Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 17 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023.
Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 17 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2023

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>.</li>
<li>Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">TWSE INDEX</a> has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.</li>
</ul>


Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX). 
Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the KOSPI2 INDEX and KOSDAQ 150 Index.
Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the TWSE INDEX has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.


Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.
Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

Hyosung Advanced Materials / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We have a positive rating on Hyosung Advanced Materials. We believe the stock has a 25%+ upside over the next 12 months.</li>
<li>The company recently announced that it has succeeded in developing an ultra-high-strength carbon fiber which is 14 times stronger than steel.</li>
<li>There is an opportunity for the share price to be re-rated going forward if the company succeeds in grabbing higher share in the global carbon fiber market segment.</li>
</ul>


We have a positive rating on Hyosung Advanced Materials. We believe the stock has a 25%+ upside over the next 12 months.
The company recently announced that it has succeeded in developing an ultra-high-strength carbon fiber which is 14 times stronger than steel.
There is an opportunity for the share price to be re-rated going forward if the company succeeds in grabbing higher share in the global carbon fiber market segment.


Hyosung Advanced Materials: Market Share Gains in Global Carbon Fiber Could Result in a Re-Rating

<ul>
<li>Hyosung TNC announced 50,000 won in DPS in 2021,<strong> up 10x</strong> from 2020. This is likely to reverse the recent declining share price trend in the  past several months. </li>
<li>
<strong>Hyosung TNC's current dividend yield is 10.5%, representing one of the highest dividend yields in Korea.</strong> Dividend payout in 2021 was 28%.</li>
<li>We believe Hyosung TNC is well positioned to outperform KOSPI in 2022.</li>
</ul>


Hyosung TNC announced 50,000 won in DPS in 2021, up 10x from 2020. This is likely to reverse the recent declining share price trend in the  past several months. 

Hyosung TNC's current dividend yield is 10.5%, representing one of the highest dividend yields in Korea. Dividend payout in 2021 was 28%.
We believe Hyosung TNC is well positioned to outperform KOSPI in 2022.


Hyosung TNC: 10x Increase in Dividends Per Share

South Korea

Hyosung Corporation specializes in general trading businesses.  The Company also produces nylon yarns and other synthetic and chemical products such as PET films, PET bottles and polypropylene resins.  In addition, Hyosung contracts electrical construction and information systems and manufactures industrial machinery.

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Hyosung Corporation (004800 KS)

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023. We highlight 38 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

The Insight looks at movements in short interest across HK, Korea, Taiwan and Australia stocks over Q1 and highlights large increases/decreases in...

Brian Freitas

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023. We highlight 33 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023. We highlight 38 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

The Insight looks at movements in short interest across HK, Korea, Taiwan and Australia stocks over Q1 and highlights large increases/decreases in...

Brian Freitas

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023. We highlight 33 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

Hyosung Advanced Materials: Market Share Gains in Global Carbon Fiber Could Result in a Re-Rating

There is an opportunity for Hyosung Advanced Materials to be re-rated going forward if the company succeeds in grabbing higher share in the global...

Douglas Kim

Hyosung TNC: 10x Increase in Dividends Per Share

Hyosung TNC announced 50,000 won in DPS in 2021, up 10x from 2020, representing dividend yield of 10.5%. We believe Hyosung TNC is well positioned...

Douglas Kim