Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 25 November, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 17.3% and a one-way trade of TWD 60.6bn (US$1.86bn).</li>
<li>On average, the forecast adds have started to outperform the forecast deletes. Positioning should continue in stocks that have large flow/impact or have recently joined the list of forecast adds/deletes.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 25 November, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 17.3% and a one-way trade of TWD 60.6bn (US$1.86bn).
On average, the forecast adds have started to outperform the forecast deletes. Positioning should continue in stocks that have large flow/impact or have recently joined the list of forecast adds/deletes.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Shift in Divs Leads to Last Minute Changes

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 22nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,003.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,568mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Quanta Computer, Asustek Computer.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 22nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,003.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,568mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Quanta Computer, Asustek Computer.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 22nd): Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta, Asustek

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 22nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Mitac, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry, First Financial, Eva Airways, Yageo, Ta Chen Stainless Pipe.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 22nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Mitac, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry, First Financial, Eva Airways, Yageo, Ta Chen Stainless Pipe.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 22nd): Mitac, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, First Financial

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>LGD plans to invest $1B to expand OLED module production in Vietnam, signaling a commitment to growth in the technology sector.</li><li>Wolfspeed makes a bold move by firing CEO in response to slowdown in the electric vehicle industry, showing a willingness to adapt to market changes.</li><li>MiTAC introduces AIoT innovations for smarter cities and transportation, demonstrating a focus on advancing technology for the future.</li></ul>

LGD plans to invest $1B to expand OLED module production in Vietnam, signaling a commitment to growth in the technology sector.Wolfspeed makes a bold move by firing CEO in response to slowdown in the electric vehicle industry, showing a willingness to adapt to market changes.MiTAC introduces AIoT innovations for smarter cities and transportation, demonstrating a focus on advancing technology for the future.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Nov-2024): LGD invests $1B in Vietnam OLED production.

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China, India, Saudi Arabia, and Taiwan remain key underweights.  Recovery in Malaysia, Thailand, Turkey, and South Africa, correction in Indonesia and Mexico. Developed Markets the largest overweight for EM investors.</li>
<li>Discretionary, Staples, and Industrials the key overweights, Materials and Energy the underweights. Rotation out of Tech moves positioning from overweight to underweight for the first time since 2019.</li>
<li>Ownership climbs for Meituan and SK Hynix, Baidu and Yum China see sharp declines. Downtrends persist in Vale, Telkom Indonesia.  Recovery in SK Telekom, Garanti Bank, highs in Emaar Properties. </li>
</ul>


China, India, Saudi Arabia, and Taiwan remain key underweights.  Recovery in Malaysia, Thailand, Turkey, and South Africa, correction in Indonesia and Mexico. Developed Markets the largest overweight for EM investors.
Discretionary, Staples, and Industrials the key overweights, Materials and Energy the underweights. Rotation out of Tech moves positioning from overweight to underweight for the first time since 2019.
Ownership climbs for Meituan and SK Hynix, Baidu and Yum China see sharp declines. Downtrends persist in Vale, Telkom Indonesia.  Recovery in SK Telekom, Garanti Bank, highs in Emaar Properties. 


Taiwan

Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. provides electronic manufacturing services for computers, communications, and consumer electronic products.  The Company's business operations include desktop and notebook PC assembly, connector production, cable assembly, PCB assembly, handset manufacturing, networking equipment, and other consumer electronic devices manufacturing.

Price Gauge
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Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Shift in Divs Leads to Last Minute Changes

There could be 6 adds, 5 deletes, capping and funding changes, leading to a 1-way turnover of 17.3% and a 1-way trade of US$1.86bn. There are new...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 22nd): Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta, Asustek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 22nd): Mitac, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, First Financial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Mitac, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Nov-2024): LGD invests $1B in Vietnam OLED production.

Companies such as LGD, MiTAC, Micron, and Foxconn make strategic moves in AI, IoT, and chip production while Samsung and YMTC Zhitai compete in the...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Active GEM Funds: Positioning Chart Pack

In this chart pack, we highlight the key country, sector and stock exposures among active Emerging Markets equity funds.

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Shift in Divs Leads to Last Minute Changes

There could be 6 adds, 5 deletes, capping and funding changes, leading to a 1-way turnover of 17.3% and a 1-way trade of US$1.86bn. There are new...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 22nd): Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta, Asustek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 22nd): Mitac, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, First Financial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Mitac, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Nov-2024): LGD invests $1B in Vietnam OLED production.

Companies such as LGD, MiTAC, Micron, and Foxconn make strategic moves in AI, IoT, and chip production while Samsung and YMTC Zhitai compete in the...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Active GEM Funds: Positioning Chart Pack

In this chart pack, we highlight the key country, sector and stock exposures among active Emerging Markets equity funds.

Steven Holden

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Shift in Divs Leads to Last Minute Changes