Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia's CEO is in Taiwan this week for Computex and the company continues to dominate the headlines announcing Mediatek, Softbank, and WPP key partnerships.</li>
<li>Semiconductor shorts have been squeezed after the global rally sparked by Nvidia's monster results; We released our latest Taiwan Shorts Monitor to identify short squeezes.</li>
<li>Earnings: Light this week for Taiwan, however PC industry leaders Hewlett Packard Co (HPQ US) and Dell Technologies Inc (DELL US) will report.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia's CEO is in Taiwan this week for Computex and the company continues to dominate the headlines announcing Mediatek, Softbank, and WPP key partnerships.
Semiconductor shorts have been squeezed after the global rally sparked by Nvidia's monster results; We released our latest Taiwan Shorts Monitor to identify short squeezes.
Earnings: Light this week for Taiwan, however PC industry leaders Hewlett Packard Co (HPQ US) and Dell Technologies Inc (DELL US) will report.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia in Taiwan - Everyone Will Need 'AI Factories'; Identifying Short Squeezes

<ul>
<li>This week will have some major earnings data points released. In Taiwan, UMC, Delta, Mediatek, ASE will report among other local names in our coverage.</li>
<li>Samsung &amp; SK Hynix will report this week, providing major insight into the Memory chip space for companies such as Nanya Technology and Micron.</li>
<li>TSMC &amp; ASML results last week indicate that the cycle could be bottoming in 2Q23E for these leading firms... But are we entering a two-track industry recovery?</li>
</ul>


This week will have some major earnings data points released. In Taiwan, UMC, Delta, Mediatek, ASE will report among other local names in our coverage.
Samsung &amp; SK Hynix will report this week, providing major insight into the Memory chip space for companies such as Nanya Technology and Micron.
TSMC &amp; ASML results last week indicate that the cycle could be bottoming in 2Q23E for these leading firms... But are we entering a two-track industry recovery?


Taiwan Tech Weekly: This Is a Major Earnings Week; Are We Entering a 2-Track Semiconductor Recovery?

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>There's been a major disconnect between performance of the Philly Semiconductor Index and the Taiwan market recently.</li>
<li>Semi optimism has picked up substantially in U.S. markets and institutional favor towards the Taiwan market could improve as a result.</li>
<li>We indentify US$1bn+  market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.</li>
</ul>


There's been a major disconnect between performance of the Philly Semiconductor Index and the Taiwan market recently.
Semi optimism has picked up substantially in U.S. markets and institutional favor towards the Taiwan market could improve as a result.
We indentify US$1bn+  market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.


Taiwan Short Squeeze Ahead? Taiwan Market Significantly Lagging Philly SOX Index

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.</li>
<li>Semiconductor inventory to sales and gross margins near record levels, hardware metrics are high as well but less extreme.</li>
<li>Formosa SUMCO, Macronix, Nanya Technology, Hon Hai Precision, and Flexium appear ahead of the inventory correction curve and well-placed as long positions for the current phase of the cycle.</li>
</ul>


We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.
Semiconductor inventory to sales and gross margins near record levels, hardware metrics are high as well but less extreme.
Formosa SUMCO, Macronix, Nanya Technology, Hon Hai Precision, and Flexium appear ahead of the inventory correction curve and well-placed as long positions for the current phase of the cycle.


Taiwan Tech: Who's Ahead of the Inventory Cycle?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On Friday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/far-eastone-telecomm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19488:1" rel="noopener">Far Eastone Telecomm (4904 TT)</a> announced in a Taiwan Stock Exchange filing that it would merge with long-suffering <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-pacific-telecom-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19657:1" rel="noopener">Asia Pacific Telecom (3682 TT)</a> in a scrip merger.</li>
<li>The ratio chosen is a takeunder vs Friday's closing price terms. An 18.8% hit for APT shareholders. </li>
<li>Shareholder structure suggests it gets done IF the FTC and NCC approve the deal, which would go against their approval last August of the FET capital injection into APT.</li>
</ul>


On Friday, Far Eastone Telecomm (4904 TT) announced in a Taiwan Stock Exchange filing that it would merge with long-suffering Asia Pacific Telecom (3682 TT) in a scrip merger.
The ratio chosen is a takeunder vs Friday's closing price terms. An 18.8% hit for APT shareholders. 
Shareholder structure suggests it gets done IF the FTC and NCC approve the deal, which would go against their approval last August of the FET capital injection into APT.


Asia Pacific Telecom in Taiwan Takeunder by Far EasTone - Sector Remake Needs FTC+NCC Approval

Taiwan

Delta Electronics Inc. manufactures power supplies and video display products. The Company's products include switching power supplies, telecom power systems, uninterrupted power supply (UPS), variable speed alternating current (AC) monitor drives, high resolution color monitors, and projectors.  Delta also manufactures magnetic and networking components.

Foxconn Industrial Internet Co., Ltd. operates as a communication network equipment development company. The Company develops and sells network switches, routers, wireless devices, web servers, set top boxes, smart home gateways, and other products. Foxconn Industrial Internet also manufactures storage equipment.

Largan Precision Company Limited manufactures and markets optical lens modules and optoelectronic components. The Company offers lenses for liquid crystal display (LCD) projectors, scanners, optical mice, digital still cameras (DSCs), digital versatile discs (DVDs), light emitting diodes (LEDs), and photography mobile phones.

Yageo Corporation manufactures resistors and related equipment.  The Company also produces thick-film resistors which are used in downstream electronics products, and high power thin-film resistors and chip resistors which are used in aerospace, automobile, and precision electronics industries.  Through its subsidiaries, Yageo also operates a consumer goods importing business.

E Ink Holdings Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets thin film transistor liquid crystal displays (TFT-LCDs).  The Company's products are mainly used in mobile video systems, car navigation systems, camcorders, digitalcameras, industrial instruments, etc.

Unimicron Technology Corp. manufactures and markets double-sided and multi-layer printed circuit boards.  The Company also provides integrated circuits (IC) burning and testing services.

Jentech Precision Industrial Company Ltd. provides tooling, precision metal stamping, custom insert molding, injection molding, and assembly solutions for medical, consumer electronics, semiconductor, automotive, appliance, and micro electronic markets to a wide variety of industries.

Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation manufactures and markets printed circuit boards (PCBs) and integrated circuit (IC) substrates.

Innolux Corporation manufactures TFT-LCD, LCD models and LCD monitors. The company also provides research, development, manufacturing and retails business.

LOTES Co., Ltd specialize in design and manufacture of connectors, CPU Socket, Coolers and Antenna for Notebook Computer, Personal Computer, Mobile electronic device and Ditial Video.

Samsung SDI Co., Ltd. specializes in developing Lithium Ion Battery (LIB) technology.  The Company also manufactures cathode ray tubes (CRTs) for televisions and computer monitors.  Samsung SDI also produces liquid crystal display (LCD) components and rechargeable batteries for cellular phones , personal digital assistants (PDAs), Energy Storage Systems and solar panels.

Kyocera Corporation manufacturers electronic equipment and components. The Company's products include telecommunication equipment, information equipment, optical equipment, ceramic products, semiconductor parts, chips, hybrid integrated circuits, thermal printheads, image sensors, liquid crystal displays, and connectors. Kyocera operates worldwide.

Keysight Technologies, Inc. offers electronic measurement services using wireless, modular, and software solutions.

CDW Corporation of Delaware provides information technology products and services. The Company offers hardware, software, computer peripherals, cloud computing, mobile devices, network communication, and security solutions. CDW serves business, government, education, and healthcare customers throughout North America.

NAURA Technology Group Co., Ltd. is an integrated high-tech company, which manufactures electronics equipments and components, including IC equipments, hybrid integrated circuits and combines with R&D, sales, and services.

KEYENCE CORPORATION develops, manufactures, and sells sensors and measuring instruments used for factory automation (FA) and high technology hobby products. The Company's products include fiber optic sensors, photoelectric sensors, programmable logic controllers (PLC), laser scan micrometers, bar code readers, and radio-controlled model cars.

Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd develops, manufactures and sells video surveillance products.  The Company manufactures video and audio compression card, network hard disk video recorders, video servers, cameras, network storage, and other digital products.

Hitachi, Ltd. manufactures communications and electronic equipment, heavy electrical and industrial machinery, and consumer electronics.  The Company's diverse product line ranges from nuclear power systems to kitchen appliances. Hitachi also operates subsidiaries in the wire and cable, metal, and chemical industries.

Zebra Technologies Corporation designs and manufactures enterprise mobile computers, advanced data capture devices, such as laser, 2D and RFID scanners and readers, and specialty printers for barcode labeling and personal identification. The Company also produces WLAN products, real-time location systems, related supplies and application software.

Trimble Navigation Ltd is a leading provider of advanced location-based solutions that maximize productivity and enhance profitability. The Company integrates its positioning expertise in GPS, laser, optical and inertial technologies with application software, wireless communications, and services to provide complete commercial solutions.

Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. provides electronic manufacturing services for computers, communications, and consumer electronic products.  The Company's business operations include desktop and notebook PC assembly, connector production, cable assembly, PCB assembly, handset manufacturing, networking equipment, and other consumer electronic devices manufacturing.

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Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia in Taiwan - Everyone Will Need 'AI Factories'; Identifying Short Squeezes

Nvidia's CEO is in Taiwan this week for Computex and the company continues to dominate the headlines announcing Mediatek, Softbank, and WPP key...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: This Is a Major Earnings Week; Are We Entering a 2-Track Semiconductor Recovery?

TSMC & ASML results last week indicate that the cycle could be bottoming in 2Q23E for these leading firms... But are we entering a two-track...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Short Squeeze Ahead? Taiwan Market Significantly Lagging Philly SOX Index

We indentify US$1bn+ market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech: Who's Ahead of the Inventory Cycle?

We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Asia Pacific Telecom in Taiwan Takeunder by Far EasTone - Sector Remake Needs FTC+NCC Approval

On Friday, Asia Pacific Telecom and Far EasTone Telecom announced a takeunder merger, barely 2mos after the Taiwan Mobile/Star merger, and 6mos...

Travis Lundy

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