Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng index committee has added four stocks to take the number of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> constituents to 80. A year late, but we're there!</li>
<li>The next leg of the increase in the number of index constituents will take us up to 100. There is no timeline, so this should take a couple of years.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.93% leading to a one-way trade of HK$5.7bn (US$730m). All adds will have over 2x ADV to buy from passive trackers.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng index committee has added four stocks to take the number of Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) constituents to 80. A year late, but we're there!
The next leg of the increase in the number of index constituents will take us up to 100. There is no timeline, so this should take a couple of years.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.93% leading to a one-way trade of HK$5.7bn (US$730m). All adds will have over 2x ADV to buy from passive trackers.


HSI Index Rebalance: Yippee! Finally at 80!

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The overvaluation or undervaluation of China core assets cannot be explained solely by valuation models such as PE/PB/DCF etc., but rather by considering the deep meaning represented by them.</li>
<li>The so-called policy, strategic, and systemic importance are playing increasingly important role in stock picking process. It's not wise to just analyze it from bottom-up perspective without considering top-down perspective.</li>
<li>There’s no eternal,universal,absolute truth in this world. We’re in the midst of a "unprecedented upheaval in a century".It's time to change mindset so investors don't miss the next valuation takeoff.</li>
</ul>


The overvaluation or undervaluation of China core assets cannot be explained solely by valuation models such as PE/PB/DCF etc., but rather by considering the deep meaning represented by them.
The so-called policy, strategic, and systemic importance are playing increasingly important role in stock picking process. It's not wise to just analyze it from bottom-up perspective without considering top-down perspective.
There’s no eternal,universal,absolute truth in this world. We’re in the midst of a "unprecedented upheaval in a century".It's time to change mindset so investors don't miss the next valuation takeoff.


Valuation System with Chinese Characteristics – the Correct Interpretation and Its Deep Meaning

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 5th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$75.1 million, led by information technology, materials, and offset by financials, consumer staples, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree Electric Appliances.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 5th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$75.1 million, led by information technology, materials, and offset by financials, consumer staples, health care.
We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree Electric Appliances.


Northbound Flows (May 5th): Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree Electric Appliances

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Many people have begun to pay attention to whether there would be a second wave of COVID-19 in China. We think it is necessary to share our views.</li>
<li>The overvaluation or undervaluation of China’s core assets cannot be explained solely by classic valuation models such as PE/PB/DCF, but rather by considering the deep meaning represented by the companies.</li>
<li>Lifetech’s future growth space depend more on the performance of pacemakers and IBS, but they are facing different challenges. Therefore, we recommend short-term trade rather than long term hold.</li>
</ul>


Many people have begun to pay attention to whether there would be a second wave of COVID-19 in China. We think it is necessary to share our views.
The overvaluation or undervaluation of China’s core assets cannot be explained solely by classic valuation models such as PE/PB/DCF, but rather by considering the deep meaning represented by the companies.
Lifetech’s future growth space depend more on the performance of pacemakers and IBS, but they are facing different challenges. Therefore, we recommend short-term trade rather than long term hold.


China Healthcare Weekly (May.5)- 2nd Wave of COVID, Valuation Logic of China's Core Assets, Lifetech

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for April and highlight flows for China Mobile, SMIC, PetroChina, Sensetime, CNOOC, CCB, Tencent, HKEx.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for April and highlight flows for China Mobile, SMIC, PetroChina, Sensetime, CNOOC, CCB, Tencent, HKEx.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: China Mobile, SMIC, PetroChina, Sensetime, CNOOC, CCB, Tencent

China

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd provides a broad range of personal and corporate commercial banking services all over China.  The Bank's businesses include deposit, loan, credit card, fund underwriting and trust, and foreign currency settlement and trading.

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Ind & Comm Bk Of China (A) (601398 CH)

HSI Index Rebalance: Yippee! Finally at 80!

The 4 adds get us to 80 members. The next leg up to 100 members should take a few years. 1-way turnover in June is 2.9% resulting in a 1-way trade...

Brian Freitas

Valuation System with Chinese Characteristics – the Correct Interpretation and Its Deep Meaning

Many investors do not have a deep understanding of the "valuation system with Chinese characteristics". It is necessary to provide some...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Northbound Flows (May 5th): Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree Electric Appliances

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (May.5)- 2nd Wave of COVID, Valuation Logic of China's Core Assets, Lifetech

It's time to talk about the 2nd wave of COVID in China.Investors need to understand deep meaning/valuation logic of China's core assets so as not...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: China Mobile, SMIC, PetroChina, Sensetime, CNOOC, CCB, Tencent

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for April and highlight flows for China Mobile, SMIC, PetroChina, Sensetime, CNOOC, CCB, Tencent, HKEx.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)