2016 US Elections Scenario One: Hillary Clinton Wins
A US election fought under moderately favourable economic conditions, with a Republican electorate divided and openly unhappy with its...
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On Trade, An Era Is Ending
Whatever the outcome of the US election, President Barack Obama's departure in early 2017 will present renewed challenges for Asia Pacific trade....
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The Confidence "Interval"
Europe’s banking sector is back in the spotlight – and, once again, it is for less than positive reasons. Unlike earlier episodes, however, the...
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ANIMAL SPIRITS Update: OPEC Fuels Base Effect - Oil, Inflation & The Fed, Yields, Financials and EM
Executive Summary OPEC production cut plan supports our macro thesis of an oil-led, inflation expectations uplift. Our original WTI peak base...
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US Stock Market Seasonality: Shemitah Redux, The Afterparty
Almost exactly a year ago I wrote a piece on stock market seasonality titled Stock Market Seasonality - Januaries, SuperBowls, Third Years,...
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