Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the potential KOSDAQ 150 rebalance candidates in June 2025.</li>
<li>The top 10 inclusion candidates have sharply outperformed KOSDAQ so far this year. These 10 stocks are up on average 75.3% YTD, outperforming KOSDAQ which is up 6.4% YTD.</li>
<li>The 10 potential deletion candidates in KOSDAQ 150 in June 2025 are down on average 0.9% YTD, underperforming KOSDAQ which is up 6.4% YTD. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the potential KOSDAQ 150 rebalance candidates in June 2025.
The top 10 inclusion candidates have sharply outperformed KOSDAQ so far this year. These 10 stocks are up on average 75.3% YTD, outperforming KOSDAQ which is up 6.4% YTD.
The 10 potential deletion candidates in KOSDAQ 150 in June 2025 are down on average 0.9% YTD, underperforming KOSDAQ which is up 6.4% YTD. 


Potential KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance Candidates in June 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Just over halfway through the review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>, there could be 10 constituent changes.</li>
<li>The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.03-3.6 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.8-4.3 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The list of forecast adds and deletes has been fairly stable over the last month. The forecast adds have run up at a blistering pace and outperformed the forecast deletes.</li>
</ul>


Just over halfway through the review period for the June rebalance of the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX), there could be 10 constituent changes.
The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.03-3.6 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.8-4.3 days of ADV.
The list of forecast adds and deletes has been fairly stable over the last month. The forecast adds have run up at a blistering pace and outperformed the forecast deletes.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes a Side; Strong Outperformance

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 57 stocks in Korea in January 2025, among which four are in KOSPI and 53 are in KOSDAQ. </li>
<li>The ban on short selling of Korean stocks which is still in place is likely to be lifted on 31 March 2025.</li>
<li>Some of the companies mentioned in this insight which highlights the end of the major lockup periods could help to narrow down the list of candidates for potential shorting. </li>
</ul>


We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 57 stocks in Korea in January 2025, among which four are in KOSPI and 53 are in KOSDAQ. 
The ban on short selling of Korean stocks which is still in place is likely to be lifted on 31 March 2025.
Some of the companies mentioned in this insight which highlights the end of the major lockup periods could help to narrow down the list of candidates for potential shorting. 


End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 57 Companies in Korea in January 2025

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In the Korean stock market, one of the biggest positive catalysts of Donald Trump becoming the next United States President has been the shipbuilding sector.</li>
<li>About 20 years, the United States had a dominant naval superiority versus China. That is no longer the case. </li>
<li>There is a likely scenario of the US Navy increasingly outsourcing the construction and after-service of its fleet to Korean companies such as Hanwha Ocean and HD Hyundai Heavy Industries.</li>
</ul>


In the Korean stock market, one of the biggest positive catalysts of Donald Trump becoming the next United States President has been the shipbuilding sector.
About 20 years, the United States had a dominant naval superiority versus China. That is no longer the case. 
There is a likely scenario of the US Navy increasingly outsourcing the construction and after-service of its fleet to Korean companies such as Hanwha Ocean and HD Hyundai Heavy Industries.


Trump Catalyst - Korean Shipbuilding Sector

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we review the share price performances of the top 13 IPOs (in terms of market cap) in Korea in the past 8 months. </li>
<li>We review the the share price performances over different time periods (1 day, 1 week,  and 1 month). We also analyze the demand ratios and lock-up periods of the IPOs. </li>
<li>On average, 12.7% of the IPO shares are under lockup periods for the 13 companies listed below. HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO has 45.8% of shares under lock-up.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we review the share price performances of the top 13 IPOs (in terms of market cap) in Korea in the past 8 months. 
We review the the share price performances over different time periods (1 day, 1 week,  and 1 month). We also analyze the demand ratios and lock-up periods of the IPOs. 
On average, 12.7% of the IPO shares are under lockup periods for the 13 companies listed below. HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO has 45.8% of shares under lock-up.


A Review of Post IPO Price Performance of Top 13 IPOs in Korea Past 8 Months

South Korea

Hyundai Hyms Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes shipbuilding components. The Company produces fore blocks, aft blocks, ship pipes and steel outfittings, steel pretreatment, section cutting and built up, and other related products. Hyundai Hyms also produces gas generators.

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Hyundai Hyms (460930 KS)

Potential KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance Candidates in June 2025

The top 10 inclusion candidates have sharply outperformed KOSDAQ so far this year. These 10 stocks are up on average 75.3% YTD.

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes a Side; Strong Outperformance

There could be 10 changes for the index in June. The inclusion of two names depends on the index committee. The forecast adds have run up strongly...

Brian Freitas

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 57 Companies in Korea in January 2025

Some of the companies mentioned in this insight which highlights the end of the major lockup periods in January could help to narrow down the list...

Douglas Kim

Trump Catalyst - Korean Shipbuilding Sector

The Korean shipbuilding sector (especially shipbuilding companies including Hanwha Ocean and HD Hyundai Heavy Industries) is a major beneficiary of...

Douglas Kim

A Review of Post IPO Price Performance of Top 13 IPOs in Korea Past 8 Months

In this insight, we review the share price performances of the top 13 IPOs (in terms of market cap) in Korea in the past 8 months. We also analyze...

Douglas Kim

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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