Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On October 6th we suggested selling HSBC vol vs buying ICBC vol</li>
<li>We look at the trade performance both in terms of realised and implied vols</li>
<li>We consider the trading options given the convergence in vols</li>
</ul>


On October 6th we suggested selling HSBC vol vs buying ICBC vol
We look at the trade performance both in terms of realised and implied vols
We consider the trading options given the convergence in vols


EQD | HSBA Vs ICBC (5 HK,1398 HK): Trade a Relative Value Vol Spread -Revisited

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$0.67bn, split (+HK$0.1bn) for Shanghai and (+HK$0.57bn) for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-ning-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6047:1" rel="noopener">Li Ning (2331 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$0.67bn, split (+HK$0.1bn) for Shanghai and (+HK$0.57bn) for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were in Tencent (700 HK) and Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK). The largest outflows were in Meituan (3690 HK) and Li Ning (2331 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (25 November 2022)

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~HK$0.14bn, split (-HK$0.47bn) for Shanghai and (+HK$0.32bn) for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share (2828 HK)</a>. The largest outflows were in<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of HK (2800 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~HK$0.14bn, split (-HK$0.47bn) for Shanghai and (+HK$0.32bn) for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were in Tencent (700 HK) and Hang Seng H Share (2828 HK). The largest outflows were inMeituan (3690 HK) and Tracker Fund of HK (2800 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (18 November 2022)

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

Country Garden Holdings Co / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The headlines of sweeping changes in the property market easing and Xi’s G-20 meetings to signal the thawing of foreign relationships were the main drivers of the continued rally early in the week.</li><li>What has been very different in this rally is the robust Southbound Inflows indicating strong interest from mainland investors but (yes, there is always one) it does not tie up the sharp rise in short-end HIBOR.</li><li>The HIBOR rise could be due to the drawdown of the large-margin loan in support of this rally. I have not found data to support or rebuff such a thesis.</li></ul>

The headlines of sweeping changes in the property market easing and Xi’s G-20 meetings to signal the thawing of foreign relationships were the main drivers of the continued rally early in the week.What has been very different in this rally is the robust Southbound Inflows indicating strong interest from mainland investors but (yes, there is always one) it does not tie up the sharp rise in short-end HIBOR.The HIBOR rise could be due to the drawdown of the large-margin loan in support of this rally. I have not found data to support or rebuff such a thesis.

HIBOR, Country Garden, Meituan, Tencent, and HSBC

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry</li>
<li>Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$4.1bn, split (+HK$1.7bn) for Shanghai and (+HK$2.4bn) for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>. The largest outflows were in<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/koolearn-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27796:1" rel="noopener">Koolearn (1797 HK)</a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry
Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$4.1bn, split (+HK$1.7bn) for Shanghai and (+HK$2.4bn) for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were in Tencent (700 HK) and Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK). The largest outflows were inKoolearn (1797 HK)and China Mobile (941 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (11 November 2022)

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings plc is the holding company for the HSBC Group. The Company provides a variety of international banking and financial services, including retail and corporate banking, trade, trusteeship, securities, custody, capital markets, treasury, private and investment banking, and insurance.  The Group operates worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

HSBC Holdings (5 HK)

EQD | HSBA Vs ICBC (5 HK,1398 HK): Trade a Relative Value Vol Spread -Revisited

We revisit a relative value volatility trade idea in HSBC vs ICBC. We consider the performance of the trade from both a realised and implied vol...

Simon Harris

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (25 November 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$0.67bn, split (+HK$0.1bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (18 November 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~HK$0.14bn, split (-HK$0.47bn)...

David Blennerhassett

HIBOR, Country Garden, Meituan, Tencent, and HSBC

The headlines of sweeping changes in the property market easing and Xi’s G-20 meetings to signal the thawing of foreign relationships were the main...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (11 November 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$4.1bn, split (+HK$1.7bn) for...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EQD | HSBA Vs ICBC (5 HK,1398 HK): Trade a Relative Value Vol Spread -Revisited

We revisit a relative value volatility trade idea in HSBC vs ICBC. We consider the performance of the trade from both a realised and implied vol...

Simon Harris

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (25 November 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$0.67bn, split (+HK$0.1bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (18 November 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~HK$0.14bn, split (-HK$0.47bn)...

David Blennerhassett

HIBOR, Country Garden, Meituan, Tencent, and HSBC

The headlines of sweeping changes in the property market easing and Xi’s G-20 meetings to signal the thawing of foreign relationships were the main...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (11 November 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$4.1bn, split (+HK$1.7bn) for...

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (25 November 2022)

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (18 November 2022)

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (11 November 2022)