Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Tongcheng Travel Holdings  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)</a> is expected to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gds-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32157:1" rel="noopener">GDS Holdings (9698 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the March review.</li>
<li>Constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 2.32% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$628m.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)</a> is near its lows while there has been some recent short covering in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gds-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32157:1" rel="noopener">GDS Holdings (9698 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) is expected to replace GDS Holdings (9698 HK) in the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the March review.
Constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 2.32% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$628m.
Short interest on Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) is near its lows while there has been some recent short covering in GDS Holdings (9698 HK). 


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) Could Replace GDS (9698 HK)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 5th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Baba, Petrochina, and China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 5th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Baba, Petrochina, and China Mobile.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Petrochina, China Mobile

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Meituan, CNOOC, PICC P&amp;C, China Mobile, and outflows from Tencent, Xiaomi, HKEx, Wuxi Biologics, CCB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Meituan, CNOOC, PICC P&amp;C, China Mobile, and outflows from Tencent, Xiaomi, HKEx, Wuxi Biologics, CCB.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (December): Six Months of Inflows

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Risk-Reward now skewed towards reward in the Hong Kong market.</li>
<li>Barbell strategy with both high-beta and lower volatility dividend stocks.</li>
<li>Some initial ideas included to add or start a portfolio  incorporating HK stocks.</li>
</ul>


Risk-Reward now skewed towards reward in the Hong Kong market.
Barbell strategy with both high-beta and lower volatility dividend stocks.
Some initial ideas included to add or start a portfolio  incorporating HK stocks.


2024 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of Japan into Hong Kong - Part 3

<ul>
<li>With a few weeks to go in the review period, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cgn-power-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:58:1" rel="noopener">CGN Power (1816 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yankuang-energy-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:384:1" rel="noopener">Yankuang Energy Group (1171 HK)</a> could be added to the ETF in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beer-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:399:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a> are potential deletions while there is another stock close to deletion zone.</li>
<li>There are a lot of shorts on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yankuang-energy-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:384:1" rel="noopener">Yankuang Energy</a> in terms of days of ADV and as a percentage of float while short interest on the other stocks is lower.</li>
</ul>


With a few weeks to go in the review period, CGN Power (1816 HK) and Yankuang Energy Group (1171 HK) could be added to the ETF in March.

China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK) and Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) are potential deletions while there is another stock close to deletion zone.
There are a lot of shorts on Yankuang Energy in terms of days of ADV and as a percentage of float while short interest on the other stocks is lower.


FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in March

Hong Kong

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Limited owns and operates the stock exchange, futures exchange, and their related clearing houses in Hong Kong.  The Company provides the trading platforms for a range of cash and derivatives products and the facilities for processing trades.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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HKEX (388 HK)

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) Could Replace GDS (9698 HK)

In just over a month, Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) has outperformed GDS (9698 HK) by 39% (+21% vs -18%). Trim positions here and wait for a better...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Petrochina, China Mobile

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 5th and highlight short interest changes in Baba, Petrochina, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (December): Six Months of Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for December and highlight flows for Meituan, CNOOC, PICC P&C, China Mobile, Tencent, Xiaomi, HKEx, Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

2024 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of Japan into Hong Kong - Part 3

The Hong Kong market offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, suggesting a barbell strategy with high-beta and low volatility dividend stocks could...

Rikki Malik

FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in March

There could be 2 changes for the FXI in March with CGN Power and Yankuang Energy replacing CR Beer and Wuxi Bio. Impact on the potential adds is...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) Could Replace GDS (9698 HK)

In just over a month, Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) has outperformed GDS (9698 HK) by 39% (+21% vs -18%). Trim positions here and wait for a better...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Petrochina, China Mobile

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 5th and highlight short interest changes in Baba, Petrochina, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (December): Six Months of Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for December and highlight flows for Meituan, CNOOC, PICC P&C, China Mobile, Tencent, Xiaomi, HKEx, Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

2024 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of Japan into Hong Kong - Part 3

​The Hong Kong market offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, suggesting a barbell strategy with high-beta and low volatility dividend stocks could...

Rikki Malik

FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in March

There could be 2 changes for the FXI in March with CGN Power and Yankuang Energy replacing CR Beer and Wuxi Bio. Impact on the potential adds is...

Brian Freitas

The Hong Kong market offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, suggesting a barbell strategy with high-beta and low volatility dividend stocks could...