Macro Strategy: Ominous Carry Trade Unwind Risk
The Bank of Japan's plan to halve its bond purchasing program will be crucial for the Yen, triggering concern about carry trade unwind risk.
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Macro Strategy: The Monetary Easing Coercion
BI’s historic rate cut consistently reflects anticipatory moves in response to global economic downturn to mitigate the spillover effects.
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BRIDS Weekly Update Economic & Fixed Income Research Monday, Jul 01 , 2024
While not immediately creating an ideal situation, the recent positive developments help counter the prolonged negative sentiment.
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Macro Strategy: The Conflation of Currency Risk and Fiscal Frailty
The weaker IDR suggests greater possibility of a BI rate hike; however, we note three factors that rate hike is not the ultimate panacea.
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Macro Strategy: The Headwinds And Tailwinds
US facing headwinds with the latest Beige Book indicating a dimmer outlook, while China’s stimulus brings new hope of growth revival.
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