Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trades involving Korean preferred and common shares in 3Q 2024.</li>
<li>The recent push for Korea Value Up program has helped to push up prices of numerous Korean preferred stocks including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co-44d5ac4e-94e3-4be9-b34f-5f3155e7a3d6" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26936:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor (005385 KS)</a>. </li>
<li>On a longer timeframe (3-4 years), we believe this discount could narrow further to the 20-25% range, which provides additional opportunities for the Korean preferred shares to further make gains.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trades involving Korean preferred and common shares in 3Q 2024.
The recent push for Korea Value Up program has helped to push up prices of numerous Korean preferred stocks including Hyundai Motor (005385 KS). 
On a longer timeframe (3-4 years), we believe this discount could narrow further to the 20-25% range, which provides additional opportunities for the Korean preferred shares to further make gains.


Gap Trades in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 3Q 2024

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hyundai's IR team appears to have communicated that a new shareholder return policy would be unveiled at the rescheduled CEO Investor Day in August.</li>
<li>Hyundai aims to boost shareholder returns above 30% by canceling ₩800B to ₩1T in shares annually. The new dividend strategy won't debut in August; last year's three-year plan stands.</li>
<li>Equal cancellation ratios apply to common and three types of preferred shares. August's timing, with ISA tax reforms potentially favoring preferred shares, may enhance prefs' price impact relative to ords.</li>
</ul>


Hyundai's IR team appears to have communicated that a new shareholder return policy would be unveiled at the rescheduled CEO Investor Day in August.
Hyundai aims to boost shareholder returns above 30% by canceling ₩800B to ₩1T in shares annually. The new dividend strategy won't debut in August; last year's three-year plan stands.
Equal cancellation ratios apply to common and three types of preferred shares. August's timing, with ISA tax reforms potentially favoring preferred shares, may enhance prefs' price impact relative to ords.


Hyundai Motor's Special Shareholder Return Plan Likely Unveiled in August IR Event

<ul>
<li>Local stock market focuses on ISA tax benefits expansion; political push for higher tax-exempt limits seen as pivotal event.</li>
<li>Investors expect dividend stocks to outperform due to ISA tax advantages: tax exemptions within limits and lower 9.9% taxation on excess amounts, boosting ISA-based equity investments.</li>
<li>ETF influence declining; ISA tax benefits may boost dividend plays, heightening interest in preferred stocks tied to efforts to redeem them, impacting equity costs.</li>
</ul>


Local stock market focuses on ISA tax benefits expansion; political push for higher tax-exempt limits seen as pivotal event.
Investors expect dividend stocks to outperform due to ISA tax advantages: tax exemptions within limits and lower 9.9% taxation on excess amounts, boosting ISA-based equity investments.
ETF influence declining; ISA tax benefits may boost dividend plays, heightening interest in preferred stocks tied to efforts to redeem them, impacting equity costs.


Pref-Centred Dividend Plays with Expanded ISA Tax Benefits in Value-Up Context

<ul>
<li>A high-ranking official from the local financial regulatory authority has confirmed to several local media outlets that the tax benefits for the value-up program will be unveiled this month.</li>
<li>Corporate tax cuts and separate taxation on dividend income will be included. The short-term impact at the time of the announcement will likely be more significant for corporate tax cuts.</li>
<li>Local market is focused on screening large companies within the KOSPI 200 that have substantial pre-tax profits in anticipation of the corporate tax cut momentum to be announced this month.</li>
</ul>


A high-ranking official from the local financial regulatory authority has confirmed to several local media outlets that the tax benefits for the value-up program will be unveiled this month.
Corporate tax cuts and separate taxation on dividend income will be included. The short-term impact at the time of the announcement will likely be more significant for corporate tax cuts.
Local market is focused on screening large companies within the KOSPI 200 that have substantial pre-tax profits in anticipation of the corporate tax cut momentum to be announced this month.


Value-Up Tax Support Revealed by End of June: Local Market Eyes Corporate Tax Cut Beneficiaries

<ul>
<li>Samsung Elec &amp; Hyundai Motor's high proportion of preferred stocks leads to their unusually high cost of capital, making themselves prime targets for the govt's Corporate Value Up policy.</li>
<li>Policy likely focuses on aggressive share buybacks, especially preferred stock repurchase, to improve PBR. Pension funds may invest heavily in ETFs, offsetting dilution effects.</li>
<li>Hyundai Motor may pursue more aggressive shareholder returns due to the India listing, possibly prioritizing preferred share repurchases as it introduces risks of value transfer controversies within Korea.</li>
</ul>


Samsung Elec &amp; Hyundai Motor's high proportion of preferred stocks leads to their unusually high cost of capital, making themselves prime targets for the govt's Corporate Value Up policy.
Policy likely focuses on aggressive share buybacks, especially preferred stock repurchase, to improve PBR. Pension funds may invest heavily in ETFs, offsetting dilution effects.
Hyundai Motor may pursue more aggressive shareholder returns due to the India listing, possibly prioritizing preferred share repurchases as it introduces risks of value transfer controversies within Korea.


Exploring Prioritized Buyback/Cancellation of Samsung Electronics & Hyundai Motor Prefs

South Korea

Hyundai Motor Company manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. The Company also sells various auto parts and operates auto repair service centers throughout South Korea. Hyundai Motor provides financial services through its subsidiaries.

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Hyundai Motor (005380 KS)

Hyundai Motor's Special Shareholder Return Plan Likely Unveiled in August IR Event

This post explores the likelihood of Hyundai Motor unveiling a special shareholder return plan, emphasizing increased share cancellation during the...

Sanghyun Park

Pref-Centred Dividend Plays with Expanded ISA Tax Benefits in Value-Up Context

This post explores the expansion of ISA tax benefits and its impact on dividend trades focused on preferred stocks within the value-up trading...

Sanghyun Park

Value-Up Tax Support Revealed by End of June: Local Market Eyes Corporate Tax Cut Beneficiaries

A high-ranking official confirmed that tax cut incentives for the value-up program will be unveiled by the end of this month. This post...

Sanghyun Park

Exploring Prioritized Buyback/Cancellation of Samsung Electronics & Hyundai Motor Prefs

This post intends to flag the imminent likelihood of prioritized buyback and cancellation of preferred shares by Samsung Electronics and Hyundai...

Sanghyun Park

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Gap Trades in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 3Q 2024

We discuss numerous gap trades involving Korean preferred and common shares in 3Q24. The recent push for Korea Value Up program has helped to push...

Douglas Kim

Hyundai Motor's Special Shareholder Return Plan Likely Unveiled in August IR Event

This post explores the likelihood of Hyundai Motor unveiling a special shareholder return plan, emphasizing increased share cancellation during the...

Sanghyun Park

Pref-Centred Dividend Plays with Expanded ISA Tax Benefits in Value-Up Context

This post explores the expansion of ISA tax benefits and its impact on dividend trades focused on preferred stocks within the value-up trading...

Sanghyun Park

Value-Up Tax Support Revealed by End of June: Local Market Eyes Corporate Tax Cut Beneficiaries

A high-ranking official confirmed that tax cut incentives for the value-up program will be unveiled by the end of this month. This post...

Sanghyun Park

Exploring Prioritized Buyback/Cancellation of Samsung Electronics & Hyundai Motor Prefs

This post intends to flag the imminent likelihood of prioritized buyback and cancellation of preferred shares by Samsung Electronics and Hyundai...

Sanghyun Park