External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 2Q23 but mixed 3Q23 outlook on slower demand recovery and ASP/margin pressure.</li><li>Overall, inventory digestion is below expectation in 2Q23 and demand recovery remains weak in 2H23E.</li><li>That said, we believe the worst is behind with global semi sales of -17% YoY in 2Q23, an improvement vs -21% YoY in 1Q23, and we expect sequential sales recovery will continue into 3Q/4Q23E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 2Q23 but mixed 3Q23 outlook on slower demand recovery and ASP/margin pressure.Overall, inventory digestion is below expectation in 2Q23 and demand recovery remains weak in 2H23E.That said, we believe the worst is behind with global semi sales of -17% YoY in 2Q23, an improvement vs -21% YoY in 1Q23, and we expect sequential sales recovery will continue into 3Q/4Q23E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Global Foundry 2Q23 Wrap: Prolonged Inventory Correction

<ul><li>Lam Research and KLA reported in-line 2Q23 results but better GPM on improved product mix.</li><li>Looking into 2023, while Lam raised WFE spending on China-related and HBM demand, KLA maintained forecast of 20% YoY decline.</li><li>Both stayed cautious on low UTR in memory market (guidance of 40% to mid-40% YoY decline), but positive on AI demand to boost packaging business in FY23E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Lam Research and KLA reported in-line 2Q23 results but better GPM on improved product mix.Looking into 2023, while Lam raised WFE spending on China-related and HBM demand, KLA maintained forecast of 20% YoY decline.Both stayed cautious on low UTR in memory market (guidance of 40% to mid-40% YoY decline), but positive on AI demand to boost packaging business in FY23E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of Lam Research and KLA 2Q23 results

<ul><li>TSMC unveiled an in-line 2Q23 results but guided slow 3Q recovery due to longer inventory correction and China weakness despite stronger AI demand.</li><li>Mgmt. guided down FY23E revenue to 10% YoY decline from prior low to mid-single digit decline on macro headwinds, slower China recovery and demand weakness.</li><li>As such, we believe market will turn more conservative on 3Q inventory correction and 4Q demand recovery. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TSMC unveiled an in-line 2Q23 results but guided slow 3Q recovery due to longer inventory correction and China weakness despite stronger AI demand.Mgmt. guided down FY23E revenue to 10% YoY decline from prior low to mid-single digit decline on macro headwinds, slower China recovery and demand weakness.As such, we believe market will turn more conservative on 3Q inventory correction and 4Q demand recovery. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of TSMC 2Q23: Slower 3Q and China Recovery

<ul><li>After a strong rally driven by AI/ChatGPT theme in past three months (note in Feb), we believe most near-term positives have been priced in AI-tech value chain (+65%/146%/45%/62% YTD for chip/optical/PCB/server), and we expect profit-taking pressure ahead of 1Q23 earnings season in late April.</li><li>We suggest to switch into three themes we addressed in Jan (note) which will continue to drive supply chain opportunities into 2Q23E, including demand recovery, MR innovation and localisation.</li><li>We recommend to focus on recovery plays (Sunny Optical, SG Micro and 3Peak), innovation (Cowell, Luxshare, Goertek for MR) and semi localization (Hua Hong Semi, NAURA, AMEC).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

After a strong rally driven by AI/ChatGPT theme in past three months (note in Feb), we believe most near-term positives have been priced in AI-tech value chain (+65%/146%/45%/62% YTD for chip/optical/PCB/server), and we expect profit-taking pressure ahead of 1Q23 earnings season in late April.We suggest to switch into three themes we addressed in Jan (note) which will continue to drive supply chain opportunities into 2Q23E, including demand recovery, MR innovation and localisation.We recommend to focus on recovery plays (Sunny Optical, SG Micro and 3Peak), innovation (Cowell, Luxshare, Goertek for MR) and semi localization (Hua Hong Semi, NAURA, AMEC).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Switching from AI/ChatGPT to Demand Recovery

<ul><li>We hosted an investor field trip to visit 5 fabless, 2 SPE and 1 semi material companies in Shanghai last week.</li><li>Based on our trip, we reaffirmed our view on a 2H23 recovery for major Chinese fabless names, and an uncertain 2023 for Chinese SPE/materials companies.</li><li>Our check also suggested that foundry capex/production cuts have started and inventory level is improving gradually. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We hosted an investor field trip to visit 5 fabless, 2 SPE and 1 semi material companies in Shanghai last week.Based on our trip, we reaffirmed our view on a 2H23 recovery for major Chinese fabless names, and an uncertain 2023 for Chinese SPE/materials companies.Our check also suggested that foundry capex/production cuts have started and inventory level is improving gradually. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Semi Field Trip Takeaways

China

Hua Hong Semiconductor Limited manufactures semiconductors on 200mm wafers for specialty applications. The Company's products are used in the consumer electronic, communication, computing and industrial, and automotive industries.

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Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK)

China Technology – Global Foundry 2Q23 Wrap: Prolonged Inventory Correction

Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 2Q23 but mixed 3Q23 outlook on slower demand recovery and ASP/margin pressure.

CMB International

China Technology – Implications of Lam Research and KLA 2Q23 results

Looking into 2023, while Lam raised WFE spending on China-related and HBM demand, KLA maintained forecast of 20% YoY decline.

CMB International

China Technology – Implications of TSMC 2Q23: Slower 3Q and China Recovery

TSMC unveiled an in-line 2Q23 results but guided slow 3Q recovery due to longer inventory correction and China weakness despite stronger AI demand.

CMB International

China Technology – Switching from AI/ChatGPT to Demand Recovery

After a strong rally driven by AI/ChatGPT theme in past three months (note in Feb), we believe most near-term positives have been priced in AI-tech...

CMB International

China Technology – Semi Field Trip Takeaways

Based on our trip, we reaffirmed our view on a 2H23 recovery for major Chinese fabless names, and an uncertain 2023 for Chinese SPE/materials...

CMB International

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