Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

IDFC First Bank Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>IDFC First Bank is now at USD7bn market cap, and it will now be seen by more than before</li>
<li>Net interest income rising from INR27.5bn to INR37.5bn is amongst best in India banking</li>
<li>Credit metrics improving dramatically, but credit costs have yet to trail lower - to come</li>
</ul>


IDFC First Bank is now at USD7bn market cap, and it will now be seen by more than before
Net interest income rising from INR27.5bn to INR37.5bn is amongst best in India banking
Credit metrics improving dramatically, but credit costs have yet to trail lower - to come


IDFC First Bank - Mkt Cap Up Big, Can Gain More Interest, With Improved Fundamentals & Amalgamation

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>JSW launches coated steel product to substitute imports which has market of INR 2200 crore</li>
<li>Adani may tie up with Japan for renewable energy post-meeting between officials</li>
<li>FII short position highest before election results; India Q4 GDP beat analyst estimates</li>
</ul>


JSW launches coated steel product to substitute imports which has market of INR 2200 crore
Adani may tie up with Japan for renewable energy post-meeting between officials
FII short position highest before election results; India Q4 GDP beat analyst estimates


#5 India Insights: JSW Steel New Product, Adani-Japan May Tie Up, FII Shorts, India GDP

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharti-hexacom" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40858:1" rel="noopener">Bharti Hexacom</a> were in the market trying to raise over US$500m each.</li>
<li>Placements flow continued unabated this week as well, India, Taiwan and South Korea seeing large blocks.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) and Bharti Hexacom were in the market trying to raise over US$500m each.
Placements flow continued unabated this week as well, India, Taiwan and South Korea seeing large blocks.


ECM Weekly (1st Apr 2024) - Shinhan, GlobalWafers, Mankind, Hyundai Marine, Bharti Hexacom, ChaPanda

Indian Accounting Research Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Indian Accounting Research Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inox-india-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40138:1" rel="noopener">INOX India Limited (INOX IN)</a> ( or IWL) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inox-wind-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40911:1" rel="noopener">Inox Wind Energy (IWEL IN)</a> (or IWEL) have announced a merger, where IWEL will be amalgamated with IWL</li>
<li>The share swap ratio in the scheme of amalgamation gives a very evident arbitrage opportunity. </li>
<li>The arbitrage opportunity has become bigger than when announced in June 2023. While the strategy is still possible, we try to justify the market behaviour.</li>
</ul>



INOX India Limited (INOX IN) ( or IWL) and Inox Wind Energy (IWEL IN) (or IWEL) have announced a merger, where IWEL will be amalgamated with IWL
The share swap ratio in the scheme of amalgamation gives a very evident arbitrage opportunity. 
The arbitrage opportunity has become bigger than when announced in June 2023. While the strategy is still possible, we try to justify the market behaviour.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December. We had forecast all the index changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 57.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21.75bn (US$261m). 8 stocks have over 1x ADV to trade; 21 stocks have atleast 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have continued to outperform the deletes and the index and there could be further outperformance heading into year-end and buying from passive trackers.</li>
</ul>


There are 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December. We had forecast all the index changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 57.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21.75bn (US$261m). 8 stocks have over 1x ADV to trade; 21 stocks have atleast 0.5x ADV to trade.
The adds have continued to outperform the deletes and the index and there could be further outperformance heading into year-end and buying from passive trackers.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

India

IDFC First Bank Limited provides a full range of commercial banking services for retail and institutional customers. The Bank offers fixed deposits, debit cards, savings account, cash management, and other services. IDFC Bank serves its customers in India.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCBK IN)

IDFC First Bank - Mkt Cap Up Big, Can Gain More Interest, With Improved Fundamentals & Amalgamation

IDFC First Bank has seen huge market cap gains, so that it can gain more interest now, with strong fundamental supporting, and amalgamation news also.

Daniel Tabbush

#5 India Insights: JSW Steel New Product, Adani-Japan May Tie Up, FII Shorts, India GDP

India Insights : JSW introduces coated steel product to reduce imports, Adani considers partnership with Japan for renewable energy, FII short...

Sudarshan Bhandari

ECM Weekly (1st Apr 2024) - Shinhan, GlobalWafers, Mankind, Hyundai Marine, Bharti Hexacom, ChaPanda

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Inox Wind Merger: Behind the Arbitrage

INOX India Limited and Inox Wind Energy have announced a merger, presenting a clear arbitrage opportunity. The opportunity has grown since the...

Nitin Mangal

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

The adds and deletes have performed in line since announcement of the changes a little over a week ago. With 10 trading days to implementation,...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

IDFC First Bank - Mkt Cap Up Big, Can Gain More Interest, With Improved Fundamentals & Amalgamation

IDFC First Bank has seen huge market cap gains, so that it can gain more interest now, with strong fundamental supporting, and amalgamation news also.

Daniel Tabbush

#5 India Insights: JSW Steel New Product, Adani-Japan May Tie Up, FII Shorts, India GDP

​India Insights : JSW introduces coated steel product to reduce imports, Adani considers partnership with Japan for renewable energy, FII short...

Sudarshan Bhandari

ECM Weekly (1st Apr 2024) - Shinhan, GlobalWafers, Mankind, Hyundai Marine, Bharti Hexacom, ChaPanda

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Inox Wind Merger: Behind the Arbitrage

​INOX India Limited and Inox Wind Energy have announced a merger, presenting a clear arbitrage opportunity. The opportunity has grown since the...

Nitin Mangal

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

The adds and deletes have performed in line since announcement of the changes a little over a week ago. With 10 trading days to implementation,...

Brian Freitas

India Insights : JSW introduces coated steel product to reduce imports, Adani considers partnership with Japan for renewable energy, FII short...

INOX India Limited and Inox Wind Energy have announced a merger, presenting a clear arbitrage opportunity. The opportunity has grown since the...