspected graft</li></ul>

In Depth: Chinese customers sold on ‘elixir of youth’ despite expert warnings Suspect arrested in stabbing of four American college teachers in ChinaExecutive at ICBC’s Beijing branch investigated for suspected graft

CX Daily: Chinese Customers Sold on ‘Elixir of Youth’ Despite Expert Warnings 

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND's renewed buy streak continued this past week; every day net positive. Strong net buying. NORTHBOUND saw small net buying on renewables, utilities, and semiconductors.</li>
<li>AH Premia rebounded off multi-year lows, on average, this past week as Hang Seng/other HK indices fell and A-shares did not do much. Liquid Hs underperformed As by 2%.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND's renewed buy streak continued this past week; every day net positive. Strong net buying. NORTHBOUND saw small net buying on renewables, utilities, and semiconductors.
AH Premia rebounded off multi-year lows, on average, this past week as Hang Seng/other HK indices fell and A-shares did not do much. Liquid Hs underperformed As by 2%.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 7 Jun 2024):  Hs Outperform Their As. Great Wall (2333) Suffers, Utes Win

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$27.2bn this week, on small two-way volumes. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> dominated as it reached dividend ex-date. Other high-div SOEs also saw buying.</li>
<li>It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, and the KPIs for SOE CEOs to raise prices and payout ratios, but it continues.</li>
<li>Valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$27.2bn this week, on small two-way volumes. China Mobile (941 HK) dominated as it reached dividend ex-date. Other high-div SOEs also saw buying.
It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, and the KPIs for SOE CEOs to raise prices and payout ratios, but it continues.
Valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 7 June 2024); China Mobile, Energy, Financials All Bought Bigly

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 31st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Akeso, China Longyuan, Meituan, Baba, BOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 31st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Akeso, China Longyuan, Meituan, Baba, BOC.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Akeso, China Longyuan, Meituan, Baba, BOC

China

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd provides a broad range of personal and corporate commercial banking services all over China.  The Bank's businesses include deposit, loan, credit card, fund underwriting and trust, and foreign currency settlement and trading.

Price Gauge
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Ind & Comm Bk Of China (A) (601398 CH)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 June 2024); Every Day A Net Buy; Banks, Energy, and Utes

SOUTHBOUND HK Connect saw its 20th straight week of net inflows. Net vs Gross flows continue to be big. Banks, Energy, Materials, and Utilities all...

Travis Lundy

CX Daily: Chinese Customers Sold on ‘Elixir of Youth’ Despite Expert Warnings

Anti-aging / In Depth: Chinese customers sold on ‘elixir of youth’ despite expert warnings. Chinese consumers have bought into the global craze for...

Caixin Global

A/H Premium Tracker (To 7 Jun 2024): Hs Outperform Their As. Great Wall (2333) Suffers, Utes Win

AH Premia shrink on the week, after two weeks of A-share rebound vs HK stocks. Spreads remain wide enough to matter. Trends in flows are OK...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 7 June 2024); China Mobile, Energy, Financials All Bought Bigly

Big net buying on HK Connect by SOUTHBOUND. This week it was China Mobile (ex-div on 6 June), energy, and financials again. MMG was sold on the...

Travis Lundy

HK Short Interest Weekly: Akeso, China Longyuan, Meituan, Baba, BOC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 31st and highlight short interest changes in Akeso, China Longyuan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)