Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the Brand Spanking New and Improved and Extra Spiffy H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly designed to help investors see H/A relationships easily. </li>
<li>We used to do it and decided to bring it back better. There are lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 19 Trade Recommendations. </li>
<li>We hope this new version serves readers even better. Improvements this week due to popular demand, and updated format. Further feedback is welcome/appreciated. </li>
</ul>


This is the Brand Spanking New and Improved and Extra Spiffy H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly designed to help investors see H/A relationships easily. 
We used to do it and decided to bring it back better. There are lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 19 Trade Recommendations. 
We hope this new version serves readers even better. Improvements this week due to popular demand, and updated format. Further feedback is welcome/appreciated. 


Week 2 of the Brand New and Extra Spiffy 🦄 H/​A-Share Discount/​Premium Weekly (As of 18 Aug 2023)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 9th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$265.3 million, led by financials, consumer discretionary, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Zhejiang Dahua Technology, Anhui Conch Cement, East Money Information, Asr Microelectronics, Wuliangye.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 9th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$265.3 million, led by financials, consumer discretionary, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology, materials.
We highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Zhejiang Dahua Technology, Anhui Conch Cement, East Money Information, Asr Microelectronics, Wuliangye.


Northbound Flows (Jun 9th): Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Dahua

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index</a> that will be implemented at the close on 9 June. There is over 1x ADV to sell on a few deletions.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 3.84bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The adds outperformed the deletes from February to April but have given up a lot of the outperformance over the last month.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June. There is over 1x ADV to sell on a few deletions.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 3.84bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.
The adds outperformed the deletes from February to April but have given up a lot of the outperformance over the last month.


SSE50 Index Rebalance: 5 Changes as Adds Give Up Recent Gains

Beijing Kingsoft Office Softwa / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With 2 trading days left in the review period, we see 7 potential adds/5 potential deletes in June. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a rebalance.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 5.58% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.22bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last couple of months and have underperformed over the last week.</li>
</ul>


With 2 trading days left in the review period, we see 7 potential adds/5 potential deletes in June. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a rebalance.
We estimate one-way turnover of 5.58% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.22bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last couple of months and have underperformed over the last week.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Changes Coming Up in June

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 117.4% as of Apr 7th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.5ppt week on week, led by communication services, health care, real estate and offset by utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy, CRRC, CICC, GWM.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 117.4% as of Apr 7th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.5ppt week on week, led by communication services, health care, real estate and offset by utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy, CRRC, CICC, GWM.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 7th): China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy

China

Founder Securities Company Limited's major business includes securities brokerage, securities investment consulting, securities trading, financial advisory on securities investment and trading activities, proprietary trading, securities asset management, investment fund distribution, margin business, and provide intermediate agency services for Founder Futures Limited.


Everbright Securities Co., Ltd. provides securities brokerage, trading, custody, underwriting, asset management, and investment consulting services.

Orient Securities Company Ltd. of China (DFZQ) provides investment advisory and brokerage services. The Company maintains assets for individual and institutional investors in equity and fixed income portfolios. 

Guotai Junan Securities Co.,Ltd. provides financial services. The Company offers corporate finance, fixed income securities, asset management, risk management, and other services. Guotai Junan Securities Company serves clients throughout China.

Guosen Securities Co.,Ltd offers securities services. The Company provides securities brokerage, securities investment, securities consulting, and other services. Guosen Securities provides its services throughout China.

Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. offers securities services. The Company provides securities brokerage, asset management, securities investment, share transfer agency, and capital intermediary services. Haitong Securities focuses on  online brokerage, wealth management, and institutional investors.

Haitong Securities Co Ltd (A) (600837 CH)

Industrial Securities Co., Ltd. is a securities company.  The Company's business covers securities brokerage, investment consulting, securities trading, financial advisory, securities underwriting and sponsorship, proprietary trading, asset management, investment funds marketing as well intermediary services for futures companies.

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. provides securities services. The Company offers securities brokerage, securities investment consulting, securities underwriting, and other services. China Merchants Securities also operates investment management.

China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (A) (600999 CH)

GF Securities Co Ltd. is a securities firm. The Company offers investment banking services including equity and bond underwriting, mergers and acquisitions consulting, financial consulting, brokerage services, and asset management services.

China International Capital Corporation Ltd. (CICC) operates as an international investment bank. The Company provides financial services, including investment banking, capital markets, securities sales and trading, fixed income, asset management, and private equity. China International Capital also offers individual wealth management and research services.

China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)

ASX Ltd is a demutualized company which operates Australia's primary national stock exchange and equity derivatives market. The ASX operates markets for equities, derivatives, fixed-interest securities and capital-raising for unlisted companies using advanced computer systems for both trading and settlement.

Pershing Square Holdings Ltd is a closed-ended hedge fund vehicle incorporated in Guernsey.

Singapore Exchange Limited owns and operates Singapore's Securities and derivatives exchange and their related clearing houses.  The Company also provides ancillary securities processing and information technology services to participants in the financial sector.

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. operates as an investment bank. The Company offers mergers and acquisitions, financial restructuring, capital markets, strategic consulting, and financial advisory services. Houlihan Lokey serves customers worldwide.

MarketAxess Holdings, Inc. operates an electronic, multi-dealer to client platform for U.S. and European high-grade corporate and emerging markets bond trading.  The Company's technology delivers price discovery and trade execution services to institutional and broker-dealer clients.

SBI Holdings, Inc. manages venture capital fund which mainly invest in Internet related venture companies.  The Company also provides brokerage, investment banking, and financial services.

Evercore Partners Inc. is an investment banking boutique. The firm provides advisory services to multinational corporations on mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, restructurings and other corporate transactions. Evercore also manages private equity funds for institutional investors.

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is a global diversified financial services company focusing on investment banking and capital markets, asset management and direct investing. The Company offers a full range of investment banking, equities, fixed income, asset and wealth management products and services.

Stifel Financial Corp. is a financial services holding company whose subsidiaries serve individual and institutional clients in the U.S. and Europe. The Company's broker-dealer affiliates provide wealth management, investment banking, independent research, trading, investment advisory, and related financial services.

SEI Investments Company provides global investment solutions and business solutions.  The Company integrates technology, research, information services, financial products, and asset management advice to serve banks, mutual fund and pension plan sponsors, insurance companies, money managers, and individual investors.

Huatai Securities Co., Ltd. provides financial company. The Company provides securities brokerage services, research consulting services, investment banking and direct investment services, fixed-income services and asset management services.

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Huatai Securities Co Ltd (H) (6886 HK)

Northbound Flows (Jun 9th): Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Dahua

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SSE50 Index Rebalance: 5 Changes as Adds Give Up Recent Gains

There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index in June. The adds outperformed from Feb-April but have underperformed since then. The Anhui Conch Cement...

Brian Freitas

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Changes Coming Up in June

There will be 5 changes in June. Estimated 1-way turnover is 5.58% leading to a 1-way trade of CNY 4.22bn. The adds have outperformed the deletes...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 7th): China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Week 2 of the Brand New and Extra Spiffy 🦄 H/​A-Share Discount/​Premium Weekly (As of 18 Aug 2023)

Week 2 of the Brand New and Extra Spiffy H/A Discount Monitor. Thanks for the requests. Some are implemented. Some are on the way. Trades were up...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jun 9th): Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Dahua

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SSE50 Index Rebalance: 5 Changes as Adds Give Up Recent Gains

There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index in June. The adds outperformed from Feb-April but have underperformed since then. The Anhui Conch Cement...

Brian Freitas

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Changes Coming Up in June

There will be 5 changes in June. Estimated 1-way turnover is 5.58% leading to a 1-way trade of CNY 4.22bn. The adds have outperformed the deletes...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 7th): China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Week 2 of the Brand New and Extra Spiffy 🦄 H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly (As of 18 Aug 2023)